4. Crypto bloggers quick pass
1. Top trader Dove
(The dove hasn't updated.)
2. Trader Vivian
BTC long-term market analysis:
Started updating at 7:20 AM Beijing time on July 23:
All long positions must be closed tomorrow at 4T (total crypto market cap of 4 trillion).
Ideally, 122K or 4T is the top, but there might be a spike up to 125K.
The lowest point during the London session should be between 117K and 118.5K, leaning more towards the upper range, specifically around 117777 to 118K.
Recommended coins include Jasmy, BNB, LTC, CRV.
High time frame spot holders do not need to sell at 4T — I think it is unnecessary. Only small capital combinations looking to realize profits at 4T and those using leverage to go long need to consider closing at this point.
BTC short-term market analysis:
Started updating at 2:57 AM Beijing time on the 23rd:
I think this wave of the market has already completed, but I will still wait for the 4-hour closing before making a trade.
Plan A: Close below TGIF (118200) for 4 hours → hold short until midnight.
Plan B: Close above TGIF for 4 hours → Although still bearish until midnight, it is not advisable to trade within this range; waiting to go long between 117777 and 122K in the London session is more appropriate.
Specifics still depend on the 4-hour and daily closing conditions; I will wait for these lines to close before making trading decisions.
The meaning of Plan B: sentiment is bearish before midnight, but the entry points for long positions are 117K–117777, not the previously mentioned 115. The entry time should be during the London session.
It is not a good time to short between now and the Asian opening; I recommend you do not act rashly; the time suitable for shorting is between Asia and London.
Updated at 8:00 AM Beijing time on the 23rd:
Daily closing update: No changes
A very small pullback is expected during the London session. I have mentioned several times that positions will turn to floating losses by midnight when building positions.
If you can't stand this floating loss and want to take profit, do it yourself; don't disturb others with your emotions.
We plan to go long at LTC 110 — it might start early at 117–118.
The lowest point for SOL is 200–202.
Mainstream tokens are expected to rise tomorrow. Trump announced tariffs on Japan, hence the logic for JASMY.
Summary of recommended coins: Sol, Bnb (best choice), Ltc, Link, Jasmy, SHIB, Tel, XYO
Already marked on the Fibonacci line,
From the golden Fibonacci buy zone (Golden Pocket) to the golden Fibonacci sell zone (Golden Pocket).
Started updating at 7:14 PM Beijing time on the 23rd:
It has reached a low point. If it wants to start a rising trend, the 4-hour closing at 8 o'clock must be above the golden Fibonacci zone, which is above 118888. If it does not close above that, we will have to wait for another 4-hour candlestick to determine the trading direction. If closed above 118888, the upward trend is confirmed; if not, we must accept the signals given by the market.
It is highly likely to close above 118888. I will update at 8 o'clock.
Updated at 8:00 PM on July 23 Beijing time:
Updated at 8:00 AM on closing:
Closing above TGIF is a good thing, but buying momentum has not yet started. We have not closed above the golden Fibonacci zone, and sellers remain very aggressive. The recommended trades are still acceptable. If you're trading on your own, please note — buyers have not yet actively intervened, so do not expect a significant short squeeze for now.
Started updating at 9:31 PM Beijing time:
It is unusual that buying interest did not enter at the New York opening, especially on Wednesday; this is usually a signal for a drop.
We will wait until noon at 12 o'clock to make a decision. I suggest everyone set their stop losses at break-even to be safe @everyone.
I also want to short now, but the order resistance (OB) hasn't been broken yet, so shorting is not appropriate. We must wait until 12 o'clock.
If the order resistance is broken at noon, we will hammer BONK hard.
(Vivian believes BTC won't drop to 115K for now; it already fell to the low point of 117777 she mentioned at dawn today, and then it might rise to 123K before falling to 115K. At 9:30 PM Beijing time, she changed her mind and said it will drop, and we will wait until midnight to see. If the BTC trend turns bearish, she plans to short BONK.)
3. Top trader Joshua
(Joshua hasn't updated)
4. Top trader Altcoin Sherpa
Morning update:
I haven't done much trading in the last two weeks, now I'm ready to look at some interesting coins. Here I will casually throw out a bunch. These are not the obvious large-cap coins that should be longed (like $BNB, $ETH, $SOL).
In the current environment, all altcoins will rise, but I want to find stronger performing varieties, similar to the logic of $SPX.
We all know that major coins will rise alongside US treasuries, and we also know that coins like Fartcoin may continue to rise.
I am more interested in finding those lesser-known coins that aren't getting much attention (of course, I will also list some prominent coins).
$PENGU: No explanation needed
#Moodeng: If this truly is an effective breakout, then $0.31 is very likely to be reached.
Fartcoin: Quite good
$BONK: Still strong
$ENA: Fits many narratives, but it is uncertain whether the previous 'Treasury news' has already fully played out or if there will be further developments; around $0.40 is a buying point.
$POPcat: Looks very strong, and it feels like it hasn't been overly promoted yet.
$LINK: The trend is also good.
There is a coin I have invested in and quite like: $HOME; they announced a buyback, and the trend is strong; it is a good application, and I might buy some more.
Another coin that might be a 'pump and dump' is $MERL.
Actually, many new coins are moving up now. For example:
• $SAHARA
• Some overhyped VC projects have experienced a 'hated rebound'
• For example, $BERA, I like its chart; it looks like a bottom, but I don't know if it will really outperform other coins in the future; I am currently just observing.
• $BNT (Bancor): The chart looks strange; I haven't been familiar with it recently, but it is an established DeFi project.
Another coin I invested in is $DOLO: the overall chart is very beautiful, the FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation) is still low, and the team is very strong.
Summary:
I still believe the focus should primarily be on large-cap coins (like $ETH, $BNB), and continue to participate in strong-performing coins such as $PENGU and Fartcoin, which means mainly big meme coins and major market coins.
Other small coins are indeed harder to trade.
I think you have a few options:
• Either buy those coins that have already risen a lot (like $PENGU, Fartcoin),
• Either patiently wait for those small coins that haven't gone up much and are relatively cheap (low market cap shitcoins).
For some patient small investors, the latter strategy might be more suitable.
Let's take a look at these 'scams' $FUN
(Sherpa believes large capital positions should buy mainstream coins, while small positions can play with meme coins; he listed many, so take a look.)
5. Top trader Nacho Trades
Morning update:
I believe $ANIME is worth holding for the medium term.
NFT tokens like Pengu, Blur, and Dood have been rising strongly on higher time frames recently.
Azuki itself is a very popular NFT project, and I see no reason for $ANIME to not reprice upwards in the next few days — its current market cap is only 118 million USD.
Another project, @soon_svm, has established a partnership with @AvailProject.
I still believe AVAIL is seriously undervalued with a market cap of only 50 million.
AVAIL is delivering truly viable and attractive modular infrastructure, yet its valuation is only a fraction of its competitors.
Let's compare:
Celestia: Market cap 1.45 billion USD
EigenLayer: Market cap 495 million USD
(Nacho Trades believes ANIME and AVAIL's market caps are undervalued, and the leading projects in the same sector bring in a flow effect; these two coins might have opportunities for a rebound.)
6. Wave theory Liu Yudong
Daily chart for July 23, 2025
Since peaking at 123218, it has fallen for 9 consecutive days. This decline is normal and should not exceed July 27, which leaves 5 days to find an adjustment endpoint before pushing up to 132669. If no adjustment endpoint is found after the 27th, caution is needed.
(Liu Yudong believes BTC will bottom before the 27th; if it doesn't, 123K might be the mid-term top. There are still a few days to adjust.)
5. Summary
Yesterday it was said that BTC would drop to 115K, but last night it first rose to 120K, and many altcoins rose again. Just when everyone thought it wouldn't drop, today it has fallen all day; the 4H charts for SOL and ETH have also shown bearish signals, making it temporarily unsuitable to enter long.
Dove and Joshua still have a keen sense of the market; indeed, a short-term peak has started to adjust. If ETH adjusts, most altcoins will adjust, so everyone should pay attention to their positions; if the entry position is not good, take profit early.
Currently, it still seems very likely that, as Liu Yudong said, it will adjust for a few more days. It could also suddenly drop sharply as the dove mentioned, killing the bulls. After launching the coin and hitting my stop loss last night, I tried short-term trading with other coins today but basically broke even; I am still in cash.
Still uncertain about the timing for re-entry; we need to wait and see.
Statement:
The above information is for reference only, not trading advice; the crypto space is high risk, participation should be cautious.
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