Hello everyone, I am the charming and sweet-voiced Lao Xu.
Last night before going to sleep, a thought suddenly surged in my mind, 'Bitcoin must reach $150,000.'
To find some support for my thoughts without calculating, I asked AI, 'What would be the market value for Bitcoin to catch up with gold?'
AI is very rigorous, using the total market value of gold at $22.59 trillion as a reference for April 2025.
Moreover, a very detailed point is that it uses the circulating supply of Bitcoin for calculations.
The end result is that for Bitcoin to catch up with gold, it would need to reach about $1 million each.
In other words, if the status of digital gold is solidified, Bitcoin, under the currently imaginable reference frame, could rise to over $1 million each.
The current price of Bitcoin is $105,000 each.
The peak value of Bitcoin in the last bull market was $69,000.
The background of the last round was the mask black swan and global quantitative easing.
Recently, there has been a popular saying in the circle that Bitcoin is already forming a double top and is at the end of its strength.
In this regard, I seriously compared various dimensions and deeply pondered this proposition.
This thing has to be considered because it relates to the upcoming decisive operational strategy.
If it really starts to peak, it means it's time to retreat, even if it means cutting losses on the altcoins that are stuck.
However, if there is still one more main upward wave, that will mean a completely different operation, which means that the stuck altcoins can at least break even, and secondly, it would be prudent to short before the peak.
The main reasons for being relatively confident that Bitcoin can rise to $150,000 or even higher this time are two.
First, Bitcoin this round has the official endorsement of the US, the financial superpower, and this potential has not yet been fully realized.
Second, various countries have gone through a round of interest rate hikes and are now entering a rate-cutting cycle, with many countries starting to enter a low-interest range of 2-3%, leaving only the Federal Reserve as a holdout. A good sign is that the dollar index has reached a new low since 2022, and the continuous decline of the dollar is favorable for the rise in risk asset prices, which also means that the Fed is poised to cut rates.
From my own subjective experience of monitoring the market for many years, this round of Bitcoin has been very strong yet incredibly stable, without showing strong FOMO impulse-like increases, and the pullbacks have been very limited with strong buying.
Therefore, no matter how much it fluctuates, I tend to think Bitcoin still has one more main upward wave, with an 80% probability of success and a 20% chance of being wrong. (Note: This is a medium to long-term trend assessment and does not mean there won't be short-term fluctuations and continuous rises.)
The comments section is welcome for discussion, share what price points you think it can reach, and those who guess correctly can receive a free kiss from Lao Xu.
Remember, this is just a slightly wild idea, and there will definitely be many twists along the way, but I believe it can provide some directional guidance for the operations of discerning individuals.
Above, subscribe to this account for continuous updates.