Short-term direction judgment:
Neutral to weak oscillation
Price is near the midline of the Bollinger Band (MB: 1,801.45) and has not broken above the upper band (UP: 1,828.71), indicating insufficient bullish momentum.
MACD shows a weak golden cross (DIF: -13.39 crossing above DEA: -15.76), but the values are still negative, rebound strength is questionable.
Key operational suggestions:
Bullish conditions (must meet the following signals):
Breakthrough resistance level: Stabilize above the upper Bollinger Band (1,828) with increased trading volume.
MACD confirmation: DIF continues to cross above DEA and the histogram turns red and expands.
Entry point: Breakout after pulling back in the range of 1,820-1,830 without breaking, target 1,860-1,900.
Bearish conditions (must meet the following signals):
Break below support level: Effectively break through the lower Bollinger Band (1,774) or the previous low of 1,761.
MACD deterioration: DIF crosses below DEA again, and the histogram turns green and expands.
Entry point: Weak rebound after breaking the range of 1,770-1,760, target 1,730-1,700.
Risk control reminder:
Stop-loss strategy:
Long position stop-loss: Below 1,800 (Bollinger Band midline support fails).
Short position stop-loss: Above 1,820 (breaking above the previous high indicates a trend reversal).
Position management: No more than 10% of funds for trial positions, increase in batches after breaking key levels.
Summary:
The current market lacks clear direction, it is recommended to wait and see, waiting for the price to break above 1,820 (strong resistance) or break below 1,760 (strong support) before acting accordingly. If eager to enter, can lightly buy low and sell high in the range of 1,790-1,810 (grid trading), strictly with stop-loss.
