🔹 Looking at Bitcoin’s price action across previous Halving cycles, we can see clear patterns emerging. If history repeats itself, this could explain why we haven’t seen a truly explosive altcoin season yet.

Source: Glassnode

1st: Bitcoin has yet to enter its most euphoric growth phase

  • In previous cycles, Bitcoin tended to trade sideways for several months after the Halving before entering its strongest uptrend.

  • Data from Coinbase Institutional x Glassnode shows that this cycle is closely mirroring the second Halving cycle (2016-2020).


2nd: The altcoin season only starts after Bitcoin reaches ATH

  • Historically, altcoins only experience their parabolic rallies after Bitcoin has hit its all-time high (ATH).

  • At the start of a bull run, capital primarily flows into Bitcoin, pushing BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) higher. Only after Bitcoin’s peak does money start rotating into altcoins.

3rd: The most euphoric phase could begin as early as Q1 2025

  • Based on past cycles, we are approaching the point of explosive price action.

If the previous patterns hold, Bitcoin could reach a new ATH in the coming months, setting the stage for a full-scale altcoin season.

📌 Key Signals to Watch for an Incoming Altseason

🔹 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) declining – A clear sign that capital is rotating into altcoins.

🔹 Market sentiment shift – When Bitcoin reaches ATH, altcoin FOMO kicks in.

🔹 New money entering the market – Institutional and retail investors increasing exposure to crypto.

📣 Bottom Line:

🔥 If history repeats itself, Q1 2025 could mark the beginning of Bitcoin’s strongest growth phase, paving the way for an explosive altcoin season! 🚀

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