Today BTC is following a tense, shaky upward fluctuation script, but don't just get excited; it could change at any moment!
This rebound is strong but lacks a solid foundation.
From the 5-minute K-line, BTC surged to around $83,314 at 10:45 AM today but was pushed back down, now hovering around $83,000. This position is like climbing halfway up a hill; to push higher requires greater "buying pressure," but there is support around $82,000 below, so it can't drop for now.
Focus on two key positions.
The upper resistance level is $83,500, and the morning high of $83,314 has been tested three times without breaking through. If it can break $83,500 with volume today, it might touch $84,000 in the short term.
The lower support level is $82,000; in recent dips to around $82,000, it has been pulled back. This position is like a "floor"; if it breaks, it could drop directly to $81,600.
Trump's tariff masterstroke lands on April 2. If this policy exceeds expectations, global markets will shake, and BTC, as a risk asset, will surely suffer. But if the policy is mild, it might turn a bad situation into a good one.
Whales are secretly bottom-fishing; on-chain data shows large players buying around $82,000. These people are very savvy; their willingness to buy suggests the short-term drop won't be significant, but don't blindly follow them; they might sell at any time.
Short-term players shouldn't chase high prices at this position. If looking to catch a rebound, wait for a pullback to around $82,500 to test the waters with a light position, and set a stop-loss at $82,000. If it breaks $83,500, you can chase a bit, but take profits of $300-500 and run; don't be greedy!
Long-term players should hold onto their spot without making rash moves. Below $82,000, invest regularly with closed eyes, and before the policy is implemented, don't exceed a 50% position to keep some bullets ready for a black swan event.
Today BTC is a conflicted boy, with pressure above and support below, and uncertain news; it's all about the heartbeat. Remember this saying: if you make a profit, don't gloat; if you incur losses, don't hold on stubbornly; staying alive is key to waiting for the big bull market!
Are you stuck? When to bottom-fish? Feeling lost and unsure what to do? Like + comment, follow me to stabilize the market and seize this opportunity together!
