交易员ANn
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April 30 Market Analysis
Fundamentals:
1. The US SEC has postponed the decision to allow Fidelity to add staking functionality to its spot Ethereum ETF.
2. Trump is introducing new tariff tricks! Overseas car companies want tax reductions? They must replace 85% of parts with American-made ones and build factories in the US. This move is pushing companies to relocate to the US, but once a new president is elected in 2028, policies may change, and car companies need to calculate the costs carefully.
3. GDP and PCE data will be released at 8:30 PM, and there are significant market divergences—some believe poor data means increased expectations for rate cuts, which is favorable, while others think that the earnings season is the main reason supporting the US stock market.
Technical Analysis:
1. #BTC Current quote 94500. In the long term, this bullish wave is expected to challenge around 106000, but attention must be paid to mid-term adjustments; we can only look for bullish continuation if the lower level of 88000 remains unbroken. The mid-term fluctuation range is getting smaller, so be cautious of false breakouts and subsequent declines around 91000. Short-term support is formed by the 1-hour Vegas at 93500, while resistance remains at 97000-97500.
2. #ETH Current quote 1800. It is linked to the overall market trend, currently experiencing wide fluctuations in the 1850-1740 range, with trading volume slightly higher compared to BTC. It is expected to continue sideways adjustment, with strong support at 1750, while 1700 has super strong support from the daily MA30 moving average. As long as it does not break below this level, it is expected to rise to around 2100.
3. Daily operation reference
93500-93000 Long position Stop loss 92400 Take profit 94500, 95000
96500-97300 Short position Stop loss 98200 Take profit 94000, 92000
1750-1740 Long position Stop loss 1720 Take profit 1800, 1820
1840-1850 Short position Stop loss 1865 Take profit 1800, 1780
Fundamentals:
1. The US SEC has postponed the decision to allow Fidelity to add staking functionality to its spot Ethereum ETF.
2. Trump is introducing new tariff tricks! Overseas car companies want tax reductions? They must replace 85% of parts with American-made ones and build factories in the US. This move is pushing companies to relocate to the US, but once a new president is elected in 2028, policies may change, and car companies need to calculate the costs carefully.
3. GDP and PCE data will be released at 8:30 PM, and there are significant market divergences—some believe poor data means increased expectations for rate cuts, which is favorable, while others think that the earnings season is the main reason supporting the US stock market.
Technical Analysis:
1. #BTC Current quote 94500. In the long term, this bullish wave is expected to challenge around 106000, but attention must be paid to mid-term adjustments; we can only look for bullish continuation if the lower level of 88000 remains unbroken. The mid-term fluctuation range is getting smaller, so be cautious of false breakouts and subsequent declines around 91000. Short-term support is formed by the 1-hour Vegas at 93500, while resistance remains at 97000-97500.
2. #ETH Current quote 1800. It is linked to the overall market trend, currently experiencing wide fluctuations in the 1850-1740 range, with trading volume slightly higher compared to BTC. It is expected to continue sideways adjustment, with strong support at 1750, while 1700 has super strong support from the daily MA30 moving average. As long as it does not break below this level, it is expected to rise to around 2100.
3. Daily operation reference
93500-93000 Long position Stop loss 92400 Take profit 94500, 95000
96500-97300 Short position Stop loss 98200 Take profit 94000, 92000
1750-1740 Long position Stop loss 1720 Take profit 1800, 1820
1840-1850 Short position Stop loss 1865 Take profit 1800, 1780
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April 29 Market Analysis
1. Recently pay more attention to fundamental information, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut process
2. The large pancake (大饼) #BTC has been in a continuation adjustment trend for two consecutive days, with a strong resistance at 95500 still effective! Currently, it remains a high-level oscillation outlook, and the expectation is to continue consolidating during the day, patiently waiting. The upper resistance reference for the day is 95500-96200, and the lower support is 93500-92800! Operate with a high short and low long mindset!
3. The second pancake (二饼) #ETH follows BTC in synchronous consolidation, with the expectation to maintain consolidation during the day, a corrective market. The upper resistance reference for the day is 1845-1850, and the lower support is 1740-1725! Operate with a high short and low long mindset!
4. Daily operation references
Short at 96200-97500, stop loss at 98300, take profit at 94000, 91000
Long at 93500-93000, stop loss at 92500, take profit at 94500, 95500
Long at 1765-1750, stop loss at 1720, take profit at 1800, 1840
Short at 1845-1855, stop loss at 1870, take profit at 1800, 1780
1. Recently pay more attention to fundamental information, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut process
2. The large pancake (大饼) #BTC has been in a continuation adjustment trend for two consecutive days, with a strong resistance at 95500 still effective! Currently, it remains a high-level oscillation outlook, and the expectation is to continue consolidating during the day, patiently waiting. The upper resistance reference for the day is 95500-96200, and the lower support is 93500-92800! Operate with a high short and low long mindset!
3. The second pancake (二饼) #ETH follows BTC in synchronous consolidation, with the expectation to maintain consolidation during the day, a corrective market. The upper resistance reference for the day is 1845-1850, and the lower support is 1740-1725! Operate with a high short and low long mindset!
4. Daily operation references
Short at 96200-97500, stop loss at 98300, take profit at 94000, 91000
Long at 93500-93000, stop loss at 92500, take profit at 94500, 95500
Long at 1765-1750, stop loss at 1720, take profit at 1800, 1840
Short at 1845-1855, stop loss at 1870, take profit at 1800, 1780
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April 28 Market Analysis
1. The market became active on Monday, still paying attention to the follow-up of events such as tariffs and interest rate cuts.
2. #BTC Current quote 94000. The weekly chart shows three consecutive bullish candles; pay attention to the situation on the right side of the weekly K-line to determine whether it can touch 110,000 again. The intermediate trend requires attention to the corrective adjustment, with resistance at 96000-97000 above, and support near 91000 during pullbacks.
3. #ETH Current quote 1790. From the weekly chart, the bottom confirmation needs to be tested again, and the reversal must reclaim the neckline position. The medium-term linkage is a consolidation of the broader market, with the daily MA60 resistance at around 1850, and the key support at MA30 1680 below. In the short term, the price recovered again after a spike in the morning 4-hour chart, indicating that funds still have a positive outlook for the future.
4. Intraday operation reference
Go long at 93000-93500, stop loss at 92400, take profit at 94500, 96200
Go short at 96300-97500, stop loss at 98300, take profit at 94000, 91500
Go long at 1780-1760, stop loss at 1740, take profit at 1820, 1845
Go short at 1850-1865, stop loss at 1880, take profit at 1820, 1780
1. The market became active on Monday, still paying attention to the follow-up of events such as tariffs and interest rate cuts.
2. #BTC Current quote 94000. The weekly chart shows three consecutive bullish candles; pay attention to the situation on the right side of the weekly K-line to determine whether it can touch 110,000 again. The intermediate trend requires attention to the corrective adjustment, with resistance at 96000-97000 above, and support near 91000 during pullbacks.
3. #ETH Current quote 1790. From the weekly chart, the bottom confirmation needs to be tested again, and the reversal must reclaim the neckline position. The medium-term linkage is a consolidation of the broader market, with the daily MA60 resistance at around 1850, and the key support at MA30 1680 below. In the short term, the price recovered again after a spike in the morning 4-hour chart, indicating that funds still have a positive outlook for the future.
4. Intraday operation reference
Go long at 93000-93500, stop loss at 92400, take profit at 94500, 96200
Go short at 96300-97500, stop loss at 98300, take profit at 94000, 91500
Go long at 1780-1760, stop loss at 1740, take profit at 1820, 1845
Go short at 1850-1865, stop loss at 1880, take profit at 1820, 1780
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April 26 Market Analysis #BTC走势分析
1. Maintain yesterday's thought, focus on the ongoing effects of tariffs and interest rate cuts, wait for the market to adjust and choose a direction, as well as the upcoming weekly and monthly closing.
2. BTC current price 94,500. Estimated volatile trend over the weekend, patiently waiting for the key resistance level above. Daily support at 93,300.
3. ETH current price 1,790. Yesterday's short position fell back 40 points from the high. Over the weekend, pay attention to whether a strong move occurs for a potential rebound, with 1,835 as significant resistance above, and 1,765 support below, short-term trading can be done within this range.
Buy at 1,770-1,765 Stop loss at 1,750 Take profit at 1,820, 1,830
1. Maintain yesterday's thought, focus on the ongoing effects of tariffs and interest rate cuts, wait for the market to adjust and choose a direction, as well as the upcoming weekly and monthly closing.
2. BTC current price 94,500. Estimated volatile trend over the weekend, patiently waiting for the key resistance level above. Daily support at 93,300.
3. ETH current price 1,790. Yesterday's short position fell back 40 points from the high. Over the weekend, pay attention to whether a strong move occurs for a potential rebound, with 1,835 as significant resistance above, and 1,765 support below, short-term trading can be done within this range.
Buy at 1,770-1,765 Stop loss at 1,750 Take profit at 1,820, 1,830
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April 25 Market Analysis
1. Continue to pay attention to tariff processes and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut dynamics. U.S. stocks have strengthened again, approaching the critical level of 5500 before the market opens, continuing to observe.
2. #BTC Current quote 93000. After three consecutive days of gains, it has consolidated for two days; the daily level needs time for a continuation adjustment. Focus on the small-scale structural trend within the day. Once it breaks above 95000, one can position short between 96500-97500.
3. #ETH Current quote 1760. Adjusting in line with the market, the pullback yesterday was large, but 1720 is within the normal retracement range. Pay attention to whether it will experience a follow-up rise today; 1740 is a short-term support, and one can enter long positions. Resistance above is at 1820.
4. Intraday operation reference
BTC 92200-91800 go long stop loss 91400 take profit 94000
96500-97500 go short stop loss 98000 take profit 94000
ETH 1745-1740 go long stop loss 1720 take profit 1780, 1800
1820-1835 go short stop loss 1850 take profit 1785
1. Continue to pay attention to tariff processes and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut dynamics. U.S. stocks have strengthened again, approaching the critical level of 5500 before the market opens, continuing to observe.
2. #BTC Current quote 93000. After three consecutive days of gains, it has consolidated for two days; the daily level needs time for a continuation adjustment. Focus on the small-scale structural trend within the day. Once it breaks above 95000, one can position short between 96500-97500.
3. #ETH Current quote 1760. Adjusting in line with the market, the pullback yesterday was large, but 1720 is within the normal retracement range. Pay attention to whether it will experience a follow-up rise today; 1740 is a short-term support, and one can enter long positions. Resistance above is at 1820.
4. Intraday operation reference
BTC 92200-91800 go long stop loss 91400 take profit 94000
96500-97500 go short stop loss 98000 take profit 94000
ETH 1745-1740 go long stop loss 1720 take profit 1780, 1800
1820-1835 go short stop loss 1850 take profit 1785
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Market analysis on April 24
1. With the easing of Trump's policies and the softening of the Fed's attitude, investors are gradually "desensitized" to geopolitical risks. Although the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations have encountered obstacles, the overall market sentiment is optimistic, and the economic slowdown signal may limit short-term gains.
2. #BTC is currently quoted at 92700. The overall daily bullish trend, but the short-term price has a certain exhaustion. It is expected to test 96500-97000 during the day. The futures gap below 91500 has not been filled. If the high point appears, you can intervene in the short position. Focus on the daily support near 88000. As long as it does not break, it can be treated as a daily relay adjustment.
3. #ETH is currently quoted at 1770. Linking the overall market trend, it is relatively simple from the daily level. As long as the 1700 of MA30 does not fall below, it can continue to look at the 1900 position, which is also the support of the 4-hour Vegas. The overall trend is bullish, waiting for the adjustment of the daily line. Short-term support is 1750, supported by the lower edge of the previous platform. If it does not break, it can be seen around 1820.
4. Intraday strategy reference
BTC 92500-92000 long stop loss 91400 take profit 94400, 96000
96500-97000 short stop loss 97600 take profit 94000, 91500
ETH 1770-1760 long stop loss 1745 take profit 1800-1820
1880-1900 short stop loss 1910 take profit 1750
1. With the easing of Trump's policies and the softening of the Fed's attitude, investors are gradually "desensitized" to geopolitical risks. Although the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations have encountered obstacles, the overall market sentiment is optimistic, and the economic slowdown signal may limit short-term gains.
2. #BTC is currently quoted at 92700. The overall daily bullish trend, but the short-term price has a certain exhaustion. It is expected to test 96500-97000 during the day. The futures gap below 91500 has not been filled. If the high point appears, you can intervene in the short position. Focus on the daily support near 88000. As long as it does not break, it can be treated as a daily relay adjustment.
3. #ETH is currently quoted at 1770. Linking the overall market trend, it is relatively simple from the daily level. As long as the 1700 of MA30 does not fall below, it can continue to look at the 1900 position, which is also the support of the 4-hour Vegas. The overall trend is bullish, waiting for the adjustment of the daily line. Short-term support is 1750, supported by the lower edge of the previous platform. If it does not break, it can be seen around 1820.
4. Intraday strategy reference
BTC 92500-92000 long stop loss 91400 take profit 94400, 96000
96500-97000 short stop loss 97600 take profit 94000, 91500
ETH 1770-1760 long stop loss 1745 take profit 1800-1820
1880-1900 short stop loss 1910 take profit 1750
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April 23 Market Analysis
1. Market optimism is rising, mainly influenced by Trump's latest statements—he denied the rumors about firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and signaled a potential easing of tariffs on China, alleviating trade tension expectations. As the market jokingly puts it: "The only one who can defeat Trump is himself the next day."
2. #BTC Current Quote 93300. After breaking through 87000 on the daily chart, it has surged to 94000. Currently, the medium-term bullish trend continues, with attention on resistance at 96300 above, while the important 5500 threshold in the US stock market has not been breached, which requires vigilance. Subsequently, pay attention to support around 90000 and 88000, considering short-term long positions.
3. #ETH Current Quote 1790. 24-hour increase of 15%, it has been a long time since we've been this excited. As consistent with yesterday's video analysis, prior to the catch-up, the morning spike was intended to liquidate long positions for better upward movement. The price has now returned to the previously focused level of 1750; monitor for a pullback. From the eth/btc exchange rate perspective, it has not yet established an independent trend; we need to watch 0.02, as once it breaks through, it is highly likely to signal a larger catch-up.
4. Intraday operation reference
BTC 91800-91500 go long Stop Loss 90800 Take Profit 93000, 94000
ETH 1760-1745 go long Stop Loss 1730 Take Profit 1775, 1800
1. Market optimism is rising, mainly influenced by Trump's latest statements—he denied the rumors about firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and signaled a potential easing of tariffs on China, alleviating trade tension expectations. As the market jokingly puts it: "The only one who can defeat Trump is himself the next day."
2. #BTC Current Quote 93300. After breaking through 87000 on the daily chart, it has surged to 94000. Currently, the medium-term bullish trend continues, with attention on resistance at 96300 above, while the important 5500 threshold in the US stock market has not been breached, which requires vigilance. Subsequently, pay attention to support around 90000 and 88000, considering short-term long positions.
3. #ETH Current Quote 1790. 24-hour increase of 15%, it has been a long time since we've been this excited. As consistent with yesterday's video analysis, prior to the catch-up, the morning spike was intended to liquidate long positions for better upward movement. The price has now returned to the previously focused level of 1750; monitor for a pullback. From the eth/btc exchange rate perspective, it has not yet established an independent trend; we need to watch 0.02, as once it breaks through, it is highly likely to signal a larger catch-up.
4. Intraday operation reference
BTC 91800-91500 go long Stop Loss 90800 Take Profit 93000, 94000
ETH 1760-1745 go long Stop Loss 1730 Take Profit 1775, 1800
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Market analysis on April 22 #BTC走势分析
1. Affected by news such as tariffs, inflation, and interest rate cuts, the market sentiment is risk-averse. In the short term, we need to be cautious in chasing highs. Pay attention to the progress of tariffs and the progress of the Fed's interest rate cuts, and adjust expectations within the day.
2. BTC is currently quoted at 88250. Yesterday, the US stock market continued to fall, and the big cake did not fall in tandem and went out of the independent market, which is a good signal. In the morning, it rose again to around 89,000. Note that this is the high point of the previous few times. It is not recommended to chase highs. You can participate in short orders to test the resistance strength appropriately. Pay attention to the support situation below 86,000 during the day, and you can participate in long orders to buy and see shocks. Once the upper 89,000 is broken, look at the strong resistance near 92,500.
3. ETH is currently quoted at 1580. It rose simultaneously yesterday, but due to structural suppression, it fell back again, and showed weakness in the callback. In the morning, it even liquidated recent longs. Pay attention to whether the Bitcoin shock Ethereum will go out of the independent market. 1560 is still the current support, and it is effective until it falls below. Pay attention to the resistance brought by 1660 above, and the key horizontal resistance of 1690.
4. Daily operation reference
BTC 86000-85600 long stop loss 85300 take profit 87800, 88500
88800-89100 short stop loss 89500 take profit 86500
#ETH 1570-1560 long stop loss 1550 take profit 1600, 1620, 1660
1680-1690 short stop loss 1699 take profit 1660, 1640
1. Affected by news such as tariffs, inflation, and interest rate cuts, the market sentiment is risk-averse. In the short term, we need to be cautious in chasing highs. Pay attention to the progress of tariffs and the progress of the Fed's interest rate cuts, and adjust expectations within the day.
2. BTC is currently quoted at 88250. Yesterday, the US stock market continued to fall, and the big cake did not fall in tandem and went out of the independent market, which is a good signal. In the morning, it rose again to around 89,000. Note that this is the high point of the previous few times. It is not recommended to chase highs. You can participate in short orders to test the resistance strength appropriately. Pay attention to the support situation below 86,000 during the day, and you can participate in long orders to buy and see shocks. Once the upper 89,000 is broken, look at the strong resistance near 92,500.
3. ETH is currently quoted at 1580. It rose simultaneously yesterday, but due to structural suppression, it fell back again, and showed weakness in the callback. In the morning, it even liquidated recent longs. Pay attention to whether the Bitcoin shock Ethereum will go out of the independent market. 1560 is still the current support, and it is effective until it falls below. Pay attention to the resistance brought by 1660 above, and the key horizontal resistance of 1690.
4. Daily operation reference
BTC 86000-85600 long stop loss 85300 take profit 87800, 88500
88800-89100 short stop loss 89500 take profit 86500
#ETH 1570-1560 long stop loss 1550 take profit 1600, 1620, 1660
1680-1690 short stop loss 1699 take profit 1660, 1640
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April 19 Market Analysis #BTC走势分析
1. This week pay attention to the impact of tariffs, countries' boycotts, and Trump's changing statements. Also, the information from the Federal Reserve regarding the potential rate cut in May could trigger significant volatility if there are any changes.
2. BTC current price is 87300. The recent week's fluctuations have finally broken up, with 83000 serving as a key support level after multiple retests. After two days of fluctuations, the 4-hour Vegas and daily MA30 are very strong. The MA60 moving average we have been watching has also broken through, but the upward space is limited until we break 90000. It is not recommended to chase the rise; instead, watch for a pullback to create buying opportunities.
3. #ETH current price is 1640. It moves in line with the overall market trend, with strong support at 1550 below. A mid-term breakthrough of 1600 would signal strong momentum. Pay attention to this support level during the day. The previous high of 1690 is currently overlapping on the 4-hour Vegas, acting as the first resistance, with strong resistance coming from the daily MA30 moving average and the lower edge of the previous fluctuations at 1740. Short-term attention should be on resistance at 1650 and support at 1620.
4. Daily operation references
BTC 85800-85300 buy stop loss 84500 take profit 87000, 88000
88500-89000 sell stop loss 89500 take profit 87000
ETH 1620-1610 buy stop loss 1598 take profit 1645, 1685
1685-1695 sell stop loss 1702 take profit 1655
1735-1750 sell stop loss 1760 take profit 1600
1. This week pay attention to the impact of tariffs, countries' boycotts, and Trump's changing statements. Also, the information from the Federal Reserve regarding the potential rate cut in May could trigger significant volatility if there are any changes.
2. BTC current price is 87300. The recent week's fluctuations have finally broken up, with 83000 serving as a key support level after multiple retests. After two days of fluctuations, the 4-hour Vegas and daily MA30 are very strong. The MA60 moving average we have been watching has also broken through, but the upward space is limited until we break 90000. It is not recommended to chase the rise; instead, watch for a pullback to create buying opportunities.
3. #ETH current price is 1640. It moves in line with the overall market trend, with strong support at 1550 below. A mid-term breakthrough of 1600 would signal strong momentum. Pay attention to this support level during the day. The previous high of 1690 is currently overlapping on the 4-hour Vegas, acting as the first resistance, with strong resistance coming from the daily MA30 moving average and the lower edge of the previous fluctuations at 1740. Short-term attention should be on resistance at 1650 and support at 1620.
4. Daily operation references
BTC 85800-85300 buy stop loss 84500 take profit 87000, 88000
88500-89000 sell stop loss 89500 take profit 87000
ETH 1620-1610 buy stop loss 1598 take profit 1645, 1685
1685-1695 sell stop loss 1702 take profit 1655
1735-1750 sell stop loss 1760 take profit 1600
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#BTC The market has been stagnant for so long, what exactly does this dog fund want to do?
Now, there are already quite a few short positions accumulated above, and more funds are in a wait-and-see attitude. Perhaps they are waiting to manage their positions when it breaks 87000? The intentions of the dog fund are hard to decipher, but retail investors should have this false move in mind. If they really do trigger a massive short squeeze, it would be quite interesting!
Now, there are already quite a few short positions accumulated above, and more funds are in a wait-and-see attitude. Perhaps they are waiting to manage their positions when it breaks 87000? The intentions of the dog fund are hard to decipher, but retail investors should have this false move in mind. If they really do trigger a massive short squeeze, it would be quite interesting!
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4月19日盘面分析
1、利好：德克萨斯州定于4月23日举行众议院比特币战略储备法案听证会，该州计划每年购入5亿美元比特币。
2、#BTC走势分析 现报价85050. 从目前盘面来看，还是维持前几日思路，以震荡为主，行情在多空双方互相拉扯阶段，今天多头有上攻迹象，但没有破位的情况下，整体趋势依旧看矩形区间即可，等待变盘。日内关注上方85500-86000，下方83500支撑。
3、ETH 现报价1602. 走势基本同比特币一样，处于窄幅震荡，日内反弹关注上方1615阻力，多头发力可顺势追多看1650-1665区间，下方1570-1580支撑。
4、日常操作参考
BTC 85500-86000做空 止损86200 止盈84200、83500
83500-83000做多 止损82800 止盈84500、85500
#ETH 1610-1615做空 止损1625 止盈1595、1580
1560-1550做多 止损1535 止盈1590、1620
1、利好：德克萨斯州定于4月23日举行众议院比特币战略储备法案听证会，该州计划每年购入5亿美元比特币。
2、#BTC走势分析 现报价85050. 从目前盘面来看，还是维持前几日思路，以震荡为主，行情在多空双方互相拉扯阶段，今天多头有上攻迹象，但没有破位的情况下，整体趋势依旧看矩形区间即可，等待变盘。日内关注上方85500-86000，下方83500支撑。
3、ETH 现报价1602. 走势基本同比特币一样，处于窄幅震荡，日内反弹关注上方1615阻力，多头发力可顺势追多看1650-1665区间，下方1570-1580支撑。
4、日常操作参考
BTC 85500-86000做空 止损86200 止盈84200、83500
83500-83000做多 止损82800 止盈84500、85500
#ETH 1610-1615做空 止损1625 止盈1595、1580
1560-1550做多 止损1535 止盈1590、1620
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Today's video says I violated the rules, and I don't know what the issue is. There is currently no change in the market, you can refer to the content of the videos from the past few days, let's start with a text analysis:
April 18 Market Analysis
1. Trump made some random comments early this morning, and the market's expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut in May has dropped to below 10%. The tariff issue is gradually starting to ferment, so pay attention to how news affects market movements. Today, the US stock market is closed, and with two days of the weekend, we hope for a repeat of last weekend's market.
2. The current price for #BTC走势分析 is 84500. From the chart, it looks like 83000 is very firm, and various indicators still show a bullish trend, but it has not been able to break through 86000 for a while. This position has been oscillating for almost a week, and until it breaks out, we should still think of high long and low short strategies, but be sure to set stop losses. Once the direction is clear, it could accelerate.
3. The current price for #ETH is 1580. During the market's oscillation, Ethereum has also followed this trend, but the rebound is weak. During the pullback, it may go a bit further, with highs continuously lowering. The bullish trend indicated is weakening, so pay attention to acceleration after breaking the levels. 1620 is a short-term resistance point, with support at 1550 below, and if it breaks, look for a bottoming position at 1480.
4. Recommendations for steady operations during the day (single trade)
BTC 85300-85600 short stop loss 86100 take profit 84300
83200-83000 long stop loss 82600 take profit 84500
ETH 1600-1610 short stop loss 1622 take profit 1580
1550-1555 long stop loss 1535 take profit 1585, 1600
April 18 Market Analysis
1. Trump made some random comments early this morning, and the market's expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut in May has dropped to below 10%. The tariff issue is gradually starting to ferment, so pay attention to how news affects market movements. Today, the US stock market is closed, and with two days of the weekend, we hope for a repeat of last weekend's market.
2. The current price for #BTC走势分析 is 84500. From the chart, it looks like 83000 is very firm, and various indicators still show a bullish trend, but it has not been able to break through 86000 for a while. This position has been oscillating for almost a week, and until it breaks out, we should still think of high long and low short strategies, but be sure to set stop losses. Once the direction is clear, it could accelerate.
3. The current price for #ETH is 1580. During the market's oscillation, Ethereum has also followed this trend, but the rebound is weak. During the pullback, it may go a bit further, with highs continuously lowering. The bullish trend indicated is weakening, so pay attention to acceleration after breaking the levels. 1620 is a short-term resistance point, with support at 1550 below, and if it breaks, look for a bottoming position at 1480.
4. Recommendations for steady operations during the day (single trade)
BTC 85300-85600 short stop loss 86100 take profit 84300
83200-83000 long stop loss 82600 take profit 84500
ETH 1600-1610 short stop loss 1622 take profit 1580
1550-1555 long stop loss 1535 take profit 1585, 1600
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After so much fluctuation, it should finally show direction. It has been unable to drop today; it seems strong but actually lacks any liquidity. As long as there are no surprises tonight, we will see how much it drops in the next three days. Tomorrow the U.S. stock market is closed, plus two days over the weekend, how much impact will there be? If it really crashes, 83,000 definitely won't hold.
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Today, a guy who made 10 times last week asked me: Old A, how should I operate in this market? The fluctuations happen only during those few hours at night, and I haven’t had a chance to recover from a stop-loss, I’ve given back a lot of what I earned.
I told him: In this situation, you need to control your hands, withdraw your profits first. Most of the current time is considered garbage time; go out and play to pass the time, or even sleep and play games, just don't focus your energy on this period. The fact that you could make 10 times last week shows that you are skilled at trend trading, but we need to have a sufficient understanding of ourselves. Not every market and every stage is suitable for you. If you’re trading trends, don’t touch sideways markets; conversely, if you like to trade sideways, avoid one-sided markets.
You only see Liangxi turning around after three years, but you ignore the beatings he took before. We spend most of our time trial and error, waiting for a market we are familiar with, then trading boldly, rather than always thinking of going all-in.
Ordinary people can make money in the market and achieve consistent profits only by finding their own positioning, avoiding unnecessary losses, and doing what is profitable. You need both offense and defense, so that you can be well-rounded!!
I told him: In this situation, you need to control your hands, withdraw your profits first. Most of the current time is considered garbage time; go out and play to pass the time, or even sleep and play games, just don't focus your energy on this period. The fact that you could make 10 times last week shows that you are skilled at trend trading, but we need to have a sufficient understanding of ourselves. Not every market and every stage is suitable for you. If you’re trading trends, don’t touch sideways markets; conversely, if you like to trade sideways, avoid one-sided markets.
You only see Liangxi turning around after three years, but you ignore the beatings he took before. We spend most of our time trial and error, waiting for a market we are familiar with, then trading boldly, rather than always thinking of going all-in.
Ordinary people can make money in the market and achieve consistent profits only by finding their own positioning, avoiding unnecessary losses, and doing what is profitable. You need both offense and defense, so that you can be well-rounded!!
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April 17, #BTC走势分析
1. The Fed's hawkish stance suppresses interest rate cut expectations, with policy balance still tilted towards inflation control. The acceleration of stablecoin legislation may inject new liquidity into the crypto market.
2. BTC current quote: 84000. Early morning, Powell's speech led to a market pullback, but it did not break through the 83000-86000 range as imagined. The price remains above various structural indicators, still in a mid-term bullish trend, with key support at 83000. The upper resistance at 86850 still needs attention. In the short term, consider shorting at high prices and longing at low prices without needing a significant shift.
3. ETH current quote: 1595. Early morning news cleared out long positions at 1550, after which the price reclaimed above 1550, with support still intact. If planning to hold long-term, consider 1550 as key support; if the price does not drop below it on the 4-hour chart, do not exit. However, if it effectively breaks below, we need to consider re-entering at 1480. Ethereum's recent performance is volatile, fluctuating between strong and weak. If the market regains confidence, we should act accordingly. Short-term resistance at 1610, 1650; mid-term resistance at 1740. Support at 1580, 1550.
4. Day trading short-term stable operation reference (single):
#BTC short at 85000-85500, stop loss at 86000, take profit at 84200, 83000
long at 83200-83000, stop loss at 82600, take profit at 85500
#ETH 1648-1654 short, stop loss at 1670, take profit at 1625, 1600
long at 1550-1555, stop loss at 1535, take profit at 1585, 1600
1. The Fed's hawkish stance suppresses interest rate cut expectations, with policy balance still tilted towards inflation control. The acceleration of stablecoin legislation may inject new liquidity into the crypto market.
2. BTC current quote: 84000. Early morning, Powell's speech led to a market pullback, but it did not break through the 83000-86000 range as imagined. The price remains above various structural indicators, still in a mid-term bullish trend, with key support at 83000. The upper resistance at 86850 still needs attention. In the short term, consider shorting at high prices and longing at low prices without needing a significant shift.
3. ETH current quote: 1595. Early morning news cleared out long positions at 1550, after which the price reclaimed above 1550, with support still intact. If planning to hold long-term, consider 1550 as key support; if the price does not drop below it on the 4-hour chart, do not exit. However, if it effectively breaks below, we need to consider re-entering at 1480. Ethereum's recent performance is volatile, fluctuating between strong and weak. If the market regains confidence, we should act accordingly. Short-term resistance at 1610, 1650; mid-term resistance at 1740. Support at 1580, 1550.
4. Day trading short-term stable operation reference (single):
#BTC short at 85000-85500, stop loss at 86000, take profit at 84200, 83000
long at 83200-83000, stop loss at 82600, take profit at 85500
#ETH 1648-1654 short, stop loss at 1670, take profit at 1625, 1600
long at 1550-1555, stop loss at 1535, take profit at 1585, 1600
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