Summary of BTC & ETH Strategy (30/05/2025)
1. Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)
Macro trend: BTC Dominance ~ 64% indicates that capital flows still prioritize Bitcoin. DXY ~ 99 stable, supporting risk-on.
Weekly: Just completed wave 5W (5.3 D) at ~ 111,960 USDT, a weekly candle with a long upper wick appears – a sign of potential peak. EMA20 (94,215) & EMA50 (83,373) are still increasing.
Daily: Price fluctuates between 104,000–108,000, MACD is positive, RSI is neutral. Support at 104,000 (EMA20日), resistance at 108,000.
Strategy:
Bull: Buy at 104,000–105,000, take profit at 108,000 & 112,000.
Bear: Cut loss below 103,000, target drop to 96,000–98,000.
2. Ethereum (ETH/USDT)
Macro trend: ETH accounts for ~ 11% of market capitalization, Funding Rate aggregate ~ -0.0009% (slight short bias), whales continue to increase long positions.
Weekly: Retest peak at 2,788 USDT but does not break above, EMA20 (2,364) & EMA50 (2,579) are trending up.
Daily: Side-ways 2,550–2,650, MACD above zero, support at 2,550, resistance at 2,700.
Strategy:
Bull: Buy at 2,600 & 2,550, take profit at 2,780 & 3,000.
Bear: Cut loss below 2,520, target 2,350–2,400.
3. Risk Management Notes
Use stop-loss, risk:reward ratio ≥ 1:2.
No more than 5–10% of capital for each order.
Avoid FOMO, adhere to the plan.
Disclaimer: The information is for reference only and does not substitute for investment advice. Please do your own research.
– SATO, Crypto Strategy Consultant
