1. Fundamental double positive driving the market: USDT liquidity bomb detonated.
On June 9, at 17:21, Tether increased the supply of 1 billion USDT on the TRX chain (transaction hash: f1f60fdc00e19ab716e9d1ce7a46a7776d2b339f948222e8955aff2d18769b60). This move releases a dual signal: Short term: to replenish liquidity for exchanges and meet the needs of off-exchange funds entering the market, directly enhancing market purchasing power; Mid-term: Historical data shows that when the quarterly issuance of USDT exceeds 5 billion, the average quarterly increase in the crypto market reaches 35% (2024 Q4 data). This increase may catalyze a 'Bitcoin leading → Altcoins rotating' market, similar to the 'all coins flying' scenario in November 2023. The US SEC's regulatory attitude has shifted.
US SEC Chair recently expressed an 'open attitude' towards self-custody of crypto assets, beneficial for wallets (like MetaMask), custodial platforms (like Coinbase Custody), and DAO/DeFi compliance. Tokens that directly benefit include: Wallet sector: ENS (domain service), XDEFI (cross-chain wallet);
Compliant DeFi: MKR (MakerDAO governance token), COMP (Compound lending protocol).
2. Technical breakout: BTC and ETH enter the main rising phase. BTC: Five consecutive bullish candles open up upward space. Daily level:
Yesterday saw a large bullish candle, forming a 'five consecutive bullish' pattern, the 7-day moving average (108,500 USD) crosses above the 14-day moving average (107,200 USD) forming a golden cross, volume increased by 40% year-on-year. Referencing the market conditions from September to December 2024 (BTC rising from 54,000 to 100,000, USDT increasing supply by 21 billion during the same period), this round of upward targets can be seen at 113,000 - 115,000 USD (corresponding to a 10,000 point rise).
4-hour level: V-shaped reversal breaks the key resistance level of 110,000 USD, establishing a second wave upward structure, short-term support level at 108,800 USD, after breaking 111,800 USD it will accelerate upward.
ETH: Breaks 2680 USD, aiming for 3050 USD. Daily level: volume breakout above the 2480-2540 USD bottom range, a large bullish candle pierces the 50-day moving average (2620 USD), the next target directly aims for 3050 USD (April 2024 high). Historical data shows that ETH often exhibits a 'catch-up effect' in the later stages of BTC's main rise, with increases reaching 1.5 times that of BTC.
4-hour level: After a large surge in volume in the early morning, it enters a contraction adjustment, support level at 2660 USD, if it stabilizes above 2680 USD, it will initiate a 'rapid breakout + oscillation upward' mode.
3. Altcoin layout window: Grasp four major lines.
1. Staking sector logic: After the Shanghai upgrade, ETH staking volume exceeds 60 million, the staking track APR averages 5.8%, attracting capital inflow. Targets: JTO (Lido fork project, staking APR 8%), ETHFI (cross-chain staking protocol, TVL increased by 30% week-on-week).
2. Public Chain Ecosystem Logic: After BTC and ETH rise, funds rotate to undervalued public chains, focus on the 'Ethereum killer' narrative. Targets: S (Sui, TPS over 120,000, over 200 ecological applications), AVAX (subnet ecosystem explosion, active gaming sector).
3. AI + L2 Expansion Logic: Expectations for Fed rate cuts are heating up, high elasticity sectors are favored; L2 addresses Ethereum's congestion pain points, AI concepts align with Web3 development trends. Targets: WLD (AI computing power network, in collaboration with OpenAI), ARB (Arbitrum governance token, L2 leader).
4. MEME Coin Ambush Strategy: Referencing the 2023 PEPE market, deploy low market cap, high community engagement coins during BTC's consolidation period. Targets: NEIRO (AI-generated MEME concept, Twitter followers over 30,000), WIF (PEPE narrative imitation, circulating market cap only 8 million USD). 4. Risk warnings and operational suggestions for the short term: BTC has trapped positions in the 110,000 - 112,000 USD range, be cautious of a pullback after a rise, it is recommended to chase after it breaks 112,000.
Altcoins: Currently in the 'Bitcoin main rise → Altcoins accumulation' phase, can build positions at lows, controlling the position within 30%, avoid chasing highs;
Live broadcast announcement: Tonight at 20:00, detailed explanation of sector rotation logic and specific coin analysis in the live room, scan to reserve and receive real-time strategy.
