📈 Technical Analysis BTC/USDT – 1D View with Macro Narrative

💰 Current price: $104,286

📉 Daily variation: -0.33%

📍 Recent high: $111,980

📉 Visual support: $102,000

🔍 Technical View (1D + Weekly)

📊 Golden Cross on the weekly (short-term average crossing above the long-term average)

➡️ Classic signal of continuation of upward trends in previous cycles.

📈 Cup and Handle pattern forming on the daily

➡️ Breakout zone between $113K–$115K

🔄 Upward trend maintained

➡️ Structure with higher lows and highs since the $74K

📉 RSI(6): 37.30

➡️ Region close to oversold, good for accumulation via DCA

🟣 Important EMAs:

EMA(7): $105,603

EMA(25): $104,438

EMA(99): $96,215

➡️ The price is between EMA(25) and EMA(99), suggesting a consolidation phase with still firm support.

📉 Volume declining

➡️ Indicates lack of selling strength. Could be a zone of silent accumulation.

🧠 Strategic Comment

Many are calling it a "top", but this has happened before — and they were liquidated.

Bearish divergence on the weekly appeared, but it has failed before in the $80K region.

Those who sold early ended up exiting before the real movement.

Long-term holders and large wallets are not moving.

Small institutional withdrawals reflect only short-term caution, not a reversal.

🔮 Expectations and Technical Targets

🎯 TP1: $113K – $115K (breakout of the handle)

🎯 TP2: $120K (macro target)

🎯 TP3: $138K+ (euphoria phase if the CPI helps)

📆 External Factors to Watch:

📌 04/06 – Jerome Powell's speech

📌 11/06 – CPI release (high relevance for the market)

✅ Final Summary:

Upward trend still intact.

We are seeing a typical manipulation moment to shake out weak hands before a new leg up.

Patience should be greater than fear.

⚠️ Disclaimer:

This analysis is educational and based on technical data. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Do your own research and use appropriate risk management.

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