$ENA Short-Term Strategy 20250730
Key Price Structure
1. Immediate Support: $0.533 (recent breakout followed by a retest confirmation level, coinciding with a volume concentration area)
2. Secondary Defensive Zone: $0.47–0.45 (structural accumulation range, supporting the momentum of the previous wedge breakout)
3. Stop-Loss Line: $0.42 (if breached, the technical pattern fails, strict risk control needed)
4. Upper Resistance: $0.619 → $0.70 (breakout initiates accelerated market trend)
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Ethereum Correlation Logic
- ETH Key Threshold: $3,700–$3,800 serves as the macro bull-bear divide; stabilization activates Altcoin risk appetite
- Correlation Verification: Historical data shows that after ETH breaks $3,800, high Beta assets (like ENA) average excess returns of 35%+
- Hedging Strategy: If ETH loses $3,600, synchronize and delay ENA accumulation plan
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Position Management Suggestions
| Price Range | Operation | Position Ratio | Target |
|------------------|------------------------|----------------|--------------|
| $0.53 + ETH > $3,700 | Initial Position Entry | ≤20% | Increase position at breakout of $0.62 |
| $0.47–0.45 | Gradual Accumulation (Left Side) | 30%–40% | Cut by half at rebound to $0.55 |
| <$0.42 | Stop-Loss Exit | - | Restart after pattern recovery |
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Core Drivers and Risk Alerts
- Catalysts:
✅ USDtb compliant stablecoin Q3 launch (backed by GENIUS Act)
✅ Daily $5 million token buyback continues until September (circulation shrinks by 8%)
✅ USDe market cap surpasses $700 million, annualized yield anchored at 10%+
- Risk Warnings:
⚠️ Early August $686 million token unlock (accounting for 23% of circulation)
⚠️ RSI short-term oversold (29) but not at bottom; need to guard against downward inertia
