Extreme Irrational Panic! DeepSeek looks at 82,000, looks down at 75,000.

Multi-Indicator Strategy Based on the Latest Data

1. Key Indicator Resonance Signals

MACD (Bearish Momentum Extremely Strengthened but Deviating from Extremes)

MACD red bars expanded, bearish momentum reached a historical peak (difference of 1,415.2), but deviation values far exceeded the levels of March 2020, at the bottom divergence critical point.

RSI(6)=8.46 (Epic Oversold)

Value dropped below the historical lowest threshold (<10)

KDJ Freezing Signal:

J=-0.08 (Entering Negative Zone), K/D=17.52/26.32 Death Cross Slope Slowing Down, if the daily line closes positive, it will trigger a Golden Cross.

BOLL Breaking the Track and Volume Verification:

Current price 81,163 USDT dropped below the lower track 84,926 (deviation of 4.6%), increased volume breaking suggests panic selling, but beware of main force inducing short positions.

2. Multi-Cycle Operating Strategy

Strategy 1: Extreme Oversold Rebound (High Risk High Reward)

Entry Conditions:

✅ Price holds above 80,000 + 1-hour RSI(6) > 10

✅ MACD bar shrinks to within -1,200 (Bearish Momentum Weakening)

Operation:

First position 2% at 80,500-81,500, stop loss at 78,000 (-3.7%)

Breakthrough 84,926 (lower track) add 2% position, target 88,000-90,000

Verification Signal: Daily closing price must be above 83,000 for 2 consecutive days.

Strategy 2: Trend Bearish Defense

Add Position Point: Rebound to 83,000-84,000 Stagnation + 1-hour volume < MA5 (41,206)

Targets and Stop Loss:

Target 1: 79,532 (previous low) → -2.0%

Target 2: 75,000 (weekly lower track) → -7.6%

Stop Loss: Exit if breaking 84,500

Strategy 3: Hedging and Grid Harvesting

Spot Hedging: Holders open short positions above 82,000 (ratio 1:0.5), close shorts if dropping below 80,000.

3. External Variables and On-Chain Alerts

Miner Selling Pressure: If miners net transfer out > 10,000 BTC (currently about 6,500 BTC), target adjusted to 72,000-75,000.

U.S. Stock Market Crash Linkage: If Nasdaq crashes, BTC may follow down to 75,000-78,000.

Conclusion

Currently, the daily level is at an epic oversold and liquidity crisis game period:

Extremely Aggressive: Light position long at 80,500, strict stop loss at 78,000, target 88,000;

Conservative: Wait for MACD bar shrink + daily line to close positive, right side chase long;

Risk Control Iron Rule: Leverage ≤ 1x, total position ≤ 5%, reserve funds to prevent spike to 75,000.

(Note: Do not counter trend in extreme situations)