#美SEC将放弃对Ripple的上诉
As a professional trader who has experienced three rounds of bull and bear markets, I have distilled 6 survival rules earned through blood (with practical parameters):
1. Time-Space Hunting Principle
Core Volatility Window: Beijing time 21:30-7:30 (Main period for US market)
Asian Session Correction Rule: If the price deviates from the EMA50 moving average > 8% before the European market opens, the US market is likely to correct in the opposite direction
Liquidity Trap Period: Avoid Beijing time 12:00-15:00 (East Asia institutional repositioning vacuum period)
2. K-Line Language Deciphering
Deadly Reversal Signal: When a solid 'Tombstone' line appears on the 4-hour chart < shadow line 1/3, combined with RSI top divergence, win rate 82%
False Breakout Recognition Formula: When new highs/lows occur, trading volume increase < previous value 50% + perpetual funding rate > 0.15%, reverse opening
Long-Short Strangulation Zone: Prohibit chasing orders within ±3% range of weekly Pinbar dense area
3. Position Control System
Single Risk ≤ 1.5% of principal (Example with BTC: 100k account, 500x leverage, open position ≤ 30 contracts)
Dynamic Take Profit Model: Close 50% at the first target, remaining position tracks take profit (exit completely when 20EMA breaks)
Black Swan Protection: Must set -3% hard stop loss for perpetual contract positions, refuse to bear the illusion of holding positions
4. Utilizing Emotional Reflexivity
FOMO Index Monitoring: When Google searches for cryptocurrency surge by 500% + new registered users on exchanges increase week-over-week > 200%, initiate left-side gradual take profit
Panic Harvesting Strategy: When Fear & Greed Index < 20, set buy order price = current price - (ATR14 × 1.5)
Institutional Chip Tracking: Monitor Coinbase Premium Index, reduce positions synchronously when premium turns negative
5. On-Chain Data Arsenal
Whale Warning: Track the top 1000 addresses, activate risk control when single-day on-chain transfer > 50,000 BTC
Miner Surrender Indicator: When 7-day average miner outflow > monthly average 200%, bottom signal begins to appear
Exchange Traffic Monitoring: When net inflow of stablecoins exceeds 1 billion USD in a single day, beware of trend reversal windows
6. Derivative Dimension Overwhelm
Funding Rate Arbitrage: When Binance rate > 0.1% and OKX rate < 0.05%, cross-platform hedging
Volatility Compression Warning: When BTC quarterly contract implied volatility < 60%, layout double buy strategy
Contract Premium Regularity: Quarterly contract premium breaking 18% must revert, historical win rate 91%
[Ultimate Survival Formula]
Profit = (On-chain Insight × 30%) + (Technical Signal × 25%) + (Position Control × 25%) + (Emotional Management × 20%)
#AiXBT遭黑客攻击 #美SEC将放弃对Ripple的上诉
I have many years of real trading experience, having gone through three rounds of bull and bear alternation, five years of professional contract experience in resolving issues, and I like to follow Sister Xin.
