Is the short-term rebound of $BTC a trap for more buyers or a real reversal?
Recently, the market has been a typical case of 'breathing after a drop'; although there are signs of a short-term rebound, don't rush to call it a reversal. In the short term, the 15-minute and 30-minute moving averages still indicate a 'rise' with a red three soldiers pattern, but the longer-term moving averages are still pressing down. If we can't get past the 105625 threshold, the rebound is just a trick.
Don't be too optimistic in the mid-term either; the MACD is lying flat below the zero axis, the 90-day moving average is sliding down, and the crocodile indicator has all three lines pointing down, clearly benefiting the bears. If this rebound doesn't have trading volume to support it, it won't even change the mid-term weakness.
From a technical perspective, the wave of red three soldiers and bottom formation on the night of the 13th was indeed exciting, but on the 14th, it was doused with cold water, with a top formation and a doji, changing faster than flipping a book. The EMA144 and EMA169 are about to stick together, and the market is still lost. The MACD's red bars have turned into green bars, and the DIF and DEA are muddling around below the zero axis, like guessing with rock-paper-scissors. Although the short-term moving averages are bouncing a bit, the 90-day moving average is still racing downhill; this rebound is like floating duckweed without roots. The Bollinger Bands are swaying close to the lower band, with volatility as high as a roller coaster; the support level at 103000 is now crucial, and if it can't be held, we'll have to slide down.
Now the 4-hour chart looks like it's about to hit bottom, but don't rush to go all in! The upper range of 105500-106500 is pressing down hard.
Personal opinion: Don't be blinded by the short-term rebound; the overall trend is still determined by the bears. At this stage, it's like a whack-a-mole game—pick up some at the support level and run away when you hit the resistance. Never go against the trend!
Are you stuck? When to bottom-fish? It's still the same saying: feeling confused and helpless about what to do, click on the avatar to comment. I need fans, and you need references.
When others panic, I am greedy? The truth behind a whale spending 100 million USD to buy ETH against the trend!
Today, a big player directly spent 100 million USD to buy Ethereum! Although ETH has dropped these past two days due to the situation between Iran and Israel, they are rushing in with real money, showing that those in the know are not panicking, but rather are more optimistic about the future market! Such a sharp decline is just an opportunity for smart money to acquire chips; the market in the second half of the year will definitely be good!
According to historical data, July's Bitcoin increase ranks third for the year, only behind February and October. With the current market sentiment so crazy and funds pouring in wildly, it's highly likely that July's coin price will reach a new high. Those looking to buy the dip should act quickly, don't wait until it goes up and then regret it!
The wars in the Middle East not only make you spend more on gas, but soaring oil prices could drag down the global economy!
Historical lessons are here: The 1973 oil embargo directly led to the stagflation crisis in the United States; The 1979 Iranian Revolution forced the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to 15%; The 1990 Gulf War triggered a recession in the U.S. economy; The 2008 oil price bubble burst even pierced the global financial bubble;
Last year's Russia-Ukraine conflict caused global stocks and bonds to plunge, and every time there is a major global crisis, oil prices are sure to stab from behind.
Now, with both the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine being powder kegs simultaneously smoking, the energy market feels like sitting on a pile of explosives. The economic accounts of peacetime could be torn to shreds at any moment by geopolitical conflicts. Ultimately, who doesn’t long for world peace and a stable wallet?
$BTC Surprising Death Flag Pattern! Technical Analysis Suggests the 100,000 Mark is About to Experience a Bloodbath!
Bitcoin's 1-hour candlestick chart has formed a typical downward flag consolidation, which is a signal of bearish accumulation! Now, as soon as it confirms a break below the bottom edge of the flag, this drop is definitely headed towards 102,000, and nothing can stop it!
What to do if your positions are stuck? Always lagging behind when chasing rises and falls? Don't panic, this is a necessary path! The worst thing in investing is to work in isolation; it's better to follow along than to bear it alone @加密鑫法 .
$ETH continues to be bearish, better to miss out than to go long at this position!
Previously mentioned it could reach 2800, but many short sellers are stuck here; unless it stabilizes, it won't break through, hence the recent decline.
The current trend resembles a triangular fluctuation, making it difficult to operate. You can try to take small positions for a quick rebound profit, but don't be greedy to hold; it's hard to make new highs in the short term, and bears have the advantage.
Be cautious of further declines, follow the Bitcoin market closely, and maintain strict stop losses. After the fluctuation, let's see if there will be greater volatility.
Ordinary people Solayer Emerald Card turns the tables: Revitalize hard-earned money with on-chain technology!
This bear market is more brutal than the last two rounds. How can ordinary workers with meager salaries carve out a path on-chain? While munching on steamed buns and sipping mineral water, I suddenly realized when I came across Solayer — this thing is not at all the same as traditional blockchain!
Biggest shock: It doesn't feel like a blockchain at all! Previously, when transferring on other chains: Lagging for 3 seconds was the norm, and when I urgently needed money, I could get so frustrated that I wanted to throw my phone. Now using Solayer's PayFi: Scan → Phone vibrates → Money arrives Technical truth: Solayer's self-developed InfiniSVM hardware acceleration layer directly boosts performance, handling millions of transactions per second.
Three key counterattacks: 1️⃣ 3000 yuan of emergency money turns into a golden goose Convert the last 3000 yuan into sUSD and deposit it into the money market. Earning at least 4.2 yuan in interest daily should help maintain basic living standards, right? It’s a hundred times better than keeping it in a bank account! As a real user of Solayer, I must say this experience is mind-blowing — on-chain payments are as fast as Alipay, but the earnings come from the crypto world! This is what it means to see hope! 2️⃣ Transform delivery vehicles into money printers Install an InfiniSVM box at the Cainiao Station. Automatically sync logistics data to earn 670 yuan per month. Who knew delivering packages could also mine! This move is called "Logistics is Mining." 3️⃣ Save a month's rent on cross-border transfers.
Bank fees 290 yuan → Solayer Pay fees 8.5 yuan The money saved is enough for a hot pot meal! This operation is a lifesaver. Most satisfying feature: USDC turns into spending bullets.
Emerald card master operation: USDC directly binds to a bank card. Funds automatically stored as sUSD to earn 4-5% annualized (similar to US Treasury yields). Swipe online and offline at will, letting funds appreciate passively.
Last month, I transferred 20,000 yuan to my mom using sUSD earnings + data dividends. She looked at the SMS notification and cried out: "My daughter has finally made it!" This isn't just interest; it's clearly a medal of honor for regaining dignity!
While other projects are still doing superficial optimizations, Solayer directly installs rocket engines on the blockchain! Reconstructing performance from the bottom execution layer is the ultimate solution to the bottleneck of high-frequency applications.
Now I finally understand: With the right tools, ordinary people can also change their fate on-chain. I give Solayer a perfect score for this operation! #Solayer无限硬件加速
Stop complaining about the market being difficult; in the end, it's just you getting stuck in a rut! The market hasn't changed at all; the difficulty lies in your fixation on imagined surges while ignoring the opportunities right under your nose. Immediately remove the words 'I thought' from your trading system, and honestly operate according to structural signals; I guarantee you will see results!
Looking at the long term, the weekly chart shows that BTC hasn't changed since May 22; it's still a normal pullback within a bullish trend, with several support lines clearly visible below. Although don't expect an immediate reversal, the downtrend is clearly slowing. At this point, playing a bit of 'buying the dip after a big drop and running away after a big rise' in the short term is most appropriate.
In the medium term, looking at the daily chart, we are currently in a normal pullback within a bullish trend, with clear support zones below. But pay attention to the 4-hour chart, as the price has already hit the 250-day moving average support! Be cautious here: a large bearish candle indicates that selling pressure hasn't been fully released, but the moving average support is still very much in place. At such times, it's easy to see a broken retest or a sluggish consolidation while waiting for the market to choose a direction.
The short-term is more direct; after the effective drop below the 250-day moving average in the morning at the 1-hour level, the second bottom testing has directly produced oversold indicators. This rebound is simply about correcting the oversold condition and confirming the validity of the break. To put it plainly—don't expect a big surge; after a low-level consolidation, continuing to drop is more probable! The current trading strategy can be summed up in one sentence: the long-term bullish trend hasn't changed, but the short-term has entered a bear-dominated rebound phase. Combined, this means it’s only suitable to play 'buying the dip after hitting a new low' in the short term; chasing high positions? Don't even think about it!
Specific levels to remember: Upper pressure zone: 105588-106120 (don't think about breaking through this range; if you hit it, short it) Lower support zone: 102077-100766 (1:2 risk-reward ratio for a quick rebound; be swift) Second support zone: 99490-96570 (this range hasn't been reached yet, but you can place limit orders in advance, also with a 1:2 risk-reward ratio)
Today's market structure isn't pretty; expand your trading points and don't force trades! This isn't the time for huge profits; it's the phase of preserving capital while waiting for certain opportunities!
Early this morning, many people messaged me saying they have lost a lot and are extremely anxious. In fact, such sudden drops don't happen often in years, and they always choose to crash the market while people are sleeping—it's purely bad luck, and there's no way to avoid it.
In a high-risk market encountering a black swan event, anyone can get hurt; institutions are also suffering losses, so it's not just you who's unlucky. If you really want to feel anxious, it's better to use this time to learn something or go out for some fresh air. This time, 80% of people are stuck in their positions, even Wall Street is losing money, and the entire market is shaking. So why are you feeling anxious?
If you happen to make a profit this time, hold on tight! This money is given by luck, and next time it might be lost again. Remember, the market is always there; don’t let short-term fluctuations disrupt your mindset. Don’t curse when losing money, and don’t gloat when making money; just live your life as it should be lived.
The three peaks are coming! Be careful of a crash to 85,000!
For the first time, I used the valueScan tool to analyze the main capital trends, and it shocked me!
I analyzed the capital inflow and outflow data for spot and contracts over the last 30 days in Chart 1, combined with the hard evidence of institutional capital outflow from Bitcoin ETFs in the last month shown in Chart 2: Bitcoin is likely to follow the script in Chart 3, with a high probability of forming a three-peak death structure. Once the peak is established, it will plunge directly to the 83,000-85,000 USD range! If this wave breaks through, don't say I didn't warn you in advance.
Iran has made some outrageous threats this time, claiming to make Israel and the United States 'pay a heavy price,' which has directly frightened the US stock market!
Look at that Nasdaq index plummeting again, tech stocks are collectively in the red, and retail investors are bleeding from their hearts. In my opinion, this geopolitical powder keg is more fragile than paper; any slight disturbance leads to a drop just to be safe.
The current situation is: a cough from the Middle East causes Wall Street to catch pneumonia. What can we small retail investors do other than buckle up our seatbelts?
Want to recover losses? Want to make profits? Position yourself in potential coins, open to the public, and we'll guide you to catch the main rising wave of the bull market!
Buying $ETH now is much more cost-effective than $BTC , let me directly state three core logics:
First, from the perspective of the bull market cycle rhythm, ETH hasn't even reached its peak stage in this wave. Don't be fooled by the strong rise of BTC; ETH hasn't really exerted any force in this cycle! Right now is just the warm-up phase after the ETF approval, the real explosion point hasn't arrived yet. The burning deflationary mechanism is making ETH increasingly scarce, the explosive growth of the L2 ecosystem (like Arbitrum, zkSync, etc.), combined with new staking strategies and narratives of real assets being brought on-chain, any catalyst could trigger another surge. This is not the final act, but rather a halftime break!
Second, in terms of price, we are currently in a golden pit. ETH has been oscillating in this large range of 1600-3200 for almost half a year, with the main funds holding back for a big move! Going down? Unless there is an extreme event like a collective liquidation on Wall Street, 1600 is the solid bottom. Going up? Once it breaks through 3200, we can directly see 4000+. The risk-reward ratio here is so clear that even with closed eyes, you know where to place your bets—limited downside, unlimited upside, a typical asymmetric opportunity!
Third, the operational strategy must be clear-headed. Don't listen to those shouting for all-in; now is a good time to build positions in batches! In the range of 2200-2500, add to your position every time it drops by 5%, strictly controlling the total position not to exceed 30%. Remember, you earn coins in a bear market and make money in a bull market; now is the seeding period, patiently waiting for the main force to signal a surge. Those who chase highs and cut losses every day will definitely be left behind in the end!
This wave of ETH is a clear wealth code, with the downside locked in and the upside completely open. If you don’t position yourself now and wait for the breakout at 3200, you won’t even see the tail lights!
Let me say something insightful: there are many opportunities in a bull market, but it’s also an elimination game; surviving is the most important! It’s not too late to pay attention to Xin Jie and hop on board.
The recent trading volume of $EGL1 has skyrocketed, directly topping the BSC popularity chart!
Even the founder of the Trump Foundation is paying attention, and the project team is fawning over Trump and the United States, surprisingly attracting a host of crypto big shots to watch. In my opinion, this is either pure hype or a capital play, but regardless of which, being able to attract both traffic and big names indicates that the project team is either capable of making waves or the investors are quite strong. The current popularity of this coin is truly impressive!
Recently, I plan to set up an ambush for a meme coin that is about to explode; it's quite easy to double the investment, and an expected return of over 10 times is not a problem. If you want to join in, like and leave a comment for a free share!
The sudden surge of altcoins means the big players are fleeing!
I've seen this trick too many times; don't follow the trend and chase the rise as a bag holder! Listen carefully, what you need to do now is to watch the market for opportunities to short. Even if you get stuck, don't panic. When the big players finish dumping, that's when we can break even and make a profit. In the blink of an eye, you can turn from being stuck to making money! Remember, don't be foolish and chase the highs; using low leverage to short is the right path. We won't be the chumps this time!
Accurately grasping the market situation, sharing strategies in real-time, and discreetly announcing points. If you want to witness everything, pay close attention to me.
Bnb chain has recently seen a series of scams! How can retail investors avoid the FOMO slaughter?
Recently, there have been many scammers on Bnbchain, taking advantage of everyone's FOMO emotions to exploit them, so I am particularly cautious. Now that I've received news of a new project, I would rather verify it multiple times than rush to launch just to claim the title of 'first to call it out.'
As I've mentioned before, chasing after a missed opportunity can easily lead to pitfalls; by the time the so-called insider news reaches your ears, it has long been a trap set by the big players. Truly reliable veterans have their own information networks. Is the person giving you the news credible? Have you made big money together before? If not, I would rather test the waters with a small amount of capital. If it rises, I won't regret it, at least confirming the credibility of the channel.
Are there really that many genuine big players showing kindness every day? My personal opinion: the seed players in the USD1 competition have already entered the market, and now it's about who can win the championship. For other new projects, I will only use pocket money to gamble in the early stages; for the competition targets, I will only consider heavy investments in the second phase of the market, and I will only focus on the few companies I mentioned before.
$EGL1 $Janitor $Liberty $Bulla
In the upcoming layout direction, I will guide everyone to aim for the lucrative opportunities in the '土狗' (土狗 refers to low-quality projects with high potential returns), with an expected space of over 10 times being no problem. Like + leave a message to stay tuned.