Comprehensive Analysis of Bullish and Bearish Predictions for the Next 24 Hours on June 13, 2025
1. U.S. Stock Market: Short-term fluctuations leaning bullish, but valuation pressures are emerging
2. Cryptocurrency: Intensified whale games, risks and opportunities coexist
Bullish Signals:
Accelerated Institutional Entry: Tech giants like Apple and Airbnb are exploring cryptocurrency applications, and Circle, a stablecoin giant, saw its IPO oversubscribed by 25 times, indicating rising institutional interest.
Technical Support: BTC found support around $108,762, and market sentiment has recovered after whales successfully closed ETH short positions.
Regulatory Easing: The UK's FCA lifted the ban on retail investing in crypto ETNs, and Switzerland is advancing crypto asset information exchange, indicating marginal improvement in the policy environment.
Bearish Signals:
High Leverage Risks: Whale “kyoyo” has a 40x leveraged short position (liquidation price $116,490) and large-scale token unlocks (APT, STRK, etc.) could trigger selling pressure.
Diverging Market Sentiment: The Fear and Greed Index is at 65 (Greed), but BTC price volatility is increasing, suggesting potential short-term pullback pressure.
Macroeconomic Disturbances: Rising U.S. Treasury yields (30-year auction pressures), a weakening dollar, but lingering inflation concerns may suppress risk appetite.
Prediction: Bullish 50% vs Bearish 50%
Whale operations and institutional dynamics dominate short-term volatility, suggesting close attention to BTC's key support at $116,000.
3. European Session and Forex Market: Weak Dollar Supporting Risk Assets
Bullish Factors:
Strengthening Euro: The dollar index has dropped to its lowest point in 2023 (dragged down by Trump's tariff policies), with EUR/USD breaking through the 1.14 level, benefiting inflows into European stocks.
European Central Bank Easing Expectations: Cooling CPI in the Eurozone may lead to rate cuts, although the market has partially digested this, and the pan-European STOXX 600 index shows technical rebounds.
Bearish Factors:
Trade Uncertainties: The U.S. has raised tariffs on steel and aluminum from the EU to 50%, increasing cost pressures on European businesses, suppressing industrial stocks' performance.
Prediction: Bullish 60% vs Bearish 40%
Policy easing in the Eurozone and a weak dollar may support European stocks, but caution is warranted regarding escalating trade tensions.
Comprehensive Bullish and Bearish Index (Next 24 Hours)
Market Bullish Ratio Bearish Ratio Key Driving Factors U.S. Stocks 55% 45% Tech stock momentum, CPI data, trade negotiations Cryptocurrency 50% 50% Whale leverage, institutional dynamics, regulatory policies European Session 60% 40% Weak dollar, ECB easing expectations
