$ETHFI #ETHFI In the past 24 hours, the high-low amplitude is about 6.5%. The current price is 0.3988. This is not a quiet market for casually opening a position. When volatility increases, you should adjust your position first, then discuss direction.
$ETHFI #ETHFI The 24-hour structure is still relatively weak, but the 1-hour has repaired to +0.63% first. This is in the rebound observation stage—there is still one pressure point to clear before a confirmed trend reversal.
Judging by cycle alignment: 24 hours is -3.76%, while the 1-hour has returned to +0.63%. The short-term is being repaired, but the larger timeframe has not fully turned strong. At this stage, treat it as a rebound. Only after it regains the core resistance level and completes an effective retest can the judgment be upgraded to a trend reversal.
I will set 0.4017 as the short-term swing long/short pivot. If it holds, it means the pullback remains within a controllable range, and then there is a condition to test 0.4146 again. After a valid breakdown, don’t rush to catch—wait for a new stable structure to form around 0.3888.
In high-volatility conditions, the execution principle is to reduce single-trade exposure, avoid chasing prices back and forth in the middle of the range, and write the invalidation conditions before entering. If price doesn’t provide confirmation, it’s better to do less than to compensate for uncertainty with a larger position.
There are three ways forward from here: If it effectively holds above 0.4146, wait for a pullback that doesn’t break, then reassess for continuation. If it breaks down below 0.3888, prioritize risk control and wait for new support. If it keeps oscillating around 0.4017, treat it as range rotation and don’t repeatedly chase a direction at the mid-range.
The key of the contract isn’t predicting every single K-line—it’s to ensure there is a basis for entry, scaling down, and exit. Do less without confirmation; if a key level fails, redo the plan. Control single-trade risk first, then discuss the potential upside.
I’ll come back later to review this chart and see which path the market takes first. For now, leave your direction first.