In-depth technical analysis BTC/USDT (Binance) – updated on 27/05/2025



1. General trend (Trend)


Weekly frame (1W):




Price is maintaining above all EMA lines (20, 50, 100) and consistently closing candles above the Ichimoku cloud – confirming a long-term uptrend.




Current highest peak around 111,960 USDT (temporary ATH), creating a strong resistance zone.






Daily frame (1D):




EMA20 (≈105,300) and EMA50 (≈99,000) create an upward 'price range', price bounced from EMA20 in mid-May.




Price is creating a series of higher highs and higher lows (HH/HL), the bullish structure remains intact.






2. Supply-demand zone & Volume Profile (VRVP)


Strong resistance zone:




110,000–112,000 is a large 'buy wall' in the Volume profile (red on the right side of the chart), significant accumulation occurred here. To break up, a surge in volume is needed.






Support zone:




103,000–104,000 USDT: largest VA (value area), significant accumulation shifted from the end of April → mid-term low.




99,000–100,000 USDT: secondary support node (EMA50 + March low).






3. Momentum & Volatility


Bollinger Bands (20, 2σ):




The BB band is widening since mid-May → increased volatility, signaling that the current trend has room to continue.




Price is anchored in the middle of the range, allowing further testing of the upper limit around 112,000.






MACD (Weekly):




The MACD line remains above the signal line and above 0, although the upward momentum has somewhat slowed compared to last month, no clear bearish divergence has appeared.






4. Ichimoku Cloud


Tenkan/Kijun: Tenkan (9) is above Kijun (26) – signaling continued 'bullish'.




Chikou Span: current price is still above the previous 26-period candle – affirming the trend.




Cloud: upward slope, thick green rain during April-May.




5. Orderbook Liquidity & CVD


CoinGlass Legend data (CVD, Liquidity Delta) shows:




CVD has been accumulating strongly since the beginning of May, recently moving sideways – large money has taken some profits, but has not suddenly sold out en masse.




Orderbook Delta slightly favors buy orders (green), the buy/sell balance has not yet tilted significantly.






6. Futures


Open Interest (OI):




Gradually increasing since the end of April → indicating that new open contracts support the upward trend, no sudden reversal signs yet.






Funding Rate:




Slightly positive maintenance (≈0.006%–0.009%), pressure to cover shorts is low – the market still leans towards 'buying dips' rather than shorting.









Summary


The upward trend remains intact across multiple frames, but is approaching historical resistance at 111,960 USDT.




Volume & VRVP indicate strong support around 103k, breakout above 110.7k will pave the way to 115–118k.




Futures flow (OI increase + positive funding) supports long positions, no strong reversal signals seen yet.




Strategic take profit point:




Zone 112,000 (first target),




Zone 115–118,000 (extension if breakout occurs).






Risk management: SL should be placed below EMA20 Daily (~107,800) when breaking out, or below the VRVP low (~101,500) when catching the retest.