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Alphractal
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⛏️Cryptocurrency miners have nearly 2 million Bitcoins in reserves. An interesting point is that there were outflows of approximately 19,500 BTC, which could lead to increased volatility this week.
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🔍 Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Bulls vs Bears at $92.5K Despite the recent price surge, we still haven’t seen significant on-chain shifts. Bitcoin is currently sitting right at the Short-Term Realized Price — a critical threshold around $92,500. Holding above this level is essential to trigger a shift in market sentiment. This zone is highly sensitive, where bulls and bears will battle fiercely. Both the Short- and Long-Term Realized Cap Impulse are resting on support levels, which helps explain the recent price reaction. However, a few more days are needed to confirm whether on-chain behavior and risk appetite from key players are truly shifting. Bulls will aim to push prices as high as possible, while bears will defend the zone just above $92.5K. This tension creates a complex environment ripe for forced liquidations, especially with Open Interest surging over $10B in just a few days — a clear sign the market is once again heavily leveraged. Alphractal
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Long-Term Holders' Supply is Rising Again, Gaining More Space in Bitcoin's Overall Distribution Long-Term Holders (LTH) currently hold 14.39M BTC (72.48%), while Short-Term Holders (STH) hold 5.46M BTC (27.48%). At first glance, this may not look too promising for short-term price action, as historically, periods of continuous accumulation by LTH have often been followed by downward price pressure. That’s because the supply held by Short-Term Holders tends to correlate more closely with current demand and price movements. However, when we look at the 1-year change in LTH Accumulation vs. Distribution, it clearly shows that Long-Term Holders are back in accumulation mode — which can be seen as a long-term bullish signal, especially considering today’s uncertain global macro environment. 🔗Alphractal
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The Challenges of Bitcoin Mining: A Challenging Scenario
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📈 ONLY 9.6% OF BITCOIN ADDRESSES ARE AT A LOSS! Compared to major crashes of the past, this is one of the lowest levels in history. Compare with: 🔹2012: 84.7% 🔹2015: 76% 🔹2018: 56.2% 🔹2020: 59% 🔹2021: 29.5% 🔹2022: 49% 🔹2024: 21.6% The current market is still extremely healthy, with approximately 90% of holders in profit! 🚀 🔗Alphractal
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💥Bitcoin needs to go well beyond $86,300 USD to restore short-term optimism regarding its price. This is because it’s a key region known as the Alpha Price, where these levels have historically acted as both support and resistance. It’s possible that Bitcoin may break slightly above and then fall back down — a potential bull trap.The lower support levels are at $73,900 and $64,700, and if Bitcoin weakens again, these regions are likely to be revisited in the future.In other words, we believe the best course of action right now is to wait, due to the current uncertainty and strong resistance near $86K. Patience is the key to successful trades. Alphractal
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