$ETHFI #ETHFI Once momentum heats up, it’s only then that you’re prepared to enter the market, but you also need to first assess the location. Over the current 1 hour: +0.30%, over the past 24 hours: +1.90%. The space that has already been covered cannot simply be reused as the next segment of replicable space.
$ETHFI #ETHFI It’s coming close again to the 24-hour high. The closer you get to the pressure zone, the more important the closing position and the subsequent pullback become. A breakout intraday by itself doesn’t mean you’ve truly settled above it.
For the bulls, the more favorable rhythm is: once price returns to around 0.58375 and selling pressure weakens, then try again at 0.6059. If you don’t pull back and instead accelerate, the risk-reward ratio of chasing prices will decline.
There are three ways to handle the next path: If price moves up and effectively holds above 0.6059, wait for a pullback that doesn’t break and then reassess for continuation; if it breaks down below 0.5616, prioritize controlling risk and wait for new support; if it continues to oscillate around 0.58375, treat it as a range for rotation, and don’t repeatedly chase direction from the middle of the range.
Position sizing must distinguish between spot and contracts. For existing spot holdings, manage in segments around key levels, without frequently flipping your direction due to a single 1-hour K-line. If you’re in cash, wait for confirmation and scale in more comfortably. Contracts place greater emphasis on your entry price and invalidation conditions. When volatility increases, proactively reduce position size to avoid turning short-term judgment into passive holding.
Missing a stretch of the market won’t directly cause losses; it’s only chasing at the end of volatility without a plan that makes the position passive. Your trading plan must include invalidation conditions. If your judgment is correct, you can realize profits in stages; if it’s wrong, you must also allow yourself to exit. Don’t use adding to positions to cover up the fact that the original logic has changed. The market will update, and your viewpoint should adjust in line with price evidence.
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