Our brain is trolling us again! 😅 The anchoring effect makes us cling to numbers we have seen before, ignoring logic. Saw the maximum $ICP at $750? Want 250x from $3 because 'well, it was!' But this is a trap: that peak was due to manipulation and liquidity shortages, not the project's coolness. Right now, the capitalization of $ICP is $8.2 billion (as of 06.06.2025), and to reach $750, it needs $350 billion — that's more than $ETH ($315 billion)! 😱 #AnchoringTrap

How does it work? ⚓

• Example with $ICP: The maximum of $750 in 2021 was artificial (tokens were locked, the team was dumping at highs). After unlocks, the price fell to $3. But the 'anchor' at $750 makes traders dream of a return, while realistically $20–30 is already out of this world.

• Example with $ARB: Dropped from $2 to $0.3. Those who bought at $1+ see $2–3 as profit and will sell out of fear of a pullback. Those who entered at $0.3 think $2–3 is the top. Both are trapped: whales will not distribute positions at $2–3 because there won't be enough demand. Euphoria and FOMO are needed at $5+ to exit. #WhalesManipulate

How is this used? 🦈 Big capital knows: we cling to old prices. At lows ($ARB ~$0.3) you are afraid to buy because 'everything is falling.' At highs ($ICP ~$50) you buy because 'it will be $750.' Whales pump the price above $2–3 for $ARB, creating the illusion of 'easy money,' and then dump it. Right now $ARB is at $0.62, and a rise to $2–3 is possible in Q3 2025, but the real peak will be higher when retail jumps in on FOMO. #CryptoGame

My opinion 😎 The anchoring effect is like your inner HODL bot, making you sell too early or buy at highs. 😜 Forget about past highs or lows. Focus on the fundamentals: whale accumulation, project TVL, macroeconomics. For example, the TVL of Arbitrum ($2.8 billion) is growing by 15% per quarter — this is a signal for growth, but not to $10 without crazy demand. #ThinkClearly

Forecast 🔮

• Short-term (Q3 2025): $ARB could surge to $2–3 during alt season if $BTC.D (62.15%) drops to 55%. Entry point: $0.6–0.7, take profit at $2.5. $ICP could reach $15–20 if alt capitalizations rise by 20%. Entry point: $7–8.

• Long-term (2026): $ARB to $5–7 if TVL reaches $5 billion. $ICP is unlikely to exceed $50 without new hype (probability <10%).

• Risks: If $BTC drops to $80k, $ARB could fall to $0.5, $ICP to $5. FOMO at $2–3 for $ARB is a trap; whales will wait for $5+ to distribute.

Conclusion 💡 Don't be fooled by old highs or lows — it's an anchor pulling you down. Focus on the fundamentals, not emotions. $ARB and $ICP have potential, but wait for clear entry points and don't sell too early. Whales play on your psychology, so keep a cool head and catch profits, not dreams of $750! 😎 #CryptoPsychology #Trading #AnchoringEffect