The current market has entered a "malfunction" mode for technical indicators—Bollinger Bands are diverging chaotically, moving averages frequently show false breakouts, and the risk of traditional top prediction models has surged. From a long-term perspective, the trend channels constructed by weekly and daily charts remain intact, which serves as the true compass for judging direction. In contrast, smaller timeframes below four hours are better suited for using a microscope to determine entry timing.
After breaking through key resistance, the market is currently in a trend acceleration phase with continuous energy explosion. Guessing the top at this moment is like catching a flying knife with bare hands; not only is it easy to miss the major upward wave, but one also has to face extreme volatility risk that can exceed a thousand points. The real technical highlight lies in which repair posture the market chooses: a sharp drop and pullback for washing out weak hands, or sideways oscillation for digestion? Based on the previous step-like upward rhythm, the probability of a sideways consolidation is greater. This 'boiling a frog in warm water' model neither destroys the trend structure nor leaves room for technical indicators to consolidate.
In terms of operation, do not fight against the trend; going long with the trend remains the main theme. But remember to lock in your stop-loss tight at the muzzle—set a defensive line 500 points below the breakout point, and take profits in batches for profitable positions. Remember, in such a crazy market, surviving is more important than how much you earn; preserving your capital allows you to catch the tail end of the trend.
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