① If the U.S. core CPI rises by more than 0.3% month-on-month in June, it means that U.S. inflation is making a comeback and the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates is weakened, which may trigger a sell-off in risky assets.
② If the U.S. core CPI increases between 0.15% and 0.20% month-on-month, which is also the most likely scenario, the virtual market will see a small rise.
③If the month-on-month increase in the US core CPI is between 0.20% and 0.25%, there may be a bearish trend, followed by a gradual increase.
④ The most optimistic scenario is that the month-on-month increase in the U.S. core CPI in June is below 0.1%. This situation will be extremely beneficial to the virtual market and may even prompt some people to call for an early interest rate cut in July. The virtual market may end the recent sluggish environment and usher in a substantial rise.
The June CPI data of the United States will be released at 20:30 tonight. Will this CPI data completely ignite the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut? Will the rising trend of global risk assets add fuel to the fire tonight? #美联储何时降息？
