Crypto blogger Express
1. Top trader Dove Eugene Ng Ah Sio
Dove updated at 15:10 today:
I have once again reduced most of my long positions and maintained a defensive posture. August has always been a difficult month to navigate, and I don't think there will be a smooth market this year.
Interestingly, this round of altcoin season may be the weakest in history. Despite ETH's price increase, it has hardly brought any 'wealth effect'. This again shows that institutions are leading the buying, and funds have not returned to altcoins (which also confirms my earlier view of sticking with ETH).
(Dove believes that there is no major bull market for altcoins this year. This wave of ETH is about to rise to 4000, but altcoins have hardly risen, indicating that the buying power in the market mainly comes from traditional financial institutions, and liquidity in the crypto circle is still very poor. The dove also published a long article about the impact of emotions on trading this afternoon, which I will post later.)
2. Trader Vivian
Updated starting from 0:00 on July 30 Beijing time:
A slight adjustment has been made on the timeline:
The original plan was to gradually go long between lunchtime in New York and the London opening; it has now been adjusted to start averaging positions between the Asian opening and the London opening—after 8 PM.
The 4-hour K-line that closed at noon 12:00 is very bearish, which means that the next 4 hours may see a deep red K-line before hitting the bottom. The lower shadow may drop to 115.9K before finding a bottom.
Therefore, a more prudent long strategy is to wait until the daily close is above 117777 (that is, 'Thank God It’s Friday' daily close high) before considering entering a long position.
Updated at 4:02 on the 30th Beijing time:
Key price levels have not yet been re-established, and we may see lower levels before today's daily close.
The Asian session will be a suitable time to start going long.
Tomorrow's 4T (daily close) is an important confirmation point and a key close for going long.
Updated at 8:00 on the 30th Beijing time:
$BTC updated, $BTC has recovered the TGIF level, but buyers appeared around 117K.
This means that the price will sweep low until midnight, and buyer action is not active, so no large upward movement is expected tomorrow.
At most a 5% increase.
BTC.D is strengthening at the weekly support level, and altcoins will remain weak. 118,888 - 120K is the top for tomorrow or the 4-hour cycle. Bulls need to close their positions before the end of the 4-hour cycle; if possible, only hold one long position.
Wednesday's market performance is weak, suggesting a larger drop may occur in the coming days.
Updated at 20:02 on the 30th Beijing time:
BTC closed below TGIF on the 4-hour line, while BTC.D is in an upward trend.
This means that altcoins will continue to fall until the FOMC meeting. BTC will still reach the 118,888-120K range during or after the FOMC (early morning of the 31st Beijing time). However, altcoins will continue to fall with almost no rebound. The plan is to start shorting now, hold until the FOMC, close shorts during the FOMC, and then short again in the 118,888-120K range in batches.
(Vivian believes altcoins will continue to fall today, and BTC will rebound to 118,888-120K tomorrow before falling again. Her BNB long position lost today.)
3. Top trader Joshua
(Joshua believes)
4. Top trader Altcoin Sherpa
Updated at 19:00 Beijing time:
The overall weakness of altcoins is very evident; $BTC has only dropped by 0.0005%, but altcoins have retreated by 10%. Overall, I am not actively building positions at the moment; I plan to buy when the prices of the coins I like drop further. However, I still hold spot BTC, $HYPE, and Fartcoin.
I believe that in the short term, altcoins need another wave of increase, the only condition being that BTC rises sharply and breaks through the current range. In all other scenarios (BTC consolidating or falling), in my view, it will lead to altcoins dropping another 10% to over 30%.
(Sherpa believes altcoins are currently very weak, and he is temporarily observing without bottom fishing. Only when BTC breaks through the range can altcoins stop falling.)
5. Wave Theory Liu Yudong
Daily chart on July 30, 2025
As long as the price stays above 115738, I believe the red line of the 5th segment is still rising.
This 5th segment is the end of the rise, reaching a new high completes it, and a pullback follows the 5th segment.
Only a sharp drop in US stocks will trigger a break below 114723, which would expand the peak level at 123218.
(Liu Yudong believes that as long as US stocks do not crash, BTC will reach new highs, but after the next wave of increase, there will be a long-term pullback, which can be understood as altcoins turning bearish.)
Five, Summary
When the market drops, the number of posts on Twitter decreases sharply, and I don't want to say anything about these individuals.
Currently, Vivian still believes there will be a rebound, but has lowered the high-point expectations for BTC and is also bearish on altcoins.
Liu Yudong is firmly bullish but has made adjustments. As long as US stocks do not collapse, BTC can continue to reach new highs. However, if US stocks collapse, it will break below 114723 again.
Vivian's prediction of a significant drop in early August is getting closer. If a major drop really happens, it will surely be led by a collapse in US stocks. I currently still hold two long positions, and I will liquidate them for risk management after this rebound.
To say something after the fact, I believed that BTC would rebound as expected tonight when it was at 117500, so I didn't lose my long position. However, I will look for opportunities to liquidate during this rise, as altcoins are performing too poorly.
I believe this wave of BTC will rise to at least 120500, with only a 2% fluctuation.
Statement:
The above information is for reference only and is not trading advice. The crypto market is high-risk, and participation should be cautious.
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