Macroeconomic Situation and ETH Trading Strategy

I. Macroeconomic Dynamics

1. Federal Reserve: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision met expectations, the bearish impact is gradually weakening, and U.S. stocks closed higher collectively. Key points from Powell's speech are as follows:

- Tariffs may lead to a slowdown in economic growth, raising long-term inflation and unemployment rates.

- The increase or decrease of tariffs determines the timeline for the Federal Reserve to control inflation targets.

- The Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to adjust interest rates, with moderate policy constraints; rate cuts require more data support due to the negative impact of tariffs.

- Emphasizes the independence of the Federal Reserve, unaffected by Trump's comments on rate cuts.

2. Ethereum: The Ethereum mainnet has activated the Pectra upgrade, aimed at simplifying wallet operations, optimizing the validator mechanism, enhancing L2 scalability, and improving security. Specifically, it simplifies wallets through account abstraction, reducing transaction complexity; optimizes the validator mechanism, improving staking flexibility and alleviating network burden; increases blob capacity, lowering L2 transaction costs; and introduces new cryptographic tools and communication frameworks.

3. Trump Update: Trump announced a significant message at 10 PM tonight, with market speculation potentially directed at China. If true, the tariff war may shift from tension to easing, becoming a potential positive speculation point.

II. ETH Trading Strategy

It is recommended to gradually go long in the 1880 - 1850 range, with an average price of 1865, setting a stop-loss at 1820 and profit targets at 1930 - 1980 - 2050, balancing short-term and swing trades. The current price is relatively high, presenting risks of chasing highs and missing out, given the strong trend; it is advisable to adopt a phased operation and a trading model that synchronizes short-term and swing trades. #美联储FOMC会议