Why does trading contracts always lead to liquidation? It's not bad luck; it's that you don't understand the essence of trading! This low-risk rule, condensed from ten years of trading experience, will completely overturn your understanding of contract trading — liquidation is never the market's fault, but a ticking time bomb you buried yourself.
Three Major Truths That Disrupt Cognition
Leverage ≠ Risk: Position Size is the Lifeline
Using 1% position under 100x leverage, actual risk is only equivalent to #Bitcoin fully invested in spot. A student used 20x leverage to trade ETH, only investing 2% of capital each time, with three years of no liquidations. Core Formula: Actual Risk = Leverage × Position Ratio.
Stop-Loss ≠ Loss: The Ultimate Insurance for Accounts
During the March 2024 crash, 78% of liquidated accounts had a common characteristic: Losses exceeded 5% without setting a stop-loss. Professional trader's iron rule: Single loss must not exceed 2% of capital, which is like setting a 'circuit fuse' for the account.
Rolling Positions ≠ All-In: The Right Way to Compound
Stepwise Positioning Model: Initial Position 10% for testing, increase position by 10% of profits. 50,000 capital with initial position of 5,000 (10x leverage), increase position by 500 with every 10% profit. When BTC rises from 75,000 to 82,500, total position only expands by 10%, but safety margin increases by 30%.
Institutional-Level Risk Control Model
Dynamic Position Formula
Total Position ≤ (Capital × 2%) / (Stop-Loss Range × Leverage)
Example: With 50,000 capital, 2% stop-loss, and 10x leverage, maximum position calculated as = 50000 × 0.02 / (0.02 × 10) = 5000
Three-Stage Profit-Taking Method
① Close 1/3 at 20% Profit ② Close another 1/3 at 50% Profit ③ Move Stop-Loss for Remaining Position (Exit if breaking 5-Day Line)
In the 2024 halving market, this strategy increased 50,000 capital to 1 million across two trends, with a return rate of over 1900%.
Hedging Insurance Mechanism
While holding positions, use 1% of capital to buy Put options, which can hedge 80% of extreme risks. In the April 2024 Black Swan event, this strategy successfully saved 23% of account net worth.
Fatal Trap Data Evidence
Single Position for 4 Hours: Liquidation Probability Increases to 92%
High-Frequency Trading: Average 500 Operations Per Month with 24% Capital Loss
Profit Greed: 83% of Profits Returned Due to Delayed Profit-Taking
IV. Mathematical Expression of Trading Essence
Expected Profit = (Win Rate × Average Profit) - (Loss Rate × Average Loss)
When setting a 2% stop-loss and 20% take-profit, only a 34% win rate is needed to achieve positive returns. Professional traders achieve over 400% annual returns through strict stop-loss (average loss of 1.5%) and trend capturing (average profit of 15%).
Ultimate Rule:
Single Loss ≤ 2%
Annual Trades ≤ 20
Profit/Loss Ratio ≥ 3:1
70% of Time is Waiting in Cash
The essence of the market is a probability game; smart traders use 2% risk to seize trend dividends. Remember: Control your losses, and profits will run. Establish a mechanical trading system to replace emotional decisions with discipline, which is the ultimate answer for sustained profitability.#炒币日记 #币圈 #股票 #代币发射平台竞争加剧