Bitcoin Real-Time News: Bull-Bear Struggle and Historical Opportunities in Volatile Market (April 19, 2025)

Current Market Dynamics

As of today (April 19, 2025), Bitcoin prices have continued to fluctuate in the range of $83,000 to $85,200, failing to break through the key resistance level of $86,000. This volatility is closely related to recent U.S. macroeconomic data and policy dynamics. The number of initial unemployment claims in the U.S. was lower than expected (215,000), indicating resilience in the labor market. However, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reiterated a cautious attitude towards interest rate cuts, combined with the impact of the Trump administration's imposition of “reciprocal tariffs,” which has heightened market concerns about stagflation risks.

Aftermath of the Crash and Leverage Risks

On the 7th of this month, Bitcoin plummeted to $74,550 due to multiple negative factors, with over 440,000 liquidations across the network within 24 hours, amounting to $1.37 billion. This crash was primarily driven by the following factors:

1. Trump’s Tariff Policy: On April 2, tariffs of 10%-49% were announced for multiple countries, triggering a global sell-off of risk assets, with Bitcoin falling over 9% in a single day;

2. Technical Breakdown: Bitcoin broke below the $75,000 support level, triggering a “death cross” (the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average), accelerating selling pressure;

3. High Leverage Liquidation: The total contract positions across the network reached $52.3 billion, and price fluctuations triggered a chain liquidation, forming a vicious cycle of “decline - liquidation - further decline.”

Bitcoin Lagging Effect After Gold's New High

On April 17, gold prices reached a historical high of $3,357 per ounce. Historical data shows that Bitcoin typically breaks its previous high within 100-150 days after such an event (for example, after gold rose 30% in 2017, Bitcoin reached a peak of $19,120). The current rise in gold reflects market concerns about the dollar's credit and the global debt crisis, while Bitcoin's anti-inflation properties as “digital gold” may become more pronounced in a stagflation environment.

Future Key Variables and Institutional Trends

- Policy Dynamics: Whether the Federal Reserve releases signals for interest rate cuts at the May FOMC meeting, the EU's retaliatory measures on tariffs, and Russia's cryptocurrency regulatory proposals will directly affect market sentiment;

- Institutional Positioning: Despite short-term volatility, Standard Chartered maintains a year-end target price of $200,000 for Bitcoin, sovereign funds continue to increase their holdings, and the total net asset value of ETFs has reached $93.6 billion. #币安Alpha上新 #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #btc70k #BTC☀️