CHOOSE YOUR LAST TICKETS FOR THE BIG TRAIN TRIP!!! And don't forget to reserve a minimum strategic 15% for SHORT RISKS and STRENGTHEN STRATEGIC POSITION. #uptrend #GetRichSlow Overall perspective & Forecast Short-term trend: BTC still maintains the uptrend structure – just needs a pump to confirm the breakout
Positive factors: No significant selling pressure from miners and whales, positive funding, increasing OI, heatmap pulling prices up
Factors to monitor: DXY is still sideways, gold is slightly down, total cap is accumulating → no strong money flowing into altcoins yet
👉 Confirmation mark for a strong market uptrend:
BTC breaks through 110,000 with high volume
TOTAL cap > 3.3T USD and maintains for 3 sessions
DXY continues to drop below 99.5
👉 The strongest altseason may begin:
When BTC sideways firmly above 110K
Dominance drops from 56% back to ~52–53%
Altcoin volume explodes – especially systems like SUI, SOL, ETH
🧭 TỔNG QUAN THỊ TRƯỜNG NGÀY 19/05/2025 Yếu tố Dữ liệu Nhận định TOTAL Marketcap 3.22T (↓ -2.7%) Điều chỉnh nhẹ, chưa mất hỗ trợ chính 3.15T BTC.D (BTCDOM) 50.87% (↑ 0.78%) Dòng tiền quay lại BTC, altcoin giảm mạnh hơn DXY (USD Index) 99.86 (↓ -0.67%) USD suy yếu → tốt cho tài sản rủi ro Vàng (GOLD) 3,227 USD/oz (↑ 0.74%) Vàng & BTC tăng song hành, tâm lý trú ẩn tăngOn-chain & Funding Rate – Coinglass & CryptoQuant Chỉ số Giá trị Đánh giá CVD Futures / Spot Giảm mạnh Áp lực chốt lời từ lệnh đòn bẩy Funding Rate 0.0084 – 0.01% Trung lập, không quá nghiêng Long hay Short OI Futures 80.3K BTC – ổn định Không tăng quá mức dù giá pump Whale Ratio (CryptoQuant) 0.33 (thấp) Cá voi không xả lên sàn, đang tích lũy Liquidation Map Cản trên ~107K – 110K Nhiều short bị thanh lý, giá hút về vùng này *** Nhóm nguyên nhân cho dao động mạnh BTC 2 đầu. a. Thanh lý short Heatmap cho thấy lượng short bị thanh lý lớn tại 106K – 107K. Khi vượt 104.500, short bị trigger hàng loạt. b. Volume & CVD Futures tăng đột biến Lệnh LONG vào nhiều → tạo đà pump nhanh. Nhưng Spot CVD thì không tăng theo → là dấu hiệu cảnh báo thiếu bền vững. c. Funding rate tăng nhẹ Funding không quá âm/dương – cho thấy chưa rõ phe thắng thế. Nhưng đà tăng chủ yếu do đòn bẩy. d. Tâm lý thị trường BTC vẫn trong xu hướng tăng trung hạn nên bất kỳ cú “lắc mạnh” nào cũng dễ kéo theo phản ứng panic từ cả hai phía.
Welcome back !!! After a 3-day break, we continue to update the market as follows : ❤️ If anyone has a need to analyze any codes, please comment.
🧭 1. MARKET OVERVIEW & BITCOIN
🔍 Macroeconomic indicators and overall cash flow: * TOTAL CAP: 3.28T USD (+0.59%) maintaining above MA20 and MA50 – a sign that the market is holding a positive trend.
* DXY = 100.3 is creating a decreasing divergence – creating favorable conditions for crypto to maintain its price.
* BTC.D remains stable → there are no signals of cash flow leaving altcoins for BTC.
* BTC Spot/Perp:
Current price: 103,667 USD moving sideways accumulating tightly around the $103k–$104k range.
Funding rate BTC slightly positive +0.0037%, OI stable, no long trap appears.
CVD decreases → the recent upward momentum mainly comes from market buy rather than actual spot.
🔥 On-chain BTC highlights: NUPL ~ 0.5 → high hope area, the risk of profit-taking starts to increase if there is no strong cash flow support.
SSR continues to decrease, indicating that stablecoins are returning to the market → potential to stimulate short-term altcoin growth. #cryptouniverseofficial
#SUI – Update analysis at 17:38 on 13/05/2025 1. Technical analysis (Weekly Chart) ✅ Overview: Current price: ~3.966 USDT
The current weekly candle is showing a long upper wick, approaching the upper Bollinger Band.
Volume has increased significantly in recent weeks => confirming a clear influx of funds.
The RSI indicator is around 70, not yet in overbought territory but already quite hot.
Stochastic RSI is still trending upwards but has started to curve slightly => showing signs of weakening momentum.
✅ Key technical zones: Strong resistance zone (static resistance zone + Volume Profile): $SUI 4.14 – 4.23: price zone with the largest liquidity.
4.38 – 4.55: potential profit-taking zone.
5.09: most recent historical peak.
Strong support zone (weekly buy zone):
3.53 – 3.66: coinciding with the 20-week MA, the middle band of the Weekly BB, and the Kumo cloud region.
2. On-chain & Derivative Data (Coinglass - Weekly) ✅ Funding rate & Open Interest: Funding rate: +0.0054 → still positive, indicating that there are still many Long positions, but not too high to pose a risk of squeezing Longs.
Open Interest: continuously increasing, currently at ~100.5M SUI open contracts → a sign of continued large capital inflow into the derivatives market.
✅ CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta): CVD Spot: currently forming higher lows → real buying pressure is being maintained.
CVD Perp: stabilizing after a strong rise → buying pressure from derivatives is starting to cool down.
Note: significant divergence between Spot and Perp CVD → short-term reversal risk if Longs lose patience.
3. Strategy proposals Strategy Price Level Notes Buy zone 3.53 – 3.66 EMA20W + large volume support zone Profit-taking/resistance zone 4.14 – 4.23 and 4.38 – 4.55 Resistance according to VPVR and BB Short-term stop loss Below 3.50 If the M zone is lost
25% has been repurchased waiting for the next big mid-term wave #ETH #SUI SOL XRP TRUMP RUNE has been added to the mid-term cart. 75% #USDT remaining WHAT TO BUY ???
😊 SHORT: 4H Chart: Price is testing the short-term support area at 101,600–101,800 USD. Stochastic RSI is in the oversold area and starting to slope up slightly. Need to confirm a clear bullish reversal candle. Funding Rate: Slightly positive → no signs of overheating on the Long side yet. CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta): short-term profit-taking pressure is increasing. 😊 MEDIUM - LONG W1: RSI maintains a high level but is slightly diverging from the price. Bollinger Band is expanding but the weekly candle is red. - EMA 20W & Kumo still support the uptrend. - Support – Resistance Areas: Strong Resistance: 103,500 – 104,500 (most recent peak). Near Support: 100,500 – 101,000. Strong Long-term Support: 97,000 – 98,000. * Buyback Points: If it holds above 101,000, can consider buying 30% of the position. If it drops to 97,000–98,000, it is a strong mid-term buying area. Note: Normal Funding rate, no clear signs of a short squeeze or long trap.
Trading volume is lower than average → should wait for a real breakout before entering full position.
🌐 2. TOTAL Analysis: Strong Support: 2.89T – 2.91T (Poc volume). Strong Resistance: 3.26T – 3.32T. Strategy: If TOTAL holds above 2.89T → still in an upward accumulation trend. If it loses 2.85T → risk of entering a deeper correction phase (switch to overall portfolio risk management). 🧠 3. BTCDOM – BTC Dominance Trend: 1D & 4H: BTCDOM is strongly recovering from the 47.4 area to 48.9, which may lead to a temporary weakening of altcoins. Short-term Resistance: 49.3% and strong at 50%. If it exceeds 50% → capital will prioritize BTC, Altcoins will weaken significantly. Strategy: If BTCDOM continues to rise, should prioritize holding BTC, avoid all-in into altcoins in the short term.
🧠 Technical Analysis (TradingView) ✅ 1D – 4H Frame: BTC is correcting after a strong increase, the current price is around 102,200 USDT, down nearly -2%.
RSI Indicator (4H): dropped to the 48 zone, indicating that upward momentum is weakening.
Stoch RSI (1H, 2H, 4H): all heading down to the oversold zone, signaling that the correction is strong and may continue.
MACD (1H & 4H): has crossed down, creating a short-term bearish signal.
EMA20–50–100–200 (2H): The price has just broken down the EMA20/50 zone around 103,000 → a sign of breaking dynamic support.
✅ Volume and Supply-Demand Zone (VPVR): Short-term hard support: 100,000–100,800 USDT (high liquidity thick cluster).
Upper resistance zone: 103,600–104,000 USDT.
🔍 On-chain Analysis (Coinglass) ✅ Funding Rate: Funding is returning to the 0.0000 level – neutral state → reflecting a more balanced sentiment after the Long FOMO.
This is where I share my trading diary, not advice or investment proposals. All for the purpose of SHARING information and the author's opinions. I share entirely based on EXPERIENCE, ANALYSIS, and personal JUDGMENT, not for PROFIT PURPOSES, NOT PROACTIVELY CONTACTING FOR INVESTMENT INVITATIONS, NO NEED TO ATTACH COMMISSION LINKS!!! This is a complex market and difficult to grasp the RISKS. Please act WISELY, PROACTIVELY, and RESPONSIBLY!
Channel objectives:
1. Provide information, TA/Onchain analysis, establish potential positions for #1 assets. Provide information, TA/Onchain analysis, establish potential positions for #Crypto
2. Daily trading diary.
3. Share experiences.
Thank you for following and exchanging. For a civilized, kind, and successful investment environment!!!$