thitruong

BTC at $61.8k, thought the buy-side would win. But options still point the other way. Put premium is still even higher than calls by 16% in terms of vol, despite having fallen from 25% last week. Traders don’t believe the rally has legs yet, still holding protective puts against risk.

The long-dated put-call skew is also around 10%. Ether is in the same situation. $221 million into the Bitcoin ETF ends a streak of outflows, but options signals say it can’t hibernate yet.

Notable: the ETH/BTC ratio is nearing the 100-day SMA. Since December, every time it has touched this level, it has failed. If this time it can break through, that would be the strongest signal for alt strength. If not, then it’s another stop-out sweep.

Weekend liquidity drops because the US is on holiday. Unusual volatility is likely. Manage risk.

#BTC #Ether #PhanTich #ThiTruong

Bitcoin has just ended June with a rare bearish Marubozu candle on the monthly chart. The price dropped 20% to below $60k, with a red candle body that is nearly without wicks.

For 30 days, the bears completely dominated, with no significant recovery. This is far from the usual down months that always show two-way volatility.

Smart money is withdrawing. U.S. spot ETFs recorded a record net outflow of $4.5 billion—matching the chart signal.

The Marubozu candle on the monthly timeframe is not a sign of a bottom. It warns that the downtrend may continue, with the deep support zone of $48k-$55k being mentioned by analysts.

Don’t predict the bottom. Just a reminder: every cycle has two directions. Buying cheaper doesn’t necessarily mean you’ll win if the trend hasn’t changed.

DYOR and risk management.

#BTC #Bitcoin #PhanTich #ThiTruong

Bitcoin has just slipped below the $60,000 level amid the Japanese yen hitting a 40-year low versus the US dollar. The weakening yen not only lifts the greenback but also raises fears of a large-scale unwind of carry trades—something that previously caused major volatility across all risk assets, including crypto.

But the story doesn’t stop at the macro level. Strategy (MicroStrategy) has just approved a plan to raise $1.25 billion via its “treasury monetization” program—plainly, it could mean selling some Bitcoin. A notable shift from the perpetual HODL signal toward accepting selling when the market is weak. As expert Jeff Dorman notes, the issue is only being delayed, not resolved.

With both foreign inflows and the moves by major players putting pressure on the market, risk management is the top priority. Every decision should be based on real analysis, not driven by emotions.

#BTC #Bitcoin #PhanTich #ThiTruong

A trader who has made some noteworthy predictions just laid out a scenario where Bitcoin could dip to $50K in Q3 to create a liquidity trap, and then reverse with a strong rally. This is a classic play by the big money: triggering stop-losses, scooping up cheap coins, and then reversing to catch the crowd off guard.

If this scenario plays out, the $50K level will likely be where many retail investors panic-sell, but it could also present a golden opportunity for long-term holders. That said, the market is always full of variables, and nothing is set in stone.

The most important thing remains capital management and maintaining discipline. Don’t let emotions take the wheel — do your own research (DYOR) and prepare for every possible outcome.

#BTC #Bitcoin #Phantich #Market

"Getting a lot of buzz but the price is still sliding" — $BEAT today is the strangest name on the board: it made the trending list, yet it's down nearly 3.7% hovering around 7.72 USD while $BTC bounced back over 1.3% to nearly 63,400 USD.

Usually, when a name catches attention, the price tends to get pumped up first; $BEAT is going the opposite direction. It seems like early investors are cashing out after a few sessions of close scrutiny, and the increased interest is only driving views but not enough to hold the price. The overall market is up around 1.4% in total market cap, with BTC's market share at ~56% — the context isn't too bad, so the individual dip of $BEAT can't be entirely blamed on the "bad market overall."

→ The news or story has been discussed before, it's tough for the price to spike just because it's still being mentioned a lot
→ A few percent drop sounds light, but for a token under the spotlight, it can easily be seen as a signal to sell further
→ Being noticed and maintaining price are two different things

I'm still keeping $BEAT on my watchlist because it's still making noise — but this kind of sell-off reminds us: don’t confuse mentions with a continuing price trend upward.

#BEAT #Gia #Market

Sell $216 million worth of Bitcoin, but the price only wobbles slightly—could the whales be quietly accumulating from Strategy’s hands? MicroStrategy (now Strategy) finally sold for the first time after years of holding, but they still have more than 200k BTC. This move looks more like rebalancing than surrender. The market absorbed it well, and BTC quickly rebounded.

Meanwhile, John Bollinger—the father of Bollinger Bands—spoke up: the bands have narrowed; price touched the lower band and bounced. History shows this is an accumulation signal ahead of a breakout. The 70k zone is the key level—if it can be broken through, 80k isn’t far away.

Vitalik Buterin has just released a preliminary strategy roadmap for Ethereum, though it’s still vague and takes time. Yet insiders rate it highly because it prioritizes safety over speed. ETH is holding above 3400, and long-term confidence remains strong.

Three mixed signals, but with one common point: large capital is quietly moving in the background. Don’t rush into FOMO because of a single analysis piece or an institutional sell order. The technical structure is favoring the buyers, but risk management is still #1. Watch 68k for support and 70k for resistance. DYOR.

#BTC #Ethereum #PhanTich #ThiTruong #DauTu

More than 40,000 BTC has been deposited to exchanges in just the past 24 hours—an alert that no trader can ignore. Bitcoin is rebounding above $60,000, but on-chain data tells a different story.

Inflows to CEXs have suddenly increased by 25% in 48 hours, with an SOPR above 1 indicating that most of this BTC is currently in profit. That means investors are preparing to take profits or brace for defense. If further selling pressure continues, the $57,000 zone is the first line of defense. Once that level breaks, the scenario of $53,000–$55,000 could happen entirely.

I’ve seen this play out many times: short-term rebounds are often accompanied by accumulation of selling pressure. Don’t rush into a long with FOMO before there’s confirmation from liquidity. Keep a high stablecoin ratio, set a tight stop loss, and wait for clearer signals. The market is entering a sensitive zone—volatility can hit at any moment.

DYOR and risk management come first.

#BTC #Bitcoin #Phantich #Thitruong #QuanTriRuiRo

10 days of net outflows of $2.7 billion, then suddenly $222 million poured back in within a single session. BlackRock and Fidelity lead the way. Institutional money is returning to Bitcoin ETFs after a long stretch of sell-offs.

But don’t get too excited. One day doesn’t create a trend. Trading volume hasn’t surged, suggesting it may only be a few large whales buying the dip—not yet broad-based flow. The market is still below key technical levels, and the Fed’s direction remains unclear.

Personally, I see this as a positive short-term signal, but it’s not enough to conclude a bottom is in. If you already have positions, manage risk tightly. If you’re on the sidelines, wait for a few more sessions of confirmation.

DYOR.

#BTC #Bitcoin #ETF #Dautu #Thitruong

American Bitcoin - Trump’s son’s mining company - just lost 8.4% in a single session.

The reason? They are about to reverse split the stock to save the Nasdaq listing, as the price has fallen below $1 for many days. This is a patch, not a cure. A reverse split does not change market capitalization; it only temporarily increases the value per share. If mining revenue and the Bitcoin price don’t improve, the stock will fall again.

For crypto futures traders, this is a clear signal: money is flowing out of smaller mining companies. Costs are rising, and competition is fierce. BTC moving sideways only exposes the weakness. Don’t confuse the Trump name with business performance.

Watch the BTC price zone of 65k-68k. If it breaks 65k, more turmoil is coming. Manage risk ahead of the Q2 earnings season.

DYOR.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #ThiTruong

The crypto market enters Q3 with thinner liquidity but less leverage after Q2 rebalanced

- The open interest of Bitcoin and Ether fell sharply after the liquidation of $8.35 billion in long positions.
- ETF inflows saw outflows; Strategy’s buy activity was weaker, and reduced market depth have weakened liquidity.
- However, leverage in the market has declined, helping reduce the risk of mass liquidations.

#CryptoNews #Bitcoin #Ethereum #ThanhKhoan #ThiTruong

$btc btc $eth

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Source: CoinTelegraph

Trump pockets over $1 billion from crypto as the labor market plunges. The 2025 financial report reveals a portfolio: BTC positions at ~58k, 25 million ETH, cash, shares in the mining company Coreweave, and a stablecoin holdco with revenue of $8 million/year.

Paradox: this asset base grows while BTC falls by nearly 50% from its peak. While individual traders struggle, the elite quietly accumulate and tap liquidity from the ecosystem.

Lesson? Big news doesn’t naturally create a bottom. Smart money has its own timeline. The market still has many variables—Clarity Act, new ETFs, the stablecoin wars. Don’t bet your whole account on a single story.

Stay disciplined. Manage risk. Do your own research.

#Trump #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoNews #ThiTruong

Strategy's STRC preferred stock just hit a historical low, down more than 30% in two weeks, while Bitcoin still struggles below 60,000 USD. The cause is not new: BTC is weak due to macro pressure and net outflows from ETF flows, dragging down high-sensitivity stocks like STRC.

Michael Saylor calls this a "volatility test" for the leveraged BTC-buying strategy. He insists he won’t sell, but liquidity risk is still present if the price continues to fall sharply.

Personal take: this is a wake-up call for anyone who views Bitcoin-related stocks as a safe investment channel. Volatility is inherent, but using excessively high leverage can lead to severe losses. Stay disciplined, manage capital, and always do your own research before taking action.

#BTC #DauTu #QuanTriRuiRo #ThiTruong #Strategy

Bitcoin has just touched $58,000 — the lowest level since 2024. But behind the 5% drop is a paradox: the short side is overcrowded, and history suggests this is often a catalyst for a short squeeze.

Derivatives data doesn’t lie. Funding rates are negative, open interest is rising even as price falls — meaning short positions are being doubled rather than closed. The buy-side order depth below the market (from $59k down to $50k) reaches up to 6,900 BTC, four times the sell orders above. This structure enables the bulls to push prices up to liquidate those who are short.

Of course, the long-term downtrend is still there as the Fed stays hawkish and AI-related capital flows haven’t truly spread yet. But in the short term, the market is forming an area of symmetric risk: an opportunity for the patient, and a trap for FOMO-chasers.

DYOR. Risk management should always be the top priority.

#BTC #Bitcoin #PhanTich #ShortSqueeze #ThiTruong

Despite having sufficient cash reserves to pay dividends for 10 months, Strategy’s STRC preferred shares are trading at a 25% discount to the $100 par value — and that’s a wake-up call for retail investors.

The issue isn’t the ability to make payments, but trust. Alexander Blume from Two Prime pointed out a harsh truth: Michael Saylor’s consecutive pivots have shattered confidence among investors who tend to favor the retail base. MSTR fell to $86 — its lowest level since February 2024 — and STRC’s “low volatility” promise turned out to conceal substantial risk.

This is a classic lesson in risk management. A product yielding more than 6% versus U.S. government bonds surely comes with additional risk. When trust evaporates, value collapses. And ironically, it’s people’s emotional weaknesses — the very thing Bitcoin was designed to eliminate — that are the cause.

At present, Strategy is unlikely to become a significant buyer of Bitcoin in the near future. Do your own research and manage your own risk.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Dautu #QuanTriRuiRo #ThiTruong

Bitcoin is holding at $61,700, but 10x Research just dropped a pretty edgy scenario: the price could dip to $55,000 before forming a cycle bottom. The main reason comes from the strengthening USD and the hawkish policy of the Fed under Chairman Kevin Warsh – the market is worried that interest rates might go up instead of getting cut.

What's noteworthy isn't just the bearish forecast, but the timeframe. The research author points out three independent indicators – global liquidity, macroeconomic calendar, and seasonal patterns – all converge between late August and October. In other words, this bottom isn't a quick fix.

For traders, it's time to check your discipline. The $55,000 zone isn't far off if big money continues to exit risky assets. But if 10x Research's indicators hold true, the period from now until the end of August could be an opportunity to accumulate with a tight strategy.

DYOR and manage risk before any volatility.

#BTC #PhanTich #Bitcoin #ThiTruong #DauTu

The Crypto market is facing liquidity stress, underperforming compared to stocks

- Market liquidity indicators are signaling a state of liquidity stress.
- The cryptocurrency market is currently lagging behind traditional stock markets.
- This situation suggests potential challenges for crypto investors.
#CryptoNews #ThanhKhoan #ThiTruong #BinanceSquare

$btc $eth

#vlikevn Titanbot

Source: Blockworks

Another key player from the Ethereum Foundation has exited — Hsiao-Wei Wang, the research director who played a crucial role in the PoS consensus mechanism, has left the organization. This isn't an isolated incident.

Previously, a wave of leaders and top researchers like Danny Ryan and Evan Van Ness also departed. This trend raises increasing questions about the internal culture, governance, and the ability to retain talent within the Ethereum Foundation. With a network undergoing transformation post-The Merge, losing experienced research minds could impact the progress of critical upgrades.

ETH's price has shown a slight negative reaction, reflecting the market's cautious sentiment. However, in my view, this is a long-term signal to monitor, not a reason to panic. The debate around decentralized governance is still ongoing, and this departure doesn't define Ethereum's future.

Always manage risk and do your own research, as the market doesn't operate based on a single piece of news.

#ETH #Ethereum #QuanTri #Crypto #CryptoMarket

DXY is on the brink of breaking out of a 13-month range — and with a negative correlation of 0.82, Bitcoin is unlikely to sit this one out.

The dollar is strengthening thanks to hawkish signals from the Fed, pushing the DXY up to 100.66. History shows that every time this index breaks out of a long accumulation zone, momentum often leads to pullbacks in risk assets. Bitcoin, which has already dipped nearly 1% in the session, may test the 200-week moving average at $62,258.

Notably: according to reference data, drops below this range in the past have opened up significant long-term recovery opportunities. But that's a story for those who are patient.

For now, the market is in a defensive stance. If the DXY continues to climb, BTC might face short-term pressure. The key is to maintain discipline and risk management, not letting emotions take the wheel.

DYOR.

#BTC #DXY #PhanTich #Bitcoin #CryptoMarket

$64k – amid hawkish signals from Kevin Warsh, Bitcoin remains resilient, not crashing. This speaks volumes beyond just a typical news piece.

Clearly, the stance of the potential Fed candidate has sparked a wave of concern about tightening liquidity. BTC dipped from $65k to $64k, but there was an immediate buy-the-dip response. The $60k level is deemed a crucial support by most analysts, both technically and psychologically.

From my perspective, today’s reaction feels like a test. It shows that the market is becoming more 'immune' to such macro news. The ETF capital flow is truly strong, the halving is approaching, and large institutions are still quietly accumulating. But don’t celebrate just yet. The pressure from high interest rates will persist, and we’re not out of the $60k-$70k range yet.

What’s important is this chain of movements. If BTC holds above $63k, the bullish trend is reinforced. If it loses $60k, the narrative will change. At this point, capital management and patience are paramount.

#BTC #Bitcoin #PhanTich #ThiTruong #DauTu

The bond market is saying what no one wants to hear: interest rates will stay high for longer.

The yield curve is tightening sharply, with the 10-2 year spread at its lowest since April 2025. This is a clear "hawkish" signal from the Fed – prolonged high rates make bonds attractive, while Bitcoin and other risk assets that don't yield are losing their allure.

The short-term bullish outlook for BTC is getting more complicated. Expectations for interest rate cuts earlier this year have faded – capital may shift away from crypto.

For traders, this is a time to be cautious. No one knows when the Fed will pivot, but signals from bonds often precede actions. Manage your risk, closely monitor interest rate movements, and don't rush into long positions when the market is re-evaluating everything.

DYOR – opportunities always come to those who are patient and disciplined.

#BTC #Phantich #LaiSuat #Fed #Market