June 14 Market Analysis

1. The situation in the Middle East continues to ferment, pushing up oil prices, and inflationary pressures constrain the Federal Reserve's policy space. If the conflict escalates and leads to an increase in U.S. Treasury issuance, it may withdraw market liquidity and suppress risk assets. Currently, oil prices have become a key barometer, and we need to be cautious of sudden fluctuations due to insufficient liquidity over the weekend. It is worth noting that the S&P 500 has encountered resistance at the high point of 6050 and has fallen back, failing to rebound again in the early morning. The U.S. stock market is closed over the weekend, so we need to track the pre-market trends on Monday.

2. #BTC had an upward consolidation trend yesterday. Although it was linked to the rebound of U.S. stocks, there was no significant rise. The price encountered resistance at 106000 and adjusted downwards. We still need to pay attention to the resistance at this level, similar to the drop to 100000 on the 6th. The range of 106000-107000 has again become the range for future fluctuations. In terms of operations, we can short within this range with a stop loss at 107800 to participate in the medium-term trade. Below, we expect a second test or even a lower point to appear, with support at 103500 serving as a take-profit point for short positions.

3. #ETH is linked to the overall market trend, with the price reaching the critical range of 2550-2600. It faced resistance at 2580 in the early morning and fell back. We can track the subsequent 1-hour/30-minute Vegas for resistance references to enter short positions, using a small stop loss to gamble on a second test below. Resistance zone is 2580-2600, support is 2480-2450.

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