BTC 4-Hour Trend Analysis and Strategy (2025-06-13)
Recently, the price of $BTC has been in a downtrend adjustment phase, breaking below the upward trend line, indicating that the market may enter a correction or reversal state, with a clear bearish sentiment in the short term.
Technical Observation
- K-line Pattern: Bearish signals such as Black Three Soldiers and Top Reversal are present, with the daily cloud cover further strengthening the selling inclination.
- Moving Average System: MA7 and MA30 have formed a short-term death cross, with prices below the moving averages, indicating a clear bearish trend.
- MACD: The DIF and DEA show a death cross, with market sentiment being weak.
Price Trend
Current price is 104,435 USDT, and it may test the lower support level of 100300 USDT soon. There is insufficient rebound momentum, and the risk of oscillating downwards is high.
Trading Suggestions
- Short-term Strategy: Focus on the support at 100300 USDT; if it breaks, the next support around 93000 may be tested, set a strict stop loss.
- Medium-term Strategy: Mainly wait and observe until the price stabilizes to re-enter the market.
- Long-term Strategy: Focus on defense, looking for layout opportunities at low levels.
- Risk Management: Strictly control positions to avoid chasing highs and panic selling.
Potential Levels
- Buy Point: Around 100,300 (short-term rebound support).
- Long Position Stop Loss: 99,000 (confirmation of downward trend).
- Second Buy Point: Around 93000 (second rebound support).
- Second Long Position Stop Loss: 92,000 (beginning of bear market trend).
- Sell Point: 106,775 USDT (resistance area).
- Short Position Stop Loss: 108,191.4 USDT (signal of trend strengthening).
