Daily Market Analysis in the Crypto World (03.15-03.16)

Summary:

1. Wang Xiaoyu and Trump are a match made in heaven.

2. The possibility of Trump actively bursting the bubble.

3. Retail investors are trying to buy in large quantities, which means the U.S. stock market has not yet hit bottom.

4. I would like to reiterate that on Monday evening to Tuesday evening next week, $270 billion in U.S. Treasuries will be issued, and there is currently no liquidity cushion in the market, so beware of a significant drop.

I have made accurate predictions of waterfalls using the issuance rhythm of U.S. Treasuries many times last year, down to the minute, and I believe many people remember this. Including my firm stance on the short positions after multiple losses under the increase on March 2, which was also due to the $250 billion in Treasuries on the 3rd-4th.

5. Let’s focus on altcoins (See p4).

In terms of operations:

1. Hold short position $BTC , take profit at 59000. (You can also take profit at the weekly EMA60 first, around 73500).

2. Currently, I have no long positions in hand for $SOL $ETH , mainly focusing on short positions, or until Bitcoin enters the next range for consolidation.

Short-term:

1. Considering various reasons, today and tomorrow are still opportunities to short, aiming for half near 82500 with a break-even point, while the rest runs to the integer level of 80000.

2. Although there is a high probability of a 4H level upward movement currently, any long position must wait until the U.S. Treasuries are issued, which means after Tuesday evening at 12 o'clock, then you can consider entering a long position. It's best to wait until the price breaks below 82500 and recovers before entering on the right side, aiming for half at 87000 with a break-even point.

3. Since the weekly level downtrend that started from 110000 has reached the latter half, shorting Ethereum/Sol and including altcoins seems to have little cost-effectiveness. It is more appropriate to do pullbacks for long positions in the short term. However, entry for large positions must wait until the panic selling comes out; in terms of pattern, it needs to show a sharp drop with increased volume. The mainstream idea in the market is still 'buying the dip in a bull market.' As long as this idea remains mainstream, there is no bottom.