Risk memo by position
$EUL / SHORT
Why the trade is being considered: RSI 47.9 and the MACD histogram are pointing toward the scenario. Momentum confirms the move, but does not replace risk control.
Observed support: RSI 47.9 · ADX 20.6 · 1H -0.93% · VWAP 1.5051.
Entry condition: The impulse must hold during the test at 1.422.
Primary technical risk: Price and momentum divergence, or a return above VWAP, will weaken the signal.
Trading setup
Risk: Entry 1.496 → Stop 1.5448 USDT
Potential: TP1 1.459 / TP2 1.4368 / TP3 1.422 USDT
R/R: 1.52
The scenario is cancelled not by emotions, but after a close above 1.5448. It’s better to miss the move than to enter with an unacceptable stop size.
Context check: 1H ✓ · 4H × · 1D ×; separately for BTC — neutral, 1H +0.21%, 4H +0.96% — the backdrop supports the direction.
The position sizing decision is made separately from how attractive TP3 is. In this kind of move, it’s better to be late to confirmation than to catch a false impulse too early.
Would you execute this entry with a limit order, or only after a reaction?
#SHORT #PriceLevels #TradeManagement #EUL