BTC/USDT Weekly Analysis: Consolidation and Focus on Key Support and Policy Trends

Current Market Overview

As of May 5, 2025, the BTC/USDT price is approximately 95,500 USDT, with a slight weekly decline of 0.95%. After breaking 74,000 USDT in mid-March, BTC rapidly rose to 109,588 USDT, then entered a phase of consolidation. The current price is located between the middle band (approximately 92,148 USDT) and the upper band (approximately 106,618 USDT) of the Bollinger Band, indicating that the bullish trend is still present, but momentum has weakened somewhat.

Technical Analysis

• Bollinger Band (20,2): The price is between the middle and upper bands, not breaking the middle band support, indicating that the trend is unbroken, but caution is warranted regarding the adjustment risk brought by weakening momentum.

• Trading Volume: Recent trading volume has decreased, with a strong market wait-and-see sentiment. The buy-sell ratio is approximately 52.97:47.03, relatively balanced, with no significant active selling pressure.

• MACD: The fast and slow lines are converging, with red histogram momentum declining, indicating a phase of exhaustion in upward momentum.

• RSI: Maintained around 60, not yet entering the overbought area, but momentum intensity has weakened.

Strategy Interpretation and Risk Hedging

Currently, BTC is in a phase of consolidation within a bullish structure, and investors should maintain a cautiously optimistic attitude:

• Spot Strategy: It is recommended to consider increasing positions after the price stabilizes at the middle band support (approximately 92,000 USDT) and re-establishes volume above the 100,000 USDT threshold. If the price falls below the middle band, attention should be paid to the retracement support in the 85,000-77,000 USDT range.

• Options Strategy: Consider constructing a Protective Put or Covered Call strategy to hedge downside risks while maintaining bullish positions.

• Risk Hedging: Given the weakening market momentum, it is advisable to appropriately reduce leverage ratios, control positions, and avoid significant losses in a consolidating market.

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Conclusion

BTC is currently in a phase of consolidation within a bullish structure. In the short term, attention should be paid to the performance of key support levels and the impact of policy trends on market sentiment. It is recommended that investors maintain a cautiously optimistic attitude, combining technical analysis with policy dynamics to formulate reasonable investment strategies and take appropriate risk hedging measures to cope with market uncertainties. #比特币战略储备 $BTC