#FOMCMeeting Given the current situation, my expectations are for another pause in interest rates.

Reasons for the Pause:

1 Divergence between Political Rhetoric and Economic Data: President Trump's call for rate cuts, although politically motivated to stimulate the economy and perhaps boost the markets ahead of the elections, is not the main factor that the Fed considers. The Federal Reserve operates (in theory) independently, focusing on its dual mandate of maximum employment generation and price stability (inflation).

2 Decreasing but Resilient Inflation: While inflation may be "continuing to decrease", the Fed needs to see sustained and convincing evidence that inflation is consistently on its way to the 2% target before acting. A single reading or a few readings of decline may not be sufficient if the underlying data (such as service inflation, wages) still show resilience. The Fed is averse to cutting too early and having to reverse policy.

3 Robust Labor Market (Likely): If the U.S. labor market remains robust, with low unemployment rates and wage growth, this gives the Fed less urgency to cut rates. A strong labor market can sustain demand and, therefore, inflation.