#fadetheflow
fadetheflow
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$XAUT ALERT: SPDR flows falling win 61% of the time 📊
The data is clear: following the large “gold” fund flows is a bad strategy. My backtest shows that when SPDR sells 1+ tonne, XAUT rebounds 61.4% of the time the next day. This is a signal worth taking into account—the market already prices in these flow figures before you even see them.
Trying to trade by buying the fund only gives you a win rate of 52.6%, which is worse than chance over a bullish year. The smartest short-term play is to systematically “do the opposite” (fade) the fund, rather than follow it.
Are you trading the flows or fading them?
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#XAUT #GOLD #FadeTheFlow #Backtest #CryptoAnalysis
$XAU
$XAUT
The data is clear: following the large “gold” fund flows is a bad strategy. My backtest shows that when SPDR sells 1+ tonne, XAUT rebounds 61.4% of the time the next day. This is a signal worth taking into account—the market already prices in these flow figures before you even see them.
Trying to trade by buying the fund only gives you a win rate of 52.6%, which is worse than chance over a bullish year. The smartest short-term play is to systematically “do the opposite” (fade) the fund, rather than follow it.
Are you trading the flows or fading them?
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#XAUT #GOLD #FadeTheFlow #Backtest #CryptoAnalysis
$XAU
$XAUT
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