$TAO is breathing after a strong impulsive run — bullish structure intact, but timing matters.
Momentum pushed TAO hard, and now it’s consolidating right below recent highs. Overbought signals are flashing, so chasing here is risky, but this doesn’t look like distribution. Breakout candles came with heavy volume — real demand. Recent hourly volume is lighter, yet price is holding firm, suggesting accumulation rather than selling. That last small-bodied candle hints at a pause before the next move, either a shallow dip or continuation.
Capital flow divergence is the key tell: • 1H contracts: +933,701 USDT inflow — fresh longs stepping in, short-term bias stays bullish
• 12H: -2.36M USDT
• 24H: -8.90M USDT — clear profit-taking after the rally, warning against overconfidence
• Spot flows (3D/5D/7D): solidly positive — real buying under the hood, not just leverage
Long plan: • Ideal entry: 264–266 zone (MA20 + support confluence)
• Aggressive entry: ~270, tight risk management required
Stops: • Swing entry stop: below 257.7 (≈4.5% risk from 265)
• Current price entry stop: below 263.9
Targets: • First resistance: 278
• Break and hold = momentum continuation
• Extension target: 284.2 if buyers step back in with volume
Bias: cautiously bullish. Let it come to you or keep risk tight. The divergence is real — spot is strong, leverage is cooling. Trade the pullback, not the hype.
TAOUSDT Perp | 265.41 | +3.53%
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