PEPE Oversold Alert! Bottom-fishing opportunity or deep pit in a bear market? 🔥 Enter with caution, high risks!
Technical Analysis:
• Price Status: Bollinger Band position 35.01% (between the middle and lower bands, strong oversold signal), MA200 deviation -12.71% (bear market trend), holding cost deviation -10.32% (below cost line, selling pressure risk).
• Market Strength: Volume ratio 0.49 (shrinking, market weak), price down 4.65% accompanied by open interest decrease of 77.73% (capital outflow, bears in control). No significant news, sentiment has digested the negatives.
• Key Levels: Support 0.0097 (Bollinger lower band + historical liquidity zone), Resistance 0.0108 (Bollinger upper band). Buying pressure is less than selling pressure (long-short ratio down to 2.29).
Market Cycle Analysis:
Currently in the mid-term of a bear market, trend downwards but RSI 36.6 is oversold, a short-term rebound may occur, but sustainability is weak.
Trading Strategy:
• Entry Point: 0.0102 (aggressive, confirmation of breakout above the Bollinger middle band)
• Stop Loss Point: 0.0096 (below the lower band)
• Target Level: 0.0108 (upper band resistance)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.0
Risk Warning:
• Market Risk: Possibility of prolonged bear market (open interest down 77%), insufficient liquidity (shrinking volume).
• Strategy Failure: Falling below 0.0096 or macro events (such as regulatory news).
• Operational Note: Position ≤2% of total funds, avoid low liquidity periods during Asian trading hours.
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