🌞 GM... Briefing time!
📊 Outlook (UTC)
Today, we’re testing if PBoC is lagging by 2 hours ⏳
🟢 00:00-06:00 – Green ✅
Chinese industrial profits up 📈
PBoC still injecting liquidity 💸 01:00-03:00 due to Asia market opening—pretty normal.
🔴 07:00-09:00 – Small Red ❌
Lagging effect + Asia market closing 🏦
Some Korean whale shorting 😡
🟢 09:00-11:00 – Green ✅
PBoC impact kicks in after market closes.
🔴 11:00-12:00 – Red ❌
🟢 12:00-15:00 – Green ✅
Jobless claims up 📊
GDP also up? 🤨 That’s weird… How can the economy grow while people struggle? 🤣
Higher GDP → higher inflation 📈🔥
🔴 16:00-18:00 – Red ❌
Pending home sales up 🏡
Wintermute shorting 😈
🔴 19:00-00:00 – Red ❌
US RRP up (but I’m not fully convinced) 🤔
RRP already rose on Friday, so it shouldn’t go up again… but 3 days before month-end, I’m forcing the prediction! 😅
📅 When will we see full green? Next week! 🚀
Why? RRP will crash, and DXY will tank.
📉 Bitcoin today: Expect a lot of wicks!
📊 Market Insight
✅ Prediction: Small red, but not deep—Correct!
❌ Prediction: Durable Goods Orders drop—Wrong!
🔍 Think about it:
Where’s the money coming from?
Retail sales down, PMI down, Consumer confidence down—so who’s spending on Durable Goods? 🧐
Answer: Not the people, but the government! (Defence spending! 🛡️⚔️)
Next week’s Durable Goods report (excluding defence) will show:
Defence spending up 📈
Everything else down 📉
War coming? 🧐 Big investors might long Lockheed Martin soon!
📢 Kashkari is hawkish as usual 🦅 No surprise there.
RRP up to $241B 💰
Bitcoin still at $86K? That’s insanely strong! 💪
📆 Today’s Key Events
📊 Jobless Claims
📈 GDP Report
🏡 Pending Home Sales
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source: @hoteliercrypto