#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC 【BTC Long-Short Ratio Changes, Short-Term Directional Choice May Be Coming】
Price strongly rebounded, standing back at $85,000, with large buy orders concentrated above.
The proportion of long accounts in the 5-minute timeframe has rapidly surpassed, while the long-short ratio for large holders in the 4-hour timeframe has bottomed out and rebounded, suggesting that the main force may be building positions quickly.
Combined with the rise in Open Interest (OI) + increased trading volume, watch for breakthrough opportunities at the $86,100 resistance level.
If short positions increase again, be wary of the risk of false breakouts.
Time: 2025-04-21 04:28 (UTC+8)
Price: $85,097.8 (+0.94%)
1. Dramatic Changes in Long-Short Account Structure:
• In the 5-minute dimension, the proportion of long accounts suddenly rebounded, while the short proportion quickly declined, indicating a strong emotional reversal in the short term.
• In the 4-hour dimension, the long-short ratio of large holders has stopped falling and rebounded, suggesting that the main force is quickly adding positions from the bottom.
2. Total Contract Open Interest Decline and Recovery:
• Intraday OI dropped from 6.81B to 6.38B before quickly rising to 6.66B, along with a price increase, indicating new long positions entering the market.
3. Trading Data Supports Breakthrough Structure:
• 15-minute candlestick trading volume has significantly increased, with buy orders dominating over sell orders, and the buy-sell ratio reaching 65:35.
• BTC/USDT spot has also simultaneously broken through the short-term descending channel, signaling a clear rise in both price and volume.
4. Capital Flow:
• 4-hour capital flow data shows a net inflow of +256 BTC in buying, marking the first end of the 5-day net outflow trend of the main force, indicating a turning point.
• Large buy orders are concentrated in the $84,900 - $85,100 range, suspected to be a real accumulation area.
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Trading Opinion (Not Investment Advice):
If BTC holds above $85,000 in the short term, it is expected to test the resistance in the $86,100 – $86,500 region. If the long-short ratio continues to rebound, it is highly likely to initiate a new round of upward movement.
Risk Points: If OI declines + short positions reassert dominance, the rebound may be a false breakout.