7.1 5th Bitcoin Intraday Analysis and Entry Strategy Reference

#CPI数据来袭 $BTC I. Long Strategy (Buy on Dips)

1. Entry Trigger Conditions

- If the price retraces and stabilizes in the 118,000-119,500 range, consider building a position in batches, combined with a moderate increase in volume.

- News support: Recent surge in short covering (over $318 million in a single day) indicates bullish market sentiment; support will be strengthened if there are news of institutional holdings increase or ETF fund inflows.

2. Target and Risk Control

- First target: $121,000 (previous high psychological level)

- Second target: Above $123,000 (needs to break and hold above the July 14 high).

II. Short Strategy (High-Level Game)

1. Entry Trigger Conditions

- If the price rises rapidly to the 122,500-123,300 range and stalls (e.g., a long upper shadow appears on the 15-minute chart or MACD divergence), you can try shorting with a light position.

- News basis: Some investors have cashed out at historical highs, and the technical aspect anticipates a "retest of highs encountering selling pressure".

2. Target and Follow-up

- Initial target: $120,000 (round number and short-term support)

- Deep target: $118,500 (if the market suddenly experiences regulatory rumors or giant whale address changes).

III. Key News Clues

- Bullish Catalysts:

- Continued institutional entry (e.g., new Bitcoin ETF applications) or rising expectations of a Fed rate cut.

- On-chain data shows long-term holders reluctant to sell, reducing circulating supply.

- Bearish Catalysts:

- Sudden large transfers on exchanges (suspected pre-sale signals).

- Resurgence of regulatory uncertainty such as the U.S. SEC delaying spot ETF approvals.

IV. Operational Rhythm Recommendations

- Asian Session (Current): Observe mainly, focusing on the 118,500-122,000 range fluctuation.

- European and American Sessions: Cooperate with news trends (such as US stock market opening linkage, economic data release) and choose opportunities to break through and follow up.

- Key Validation Signal: Breaking through $123,300 needs to be accompanied by increased trading volume (>20% of the previous day); a drop below $118,000 will suspend the long plan.

> Note: The above strategy is based on historical price fluctuation patterns and publicly available market information integration - actual execution needs to be combined with real-time market adjustments. Market fluctuations are severe, and position management is the first principle.