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🚨 BREAKING: The U.S. labor market is cooling rapidly
ADP data shows that in October, American companies shed an average of 2,500 jobs per week, a clear signal that the labor market is starting to buckle under economic pressure.
At the same time, the Department of Labor reports that initial jobless claims rose to 232,000 for the week ending October 18 — one of the highest levels this year.
What does this mean?
• Employers are slowing down hiring and beginning to cut jobs
• Recession risks are rising
• The Fed may be forced to maintain — or even accelerate — monetary easing if the deterioration continues
In short: the U.S. labor market is cooling, and this could strongly influence markets in the coming weeks.
ADP data shows that in October, American companies shed an average of 2,500 jobs per week, a clear signal that the labor market is starting to buckle under economic pressure.
At the same time, the Department of Labor reports that initial jobless claims rose to 232,000 for the week ending October 18 — one of the highest levels this year.
What does this mean?
• Employers are slowing down hiring and beginning to cut jobs
• Recession risks are rising
• The Fed may be forced to maintain — or even accelerate — monetary easing if the deterioration continues
In short: the U.S. labor market is cooling, and this could strongly influence markets in the coming weeks.
Japan has just triggered the biggest shift in global liquidity in the past decade.
Let me explain why it matters:
The yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds has risen to 1.71%, the highest level since 2008.
For an economy that has lived with near-zero interest rates for 30 years, this move completely changes capital flows across global markets.
🇯🇵 Why does Japan matter?
For three decades, Japan has been the silent engine of global liquidity:
• extremely low interest rates,
• a cheap yen,
• investors borrowing in yen and buying higher-yielding assets in the US, Europe, and emerging markets,
• Japanese pension funds buying massive amounts of US Treasuries.
This system kept global financing costs low and fueled bull markets everywhere.
🛑 But something broke in 2025
As Japanese yields rise:
• US bonds become less attractive to Japanese investors,
• hedging costs for the yen have increased,
• and some major Japanese buyers are reducing exposure to US debt.
This doesn’t mean liquidity disappears, but flows are reversing — and this is one of the most important shifts in the global interest-rate landscape.
What’s the risk?
If Japanese investors continue reducing their foreign bond holdings:
• US yields could rise,
• mortgage and corporate borrowing costs may increase,
• interest-rate-sensitive assets could come under pressure,
• and strategies built on the “yen carry trade” may face adjustments.
This is not a “collapse,” but a global repositioning of capital after a 30-year cycle.
📅 The critical moment: December 18
At the next meeting, the Bank of Japan may once again decide on interest rates.
Another move would reinforce the current trend and accelerate the reconfiguration of international capital flows.
⸻
Conclusion
We are not witnessing the end of the financial world — but the end of an era:
the era of zero interest rates in Japan, which fueled global liquidity for three decades.
Investors should watch closely:
• Japanese yields,
• capital flows from Japanese pension funds,
Bitcoin ($BTC ) drops below $96,000, but Ethereum ($ETH ) shows strength (for now)
The market is starting to form an interesting pattern:
BTC is making a lower low, while ETH is maintaining a higher low.
This is called a bullish divergence of relative strength.
What this means in practice
When BTC moves lower but ETH keeps its structure, the market usually signals:
• ETH > BTC in relative strength
• higher probability of a relief rally led by ETH
• possible start of rotation from BTC → ETH → majors
But be careful:
this does not guarantee a market bottom.
BTC can still fall further even if ETH remains stronger.
Examples from the past
Summer 2021:
• BTC retested and slightly broke below the May lows
• ETH formed a higher low
➡️ Result: strong rally from July to November, with ETH leading.
Mini-corrections in 2017:
• BTC made local lower lows
• ETH held structure
➡️ ETH-led rallies followed, along with a drop in BTC dominance.
Divergences in 2019–2020:
• BTC had small breakdowns
• ETH stayed higher
➡️ Usually followed by a global bounce + ETH/BTC trending up.
In all cases:
Strong ETH → higher probability of rotation and a market bounce.
Most important: confirmation
This setup becomes relevant only if ETH manages to maintain this higher low by the end of the week.
If the structure holds, the signal becomes much stronger.
If it breaks, the pattern is invalidated.
What do you think? Will Ethereum stay above the last low at $3050?
$BTC $ETH
The market is starting to form an interesting pattern:
BTC is making a lower low, while ETH is maintaining a higher low.
This is called a bullish divergence of relative strength.
What this means in practice
When BTC moves lower but ETH keeps its structure, the market usually signals:
• ETH > BTC in relative strength
• higher probability of a relief rally led by ETH
• possible start of rotation from BTC → ETH → majors
But be careful:
this does not guarantee a market bottom.
BTC can still fall further even if ETH remains stronger.
Examples from the past
Summer 2021:
• BTC retested and slightly broke below the May lows
• ETH formed a higher low
➡️ Result: strong rally from July to November, with ETH leading.
Mini-corrections in 2017:
• BTC made local lower lows
• ETH held structure
➡️ ETH-led rallies followed, along with a drop in BTC dominance.
Divergences in 2019–2020:
• BTC had small breakdowns
• ETH stayed higher
➡️ Usually followed by a global bounce + ETH/BTC trending up.
In all cases:
Strong ETH → higher probability of rotation and a market bounce.
Most important: confirmation
This setup becomes relevant only if ETH manages to maintain this higher low by the end of the week.
If the structure holds, the signal becomes much stronger.
If it breaks, the pattern is invalidated.
What do you think? Will Ethereum stay above the last low at $3050?
$BTC $ETH
The market is completely split on the Fed’s next move.
Will it cut rates in December, or stay put?
It depends on who you ask.
CME Futures:
Trades in the traditional market see less than a 50% chance that the Fed will cut rates in December.
Their message: the Fed might wait for clearer data.
Kalshi (prediction market):
Bettors disagree — they still price in roughly a ~59% probability of a 25 bps cut.
Their message: the economy is slowing and the Fed will act.
What does this divergence mean?
• Traditional markets want macro confirmation.
• Prediction markets react to weakness in jobs, credit, and consumption.
• The divergence highlights one clear thing: uncertainty is at a maximum, and volatility could explode at the next FOMC.
Will it cut rates in December, or stay put?
It depends on who you ask.
CME Futures:
Trades in the traditional market see less than a 50% chance that the Fed will cut rates in December.
Their message: the Fed might wait for clearer data.
Kalshi (prediction market):
Bettors disagree — they still price in roughly a ~59% probability of a 25 bps cut.
Their message: the economy is slowing and the Fed will act.
What does this divergence mean?
• Traditional markets want macro confirmation.
• Prediction markets react to weakness in jobs, credit, and consumption.
• The divergence highlights one clear thing: uncertainty is at a maximum, and volatility could explode at the next FOMC.
The HODL Top 80 List 👇 5/12/2025
✅ Companies bought 15,409 Bitcoin last week (vs 3,150 mined)
✅ The Top 80 companies HODL more than 777,000 Bitcoin
✅ Companies bought 15,409 Bitcoin last week (vs 3,150 mined)
✅ The Top 80 companies HODL more than 777,000 Bitcoin
11 Bearish Candle Patterns No One Will Ever Teach You
#TradingMadeEasy
When it comes to technical analysis in trading, candlestick patterns play a crucial role in identifying potential market reversals. While many traders are familiar with popular patterns like the "Engulfing" or the "Doji," some lesser-known bearish candle patterns can be equally, if not more, effective in predicting a downturn. Here are 11 bearish candle patterns that are often overlooked, yet powerful when correctly identified.
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1. Abandoned Baby
This pattern is rare but highly reliable. It forms after a strong bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal. The pattern consists of three candles: a bullish candle, a gap up doji, and a bearish candle that gaps down. The gap between the doji and the surrounding candles is what makes this pattern stand out.
2. Evening Star
The Evening Star is a three-candle pattern that signals a bearish reversal. The first candle is bullish, followed by a small-bodied candle (which can be bullish or bearish), and then a strong bearish candle. The strength of the bearish candle closing near its lows confirms the reversal.
3. Dark Cloud Cover
This two-candle pattern occurs after a bullish trend. The first candle is a strong bullish candle, but the second opens higher and closes below the midpoint of the first candle. This pattern indicates that bears are beginning to overpower the bulls.
4. Three Black Crows
This is a powerful reversal pattern made up of three consecutive bearish candles. Each candle opens within the previous candle's body and closes lower, showing consistent selling pressure.
5. Bearish Harami
The Bearish Harami is a two-candle pattern where a small bearish candle is contained within the body of the previous large bullish candle. This pattern suggests indecision in the market, with the potential for a bearish reversal.
6. Hanging Man
The Hanging Man appears at the top of an uptrend and is characterized by a small body and a long lower wick. The long wick indicates that sellers pushed prices down significantly during the session, even though the bulls managed to push it back up, signaling potential weakness in the market.
7. Shooting Star
This pattern looks like an inverted hammer but occurs at the top of an uptrend. It has a small body and a long upper wick, indicating that bulls tried to push prices higher but were met with significant resistance, leading to a potential reversal.
8. Bearish Engulfing
The Bearish Engulfing pattern is a strong reversal signal where a small bullish candle is followed by a larger bearish candle that completely engulfs it. This indicates a strong shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
9. Tweezer Tops
This pattern consists of two candles with similar highs, usually after an uptrend. The first is bullish, and the second is bearish. The fact that the market couldn’t surpass the previous high suggests a potential reversal.
10. Gravestone Doji
The Gravestone Doji is a single-candle pattern with no body and a long upper wick. It indicates that bulls pushed prices higher, but bears managed to bring them back down to the open price, signaling a potential reversal.
11. Bearish Belt Hold
This single-candle pattern is a long bearish candle that opens at its high with no upper shadow. It indicates that sellers controlled the session from start to finish, often appearing at the end of an uptrend as a reversal signal.
### Conclusion
These 11 bearish candlestick patterns may not be as widely taught as the more common ones, but they are powerful tools for any trader looking to refine their technical analysis skills. Recognizing these patterns in real-time can provide valuable insights into potential market reversals, giving traders an edge in their decision-making processes. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting, adding these patterns to your repertoire could significantly enhance your trading strategy.
When it comes to technical analysis in trading, candlestick patterns play a crucial role in identifying potential market reversals. While many traders are familiar with popular patterns like the "Engulfing" or the "Doji," some lesser-known bearish candle patterns can be equally, if not more, effective in predicting a downturn. Here are 11 bearish candle patterns that are often overlooked, yet powerful when correctly identified.
Click here to vote for us and support us
1. Abandoned Baby
This pattern is rare but highly reliable. It forms after a strong bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal. The pattern consists of three candles: a bullish candle, a gap up doji, and a bearish candle that gaps down. The gap between the doji and the surrounding candles is what makes this pattern stand out.
2. Evening Star
The Evening Star is a three-candle pattern that signals a bearish reversal. The first candle is bullish, followed by a small-bodied candle (which can be bullish or bearish), and then a strong bearish candle. The strength of the bearish candle closing near its lows confirms the reversal.
3. Dark Cloud Cover
This two-candle pattern occurs after a bullish trend. The first candle is a strong bullish candle, but the second opens higher and closes below the midpoint of the first candle. This pattern indicates that bears are beginning to overpower the bulls.
4. Three Black Crows
This is a powerful reversal pattern made up of three consecutive bearish candles. Each candle opens within the previous candle's body and closes lower, showing consistent selling pressure.
5. Bearish Harami
The Bearish Harami is a two-candle pattern where a small bearish candle is contained within the body of the previous large bullish candle. This pattern suggests indecision in the market, with the potential for a bearish reversal.
6. Hanging Man
The Hanging Man appears at the top of an uptrend and is characterized by a small body and a long lower wick. The long wick indicates that sellers pushed prices down significantly during the session, even though the bulls managed to push it back up, signaling potential weakness in the market.
7. Shooting Star
This pattern looks like an inverted hammer but occurs at the top of an uptrend. It has a small body and a long upper wick, indicating that bulls tried to push prices higher but were met with significant resistance, leading to a potential reversal.
8. Bearish Engulfing
The Bearish Engulfing pattern is a strong reversal signal where a small bullish candle is followed by a larger bearish candle that completely engulfs it. This indicates a strong shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
9. Tweezer Tops
This pattern consists of two candles with similar highs, usually after an uptrend. The first is bullish, and the second is bearish. The fact that the market couldn’t surpass the previous high suggests a potential reversal.
10. Gravestone Doji
The Gravestone Doji is a single-candle pattern with no body and a long upper wick. It indicates that bulls pushed prices higher, but bears managed to bring them back down to the open price, signaling a potential reversal.
11. Bearish Belt Hold
This single-candle pattern is a long bearish candle that opens at its high with no upper shadow. It indicates that sellers controlled the session from start to finish, often appearing at the end of an uptrend as a reversal signal.
### Conclusion
These 11 bearish candlestick patterns may not be as widely taught as the more common ones, but they are powerful tools for any trader looking to refine their technical analysis skills. Recognizing these patterns in real-time can provide valuable insights into potential market reversals, giving traders an edge in their decision-making processes. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting, adding these patterns to your repertoire could significantly enhance your trading strategy.
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