By Hesau Nunes| March 19, 2025.
Bitcoin ($BTC ) is once again at the center of attention in the global financial market. In the last 24 hours, the world's largest cryptocurrency has recorded an impressive appreciation, rising 3.62% and reaching the mark of $85,865.19. This movement not only reignites investor enthusiasm but also raises a crucial question for those following the market: are we facing a unique opportunity to get in the game? With a trading volume of $2.53 billion in the last 24 hours and a significant technical breakout on the chart, Bitcoin seems to be paving the way for new highs. In this article, we will analyze the real data of the current quote, the reasons behind this rise, and what the break of the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) might mean for the future of the asset. If you are an investor looking for opportunities, now is the time to pay attention. The Scenario
Current: Bitcoin Rising and Technical Breakout.
According to the TradingView platform, at 22:44 (Brasilia time) this Wednesday, March 19, 2025, Bitcoin is trading at $85,865.19, with a rise of 3.62% in the last 24 hours. The highest price reached in the period was $87,453.67, while the lowest was $82,547.16. The trading volume, a crucial indicator of liquidity and interest, reached 29,845.98 BTC, equivalent to $2.53 billion — numbers that reflect a heated market and increasing participation from investors. The daily chart of the BTC/USDT pair reveals a technical detail that is exciting analysts: the price broke the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), which was at $85,865.19, and is now testing the region of $86,081.85, close to the central line of a price channel (PC:Centerprice Line) at $86,702.50. This breakout is a classic sign of buying strength, indicating that Bitcoin may be preparing to seek higher levels, such as the resistance at $93,228.50 or even the historical high of $100,686.78.
Behind the Rise: The Factors Driving Bitcoin.
The appreciation of Bitcoin in the last 24 hours is not an isolated event. Three main factors are fueling this movement, and they go beyond the typical speculation of the cryptocurrency market.
1. Effects of the Halving and the Scarcity Narrative.
The halving in April 2024, which reduced the issuance of new bitcoins from 6.25 to 3.125 per block, continues to impact the market. With fewer coins entering circulation, supply decreases while demand continues to grow. "The halving creates a supply shock that, historically, leads to bullish cycles," we are seeing this effect materialize now, almost a year after the event.
2. Favorable Political Climate in the U.S.
The administration of Donald Trump, which took power in January 2025, has adopted a friendly stance towards cryptocurrencies. Recent rumors suggest that the U.S. government may be considering the creation of a strategic reserve of Bitcoin, which would be a historic milestone for institutional adoption. Although unconfirmed, the possibility of government purchases is injecting optimism into the market and contributing to the current surge.
3. Institutional Capital Flow via ETFs.
Bitcoin ETFs, which gained traction in 2024, continue to attract large investors. Recent reports indicate that funds such as the BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust have seen significant inflows in recent weeks, with an increase in buying volume in the last 24 hours. "When institutions enter, the price goes up," says Rafael Mendes, fund manager at Hashdex. "Bitcoin is consolidating as a store of value asset for major players."
The Break of the VWAP: What Does This Mean?
The daily chart of Bitcoin shows a technical movement that is generating buzz among traders and analysts: the break of the VWAP, which was aligned with the current price of $85,865.19. The VWAP is a widely used indicator to identify the volume-weighted average price, serving as a reference for support or resistance. When the price breaks this level with significant volume — like the 49,615 K recorded on the chart — it is a sign that buyers are in control. "This breakout is indicative of strength," Bitcoin now has a clear path to test the next resistance at $93,228.50. If the volume remains high, we could see the price seeking the historical high of $100,686.78 in the coming weeks. The chart also shows that the price is above the daily pivot (Pivots:P) of $83,401.87, reinforcing the bullish trend in the short term.
An Opportunity for the Investor?
The numbers speak for themselves: Bitcoin has accumulated a rise of 30.34% in the last year, with a gain of 3.62% just today. However, the recent performance — a drop of 14.60% in the last 90 days — suggests that the asset may be at a turning point. For analysts, the break of the VWAP and the increase in trading volume indicate that the worst of the correction may be behind us. "This is a golden moment for those who know how to manage risks," Bitcoin is showing technical strength and solid fundamentals. Those who enter now could position themselves for the next bullish leg. Optimistic projections point to a price between $120,000 and $150,000 by the end of 2025, driven by a combination of scarcity, institutional adoption, and a favorable macroeconomic environment.
How to Take Advantage of the Moment?
For the investor looking to enter the market, the recommendation is clear: study, diversify, and enter cautiously. Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and correction movements can happen at any time. "Invest only what you can afford to lose and use strategies like dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to mitigate risks." Additionally, keep an eye on the next technical levels. If Bitcoin maintains support at $85,865.19 and breaks resistance at $93,228.50, the path to $100,000 will be open. On the other hand, a drop below the daily pivot of $83,401.87 could signal a deeper correction, with support at $80,176.51.
The Future of Bitcoin: A New Record in Sight?
Bitcoin is at a crucial moment. With solid fundamentals, a chart pointing to a bullish trend, and a heated market, the asset seems to be preparing for a new appreciation cycle. For the attentive investor, this could be the entry point before a historic rise. "Don't wait for the price to reach $100,000 to get in."
The market rewards those who act ahead of time and strategically. "Whether you are an experienced trader or a curious novice, the message is clear: Bitcoin is giving clear signals that the game is just beginning. The question is: will you stay on the sidelines?
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