On the macro level, Tokyo-listed company Metaplanet announced it acquired 1,112 Bitcoins at an average price of about $105,400, with a total investment of $117.2 million. According to its CEO, the company's total Bitcoin holdings have reached 10,000 Bitcoins, with a cumulative investment of $947 million and an average cost of about $94,700. Since 2025, its Bitcoin investment return rate has reached 266.1%, highlighting its long-term optimism towards the crypto market.
Despite the current global situation remaining turbulent, this week the market's focus remains on geopolitical risks and the direction of Sino-U.S. trade relations. Especially regarding Sino-U.S. trade, although the Trump administration claims that both sides have reached a preliminary consensus, apart from maintaining existing tariffs and some export adjustments, the Chinese side remains low-key. Whether there will be more substantial progress this week remains to be seen.
Several key economic data points will be released this week. First, the Bank of Japan will announce its latest interest rate decision next week. Although Japan is currently facing a series of economic challenges, the market generally expects it to maintain the current interest rate unchanged.
In the U.S., the retail sales data to be released on Tuesday is particularly critical. Current market predictions suggest this data will show negative growth, indicating a rising risk of deflation. Given that the U.S. economy relies heavily on domestic demand, weak retail data often signals a decline in personal consumption, which could further drag down GDP growth.
This Thursday, the Federal Reserve will hold a monetary policy meeting. Although the market unanimously believes that interest rates will remain unchanged, more attention will be paid to the changes in the dot plot and the content of Powell's speech, which will provide important guidance for the policy direction in the second half of the year.
From the capital market perspective, after the CME opened, all three major U.S. stock index futures rose, with both the S&P and Nasdaq rising over 1%, indicating that Asian players are responding mildly to geopolitical conflicts, and overall risk sentiment remains relatively stable.
On-chain data shows that if Bitcoin's price breaks through $107,000, the cumulative short liquidation on mainstream platforms will reach $909 million. If it breaks down below $103,000, the liquidation scale could be as high as $1.391 billion.
At the same time, the platform's Bitcoin inventory continues to decrease, and market optimism remains strong. Players generally react calmly to short-term fluctuations, focusing more on long-term value and trend judgments.
From a data perspective, despite the geopolitical tensions, the overall trend of Bitcoin remains stable, with turnover rates maintaining normal ranges, and the chip structure has not shown significant loosening. Among them, the chips in the $93,000 to $98,000 range remain solid, while new positions are also starting to accumulate near the $105,000 mark.
In summary, Bitcoin may still be in a phase of topping out. In the short term, if there is no significant positive support, there may be pressure for a correction in the future market. Recent market trends show that Bitcoin trading patterns exhibit a certain regularity, usually rising from Monday to Wednesday, adjusting from Thursday to Friday, and entering a sideways range over the weekend.
