TRUMP Crash Alert! Bear Market Accelerating, Seize Shorting Opportunities, FOMO Sentiment is Spreading
Current TRUMP price 9.46 USDT, in the phase of accelerating bear market, technical indicators show oversold but not reversed. 24-hour decline of 2.07%, trading volume shrunk to 44% of historical average, significant selling pressure on the order book (buy/sell ratio 0.917), negative funding rate suggests bearish continuation. Suggest to short entry at 9.46, stop loss at 9.60, target at 9.10, risk-reward ratio 2.57. Risk: oversold rebound or liquidity shock, position control within 2%, avoid operating during low liquidity periods.
Technical Analysis
1. Price Status: Bollinger Band position 26.94% (near lower band, oversold signal), MA200 deviation -7.63% (bear market trend), holding cost deviation -6.63% (below average cost, selling pressure temporarily eased).
2. Market Strength: Volume shrinkage combined with price decline, no significant breakout; open interest decreased (1h -0.74%), net outflow of funds (24h contract flow -639k), long-short ratio rose to 1.48 but the funding rate is negative, leaning bearish amid contradictions; no significant news disturbances.
3. Key Levels: Support at 9.10/9.0 (buyer liquidity 543k/643k USDT), resistance 10.24 (MA200)/10.5 (seller 261k USDT); near-end sell orders are high (-234k), liquidity gap is small.
Market Cycle Analysis
Mid-bear market, RSI 37.68 not oversold, trend can be sustained.
Trading Strategy
• Entry: 9.46 (current price, aggressive)
• Stop Loss: 9.60 (upper resistance)
• Target: 9.10 (support area)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.57
Risk Warning
Market Risk: oversold rebound or macro events; strategy failure condition: price breaks 9.60; operating notes: position ≤2%, avoid periods of insufficient liquidity.
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