A Recent report by BlockBeats highlights insights from CryptoQuant analyst Axel, who has observed a significant drop in the weekly trading volume of the #BTC /#USD pair on centralized exchanges. From a peak of 2.9 million in July 2022, the volume has fallen sharply to just 426,000 in the latest trading session — a change that market observers are interpreting as a potentially bullish signal for #Bitcoin .

Reasons Behind the Decline

1. Impact of the LUNA Collapse

The Dramatic downfall of the #LUNA ecosystem in 2022 created widespread uncertainty, prompting many investors to shift from short-term trading to long-term holding strategies.

2. Regulatory Uncertainty

Increasing scrutiny and evolving regulations in major economies like the U.S. have led to cautious behavior among traders, contributing to reduced trading activity.

3. Rise in Holding Behavior

Many investors now view Bitcoin as a long-term store of value rather than a short-term trading asset. This “HODLing” trend has led to fewer BTC being actively traded on exchanges.

Is This a Bullish Signal?

Yes — many analysts interpret this decline as a positive indicator for Bitcoin’s long-term price trajectory:

Reduced Supply, Stable Demand

Lower availability of Bitcoin on exchanges, combined with steady or rising demand, typically exerts upward pressure on price — a fundamental economic principle.

Growing Investor Confidence

The willingness of investors to hold their BTC over extended periods reflects confidence in future price appreciation and market maturity.

Sign of Market Stabilization

Lower volatility and reduced speculative trading suggest that the crypto market may be maturing, with more thoughtful investment strategies taking hold.

Risks to Consider

While current data points toward a bullish outlook, several risks remain:

Global macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, interest rates)

Potential for strict regulatory crackdowns

Risk of failure in other major crypto projects

Conclusion

The sharp decline in BTC/USD trading volume is a noteworthy shift in the crypto landscape. Though short-term fluctuations are inevitable, this trend reflects a maturing market with stronger fundamentals. The reduced supply, increased investor confidence, and long-term holding behavior suggest that Bitcoin may be on the path to a sustained bullish cycle.

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#BTC走势分析