GDP
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Global GDP Outlook 2025: Navigating a Sluggish Recovery Amid Trade Tensions 🌏
In its July 2025 World Economic Outlook Update, the IMF raised its forecast for global growth to 3.0% in 2025 (from the previous 2.8% in April) and anticipates a modest uptick to 3.1% in 2026. This upward revision reflects improved trade flows—boosted by tariff rollbacks and front-loading ahead of policy changes—along with more favorable financial conditions and targeted fiscal stimulus in key economies.
The IMF also projects slower expansion in advanced economies—1.5% in 2025, rising slightly to 1.6% in 2026. Emerging markets are expected to grow at 4.1% in 2025, edging down only marginally to 4.0% in 2026, buoyed in part by better-than-expected recovery in China and India.
By contrast, the World Bank’s June 2025 Global Economic Prospects report paints a far more cautious picture. It projects global growth at just 2.3% in 2025, a sharp downgrade attributed to escalating trade disruptions and tighter policy uncertainty—especially from amplified U.S. tariffs. This revised figure marks the slowest pace since 2008 (excluding recession years), erasing nearly half a point from earlier projections.
While no full-blown global recession is expected, the reported slowdown is alarming. The World Bank’s forecast signals a broader challenge: sustaining momentum while protecting living standards amid geopolitical tension. Without policy responses, global living standards could slide, undermining earlier progress.
What This Means — Key Takeaways
1. Two Narratives, One Trend
The IMF sees soft-landing potential—growth improving moderately toward 3.0%.
The World Bank warns of deeper structural risks—growth could dip to just 2.3% amid trade disruptions.
2. Resilient But Vulnerable
Emerging markets, particularly China and India, remain engines of growth, but the overall pace is subdued. With trade sophisticated and debt elevated, external shocks remain potent threats.
3. Policy Matters
Short-term fiscal support has helped. However, longer-term recovery hinges on coordinated efforts: restoring trade stability, managing inflation, and supporting developing economies facing widening inequality.
Bottom Line:
The global economy is grappling with a delicate balance—modest recovery signs are overshadowed by stubborn trade friction and policy volatility. Whether growth stabilizes or slows further depends on the global community’s ability to address these headwinds effectively.
#REVABinanceTGE #WorldEconomy #GDP #crypto
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
The IMF also projects slower expansion in advanced economies—1.5% in 2025, rising slightly to 1.6% in 2026. Emerging markets are expected to grow at 4.1% in 2025, edging down only marginally to 4.0% in 2026, buoyed in part by better-than-expected recovery in China and India.
By contrast, the World Bank’s June 2025 Global Economic Prospects report paints a far more cautious picture. It projects global growth at just 2.3% in 2025, a sharp downgrade attributed to escalating trade disruptions and tighter policy uncertainty—especially from amplified U.S. tariffs. This revised figure marks the slowest pace since 2008 (excluding recession years), erasing nearly half a point from earlier projections.
While no full-blown global recession is expected, the reported slowdown is alarming. The World Bank’s forecast signals a broader challenge: sustaining momentum while protecting living standards amid geopolitical tension. Without policy responses, global living standards could slide, undermining earlier progress.
What This Means — Key Takeaways
1. Two Narratives, One Trend
The IMF sees soft-landing potential—growth improving moderately toward 3.0%.
The World Bank warns of deeper structural risks—growth could dip to just 2.3% amid trade disruptions.
2. Resilient But Vulnerable
Emerging markets, particularly China and India, remain engines of growth, but the overall pace is subdued. With trade sophisticated and debt elevated, external shocks remain potent threats.
3. Policy Matters
Short-term fiscal support has helped. However, longer-term recovery hinges on coordinated efforts: restoring trade stability, managing inflation, and supporting developing economies facing widening inequality.
Bottom Line:
The global economy is grappling with a delicate balance—modest recovery signs are overshadowed by stubborn trade friction and policy volatility. Whether growth stabilizes or slows further depends on the global community’s ability to address these headwinds effectively.
#REVABinanceTGE #WorldEconomy #GDP #crypto
$BTC
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$SOL
🔴GM🔴
🌊A relaxed Saturday, a red Sunday, and a Monday jump-start—so far, everything aligns perfectly.
💲Minor purchases by Asset Management firms often signal that they’re preparing to accumulate significantly.
🟥🟩Today, I predict a green market, but come tomorrow morning (from 20:00 UTC-0 onwards), we might see some shifts. Based on the data, there’s only Japan’s GDP release and speeches from Fed officials Bowman, Waller, and Harker—none of whom are particularly hawkish. RSI sits at 46.
📊 Market Outlook for Today (Converted to UTC-0):
🔹 00:00 – 07:00 (Green, Calm Market)
-The US is on holiday, and China is injecting liquidity without withdrawals.
-Japan’s GDP growth and subsequent Yen strength are misleading.
-GDP Deflator up +0.4%, QoQ GDP up +1.7%—a complete fantasy! 🤣
-The GDP increase is simply due to rising inflation.
-Mark this prediction: CPI data on 20th February will surely show an increase.
🔹 08:00 – 10:00 (Red, Pullback Expected)
Chinese equities rally.
🔹 11:00 – 16:00 (Stable, No Major Moves)
🔹 17:00 – 00:00 (Green, Market Recovery)
💡 A Word on the Japanese Yen
The Yen’s strength from GDP growth is temporary.
Why?
-GDP Deflator +0.4%
-CPI +0.6%
In short, this signals inflation, which will ultimately weaken the Yen.
This current strength is merely the result of intervention—let’s see if this holds true.
Let’s wait and see… 🎯
Watch this week analysis here for FREE=> MARKET MOVEMENT 17-21 FEBRUARY
$BTC $ETH $BNB #GDP #washington #Macro
source: @hoteliercrypto
🌊A relaxed Saturday, a red Sunday, and a Monday jump-start—so far, everything aligns perfectly.
💲Minor purchases by Asset Management firms often signal that they’re preparing to accumulate significantly.
🟥🟩Today, I predict a green market, but come tomorrow morning (from 20:00 UTC-0 onwards), we might see some shifts. Based on the data, there’s only Japan’s GDP release and speeches from Fed officials Bowman, Waller, and Harker—none of whom are particularly hawkish. RSI sits at 46.
📊 Market Outlook for Today (Converted to UTC-0):
🔹 00:00 – 07:00 (Green, Calm Market)
-The US is on holiday, and China is injecting liquidity without withdrawals.
-Japan’s GDP growth and subsequent Yen strength are misleading.
-GDP Deflator up +0.4%, QoQ GDP up +1.7%—a complete fantasy! 🤣
-The GDP increase is simply due to rising inflation.
-Mark this prediction: CPI data on 20th February will surely show an increase.
🔹 08:00 – 10:00 (Red, Pullback Expected)
Chinese equities rally.
🔹 11:00 – 16:00 (Stable, No Major Moves)
🔹 17:00 – 00:00 (Green, Market Recovery)
💡 A Word on the Japanese Yen
The Yen’s strength from GDP growth is temporary.
Why?
-GDP Deflator +0.4%
-CPI +0.6%
In short, this signals inflation, which will ultimately weaken the Yen.
This current strength is merely the result of intervention—let’s see if this holds true.
Let’s wait and see… 🎯
Watch this week analysis here for FREE=> MARKET MOVEMENT 17-21 FEBRUARY
$BTC $ETH $BNB #GDP #washington #Macro
source: @hoteliercrypto
🚨 عاجل :
انخفض الناتج المحلي الإجمالي الأمريكي في الربع الأول بنسبة 0.3 ٪
والتوقعات كانت %0.2% ، والقراءة السابقة 2.4%
ملاحظة سوق الكريبتو تأثر مباشرة.
#GDP #crypto #InvestSmart
انخفض الناتج المحلي الإجمالي الأمريكي في الربع الأول بنسبة 0.3 ٪
والتوقعات كانت %0.2% ، والقراءة السابقة 2.4%
ملاحظة سوق الكريبتو تأثر مباشرة.
#GDP #crypto #InvestSmart
说说今天的非农数据：
昨天的 GDP 虚惊一场，市场大概是意识到第一季度美国经济还是有足够的韧性，但这份韧性是不是因为关税目前还不能确定，不能排除关税带来内需的扩张，在四月份公布的失业率从 4% 上升到 4.2% ，包括经济的下行是鲍威尔和美联储亲自表明的。
这也是宝宝们担心第一季度 GDP 的原因，而到了第二季度经济是否能继续维持韧性，每个月的失业率就是关键指标了，如果失业率提升，大概率会增加美联储降息的频次，也代表了经济的走势会更差。
今晚的数据中，市场预期还是不错的，失业率和前值一样都是 4.2% ，但妮妮觉得失业率可能会提升，可能到 4.3% 或者 4.4% ，当然了我个人的感觉未必是准确的，如果失业率提升就要看是“丧失喜办”还是“丧事丧办”。
ps：昨天的 PCE 数据已经表明了民众的工资增速放缓，但支出在继续增加 。。。。
#GDP
昨天的 GDP 虚惊一场，市场大概是意识到第一季度美国经济还是有足够的韧性，但这份韧性是不是因为关税目前还不能确定，不能排除关税带来内需的扩张，在四月份公布的失业率从 4% 上升到 4.2% ，包括经济的下行是鲍威尔和美联储亲自表明的。
这也是宝宝们担心第一季度 GDP 的原因，而到了第二季度经济是否能继续维持韧性，每个月的失业率就是关键指标了，如果失业率提升，大概率会增加美联储降息的频次，也代表了经济的走势会更差。
今晚的数据中，市场预期还是不错的，失业率和前值一样都是 4.2% ，但妮妮觉得失业率可能会提升，可能到 4.3% 或者 4.4% ，当然了我个人的感觉未必是准确的，如果失业率提升就要看是“丧失喜办”还是“丧事丧办”。
ps：昨天的 PCE 数据已经表明了民众的工资增速放缓，但支出在继续增加 。。。。
#GDP
Biggest Week in Crypto & Markets!
May 25 – May 30, 2025
Get ready for a storm of action:
May 25: Fed Chair Powell speaks – markets will move!
May 27–29: US Bitcoin Conference – All eyes on crypto innovation
May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes – clues on the next rate move
May 29: US GDP Data drops
May 30: PCE Inflation Report – The Fed’s favorite gauge
This is the perfect setup for major volatility in both crypto and traditional markets.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. Trade smart.
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #BinancePizza #FOMC #GDP #PCE #Powell #BTC #CryptoConference
May 25 – May 30, 2025
Get ready for a storm of action:
May 25: Fed Chair Powell speaks – markets will move!
May 27–29: US Bitcoin Conference – All eyes on crypto innovation
May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes – clues on the next rate move
May 29: US GDP Data drops
May 30: PCE Inflation Report – The Fed’s favorite gauge
This is the perfect setup for major volatility in both crypto and traditional markets.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. Trade smart.
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #BinancePizza #FOMC #GDP #PCE #Powell #BTC #CryptoConference
🚨What is Pakistan🇵🇰 doing 😱😱😱.
After adopting crypto and BlackRock investment in Pakistan🇵🇰. The GDP📊 of Pakistan🇵🇰 going is going to the moon 🌚 now hit $400 Million dollars.
#pakistanicrypto #GDP #blackRock
After adopting crypto and BlackRock investment in Pakistan🇵🇰. The GDP📊 of Pakistan🇵🇰 going is going to the moon 🌚 now hit $400 Million dollars.
#pakistanicrypto #GDP #blackRock
According to BlockBeats, the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model has adjusted its forecast for the United States' first-quarter GDP growth to -2.5%, down from the previous estimate of -2.2%. This revision reflects changes in economic indicators and assessments impacting the nation's economic outlook.
#BinanceAlphaAlert #GDP
#BinanceAlphaAlert #GDP
🚨 BIG WEEK INCOMING – Are You Ready?
Crypto traders tayyar ho jao, kyun ke agla hafta pura market ka mood set kar sakta hai!
Yeh 4 major events pe nazar rakhni zaroori hai:
📅 Wed, July 30 – FOMC Rate Decision
🎙 Wed, July 30 – Powell Press Conference
📊 Thu, July 31 – US GDP (Q2 Advance)
💼 Fri, Aug 1 – Nonfarm Payrolls (July)
Ab sawaal ye hai...
🟢 Market upar jayegi ya 🔴 dump karegi?
Kya yeh news BTC ko $70K ke upar le jaa sakti hai ya phir ek aur dip?
Aap kya expect kar rahe ho?
Comment karo apna view niche! 👇
#CryptoNews #fomc #Powell #GDP #BinanceFeed
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
Crypto traders tayyar ho jao, kyun ke agla hafta pura market ka mood set kar sakta hai!
Yeh 4 major events pe nazar rakhni zaroori hai:
📅 Wed, July 30 – FOMC Rate Decision
🎙 Wed, July 30 – Powell Press Conference
📊 Thu, July 31 – US GDP (Q2 Advance)
💼 Fri, Aug 1 – Nonfarm Payrolls (July)
Ab sawaal ye hai...
🟢 Market upar jayegi ya 🔴 dump karegi?
Kya yeh news BTC ko $70K ke upar le jaa sakti hai ya phir ek aur dip?
Aap kya expect kar rahe ho?
Comment karo apna view niche! 👇
#CryptoNews #fomc #Powell #GDP #BinanceFeed
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
🚨 Q2 Economic Bombshells Just Dropped!
The markets didn’t see THIS coming 👇
1️⃣ Inflation Surprise – Core PCE (QoQ)
📊 Actual: 2.5%
📉 Previous: 3.5%
🎯 Forecast: 2.3%
🧊 Cooling down… but slower than hoped.
➡️ The Fed’s fight isn’t over — rate policy still hanging in the balance.
2️⃣ Growth Explosion – Real GDP (QoQ)
🚀 Actual: 3.0%
📉 Previous: -0.5%
🎯 Forecast: 2.4%
📈 The economy just flipped the script.
➡️ A powerful rebound — way above expectations.
---
💥 What This Means for Markets:
📉 Rate hike or pause? These surprises will shake up Fed strategy.
🔥 Expect fireworks in crypto, stocks, and gold — volatility ahead!
🧠 Stay sharp. Stay ahead.
$XRP #Write2Earn #Markets #Inflation #GDP #CryptoNews
The markets didn’t see THIS coming 👇
1️⃣ Inflation Surprise – Core PCE (QoQ)
📊 Actual: 2.5%
📉 Previous: 3.5%
🎯 Forecast: 2.3%
🧊 Cooling down… but slower than hoped.
➡️ The Fed’s fight isn’t over — rate policy still hanging in the balance.
2️⃣ Growth Explosion – Real GDP (QoQ)
🚀 Actual: 3.0%
📉 Previous: -0.5%
🎯 Forecast: 2.4%
📈 The economy just flipped the script.
➡️ A powerful rebound — way above expectations.
---
💥 What This Means for Markets:
📉 Rate hike or pause? These surprises will shake up Fed strategy.
🔥 Expect fireworks in crypto, stocks, and gold — volatility ahead!
🧠 Stay sharp. Stay ahead.
$XRP #Write2Earn #Markets #Inflation #GDP #CryptoNews
Here’s a crisper, high-engagement version of your update — perfect for finance-savvy audiences on X, Telegram, or newsletters:
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🇺🇸 U.S. Economic Data (Q2 - Preliminary): Key Releases Just In
🔹 Core PCE Price Index (QoQ, Annualized)
• Actual: 2.5%
• Expected: 2.3%
• Previous: 3.5%
➡️ Inflation is slowing but still slightly hotter than expected.
🔹 Real GDP Growth (QoQ, Annualized)
• Actual: 3.0%
• Expected: 2.4%
• Previous: -0.5%
➡️ Sharp bounce back — growth stronger than forecast.
📈 Market Implications:
A mixed bag for the Fed:
• Inflation cooling ✅
• Economic resilience 🚀
Rate cuts might be delayed — or dialed in more cautiously. Expect market swings ahead.
🧠 Smart money stays alert.
#Fed #PCE #GDP #Inflation #Markets #FOMC #InterestRates #Economy
---
Want a shorter version for mobile alerts or a version with emojis only in headlines? Let me know.
---
🇺🇸 U.S. Economic Data (Q2 - Preliminary): Key Releases Just In
🔹 Core PCE Price Index (QoQ, Annualized)
• Actual: 2.5%
• Expected: 2.3%
• Previous: 3.5%
➡️ Inflation is slowing but still slightly hotter than expected.
🔹 Real GDP Growth (QoQ, Annualized)
• Actual: 3.0%
• Expected: 2.4%
• Previous: -0.5%
➡️ Sharp bounce back — growth stronger than forecast.
📈 Market Implications:
A mixed bag for the Fed:
• Inflation cooling ✅
• Economic resilience 🚀
Rate cuts might be delayed — or dialed in more cautiously. Expect market swings ahead.
🧠 Smart money stays alert.
#Fed #PCE #GDP #Inflation #Markets #FOMC #InterestRates #Economy
---
Want a shorter version for mobile alerts or a version with emojis only in headlines? Let me know.
U.S. Economy Update: Inflation Cools(Slightly),Growth Surges!
**🚨 U.S. Economy Update: Inflation Cools (Slightly), Growth Surges! 🚨**
Just in! We've received the preliminary Q2 U.S. economic data, and these numbers could definitely influence the markets, including crypto. Here’s the breakdown:
* **Core PCE Price Index (Inflation Gauge):**
* **Actual:** 2.5%
* **Expected:** 2.3%
* **Previous:** 3.5%
* ➡️ **My take:** Inflation is showing signs of cooling down from the previous quarter, which is good, but it's still running a touch hotter than what economists predicted.
* **Real GDP Growth (Economic Health):**
* **Actual:** 3.0%
* **Expected:** 2.4%
* **Previous:** -0.5%
* ➡️ **My take:** This is a strong rebound! The economy grew significantly more than expected, completely shaking off that previous contraction.
**What does this mean?** These numbers are crucial. A strong GDP might give the Fed more room to keep rates elevated, while inflation still above target keeps them on alert. Expect some volatility as the market digests this!
Stay sharp and watch those charts!
#MarketUpdate #USMacro #CryptoNews #Inflation #GDP #FedWatch #Volatility
Just in! We've received the preliminary Q2 U.S. economic data, and these numbers could definitely influence the markets, including crypto. Here’s the breakdown:
* **Core PCE Price Index (Inflation Gauge):**
* **Actual:** 2.5%
* **Expected:** 2.3%
* **Previous:** 3.5%
* ➡️ **My take:** Inflation is showing signs of cooling down from the previous quarter, which is good, but it's still running a touch hotter than what economists predicted.
* **Real GDP Growth (Economic Health):**
* **Actual:** 3.0%
* **Expected:** 2.4%
* **Previous:** -0.5%
* ➡️ **My take:** This is a strong rebound! The economy grew significantly more than expected, completely shaking off that previous contraction.
**What does this mean?** These numbers are crucial. A strong GDP might give the Fed more room to keep rates elevated, while inflation still above target keeps them on alert. Expect some volatility as the market digests this!
Stay sharp and watch those charts!
#MarketUpdate #USMacro #CryptoNews #Inflation #GDP #FedWatch #Volatility
🚨BREAKING: Two MASSIVE economic signals just hit the U.S. — and crypto traders should watch closely 👇
1️⃣ Core PCE (Inflation)
➡️ 2.5% this quarter (down from 3.5%)
➡️ Still ABOVE forecast (2.3%)
📌 Translation: Inflation’s falling, but not fast enough. Fed’s still watching.
2️⃣ GDP COMEBACK 💥
➡️ Real Q2 growth at 3.0%
➡️ Last quarter was -0.5% 😳
📌 The economy just bounced hard. This shows hidden strength.
📈 What now?
Volatility is *loading*. Fed moves are coming.
Smart money is shifting — are YOU?
#CryptoNews #FOMC #PCE #GDP #Bitcoin #BinanceSquare #EthereumTurns10
1️⃣ Core PCE (Inflation)
➡️ 2.5% this quarter (down from 3.5%)
➡️ Still ABOVE forecast (2.3%)
📌 Translation: Inflation’s falling, but not fast enough. Fed’s still watching.
2️⃣ GDP COMEBACK 💥
➡️ Real Q2 growth at 3.0%
➡️ Last quarter was -0.5% 😳
📌 The economy just bounced hard. This shows hidden strength.
📈 What now?
Volatility is *loading*. Fed moves are coming.
Smart money is shifting — are YOU?
#CryptoNews #FOMC #PCE #GDP #Bitcoin #BinanceSquare #EthereumTurns10
宝子们，特朗普又有新动作了！他直接喊话美联储，要求赶紧降息，理由是为了“应对经济增长”。更让人意外的是，美国二季度GDP数据刚公布，结果远超预期！这波操作下来，币圈直接炸开了锅！
这其中到底有啥关联？艾尔斯来给你划重点！
降息 = 美元变多？
如果美联储真的听从建议降息，市场上的美元流动性就会增加。钱多了会往哪儿跑呢？一部分很可能会冲进加密市场！毕竟比特币、以太坊这些资产，在“放水”的时候经常被当作“蓄水池”，流动性一上来，行情就容易变得躁动！
GDP超预期，降息还会来吗？
这里有个矛盾点！GDP数据表现好，说明经济挺有韧性，美联储可能会觉得“没必要急着降息”。但特朗普这么一施压，政治压力就来了，现在市场都在疯狂猜测：美联储到底是听经济数据的，还是听总统的？
对币圈影响：短期谨慎，长期利好？
短期来看，市场可能会处于观望状态，毕竟降息还没有实锤，大资金不敢轻易行动。
但长期来看，如果真的实施降息，美元贬值的预期会升温，比特币这种被认为有“抗通胀”属性的资产，可能会吸引大批资金进场！尤其是现在机构、ETF都在虎视眈眈，一旦资金闸门放开，机会或许会大于风险！
小婉提醒：别上头，盯紧这两步！
美联储态度：8月的美联储会议是关键！如果会议中松口暗示要降息，那就果断关注比特币、以太坊的走势！
资金流向：近期要盯紧美元指数和美债收益率，一旦美元走弱，可能就是加密市场启动的信号！
最后说句大实话：
特朗普这波操作，表面上是怼美联储，暗地里可能是在为大选铺路！但不管他怎么折腾，只要降息的预期升温，加密市场绝对逃不过“真香定律”！宝子们，关注小婉最新动态我会第一时间拆解，带你稳稳抓住风口不迷路！$BTC $ETH $XRP #gdp
这其中到底有啥关联？艾尔斯来给你划重点！
降息 = 美元变多？
如果美联储真的听从建议降息，市场上的美元流动性就会增加。钱多了会往哪儿跑呢？一部分很可能会冲进加密市场！毕竟比特币、以太坊这些资产，在“放水”的时候经常被当作“蓄水池”，流动性一上来，行情就容易变得躁动！
GDP超预期，降息还会来吗？
这里有个矛盾点！GDP数据表现好，说明经济挺有韧性，美联储可能会觉得“没必要急着降息”。但特朗普这么一施压，政治压力就来了，现在市场都在疯狂猜测：美联储到底是听经济数据的，还是听总统的？
对币圈影响：短期谨慎，长期利好？
短期来看，市场可能会处于观望状态，毕竟降息还没有实锤，大资金不敢轻易行动。
但长期来看，如果真的实施降息，美元贬值的预期会升温，比特币这种被认为有“抗通胀”属性的资产，可能会吸引大批资金进场！尤其是现在机构、ETF都在虎视眈眈，一旦资金闸门放开，机会或许会大于风险！
小婉提醒：别上头，盯紧这两步！
美联储态度：8月的美联储会议是关键！如果会议中松口暗示要降息，那就果断关注比特币、以太坊的走势！
资金流向：近期要盯紧美元指数和美债收益率，一旦美元走弱，可能就是加密市场启动的信号！
最后说句大实话：
特朗普这波操作，表面上是怼美联储，暗地里可能是在为大选铺路！但不管他怎么折腾，只要降息的预期升温，加密市场绝对逃不过“真香定律”！宝子们，关注小婉最新动态我会第一时间拆解，带你稳稳抓住风口不迷路！$BTC $ETH $XRP #gdp
‘Definitely Long Stocks’: #GoldManSachs Executive Outlines Trading Strategy on Equities, Currencies and Treasuries
Goldman Sachs executive Anshul Sehgal is optimistic about the global economic situation and the equities market.
Sehgal, Goldman’s global co-head of fixed income, currency and commodities, says he’s still long on #stocks .
“I think stocks are still very undervalued. You look at the earnings that came out in the last 24 hours, they are blockbuster good. You’re looking at two things that are playing out right now. Obviously, the AI CapEx boom, that’s contributing to GDP today. And conceivably because I’m a believer in the technology, I suspect over the next five to ten years it’s the AI deployment that will add to #GDP .
So definitely long stocks. Long the dollar. Long carry because rates aren’t going anywhere. So long mortgage basis. Long US treasuries and asset swap. Short options on rates. Combination of carry strategies.”
Sehgal believes President #DonaldTrump ’s One Big Beautiful Bill could work in conjunction with artificial intelligence and robotics to unleash a domestic credit boom.
“If you’re looking at a credit boom, especially a productive credit boom because that credit is being created and deployed into emergent technologies that have the potential to change the world, then essentially what ends up happening — and that’s how we’re viewing it — is that all of this accrues a lot more to US stocks than it does to other forms of investment. And when you look at it top down from that perspective, stocks continue to look very cheap to us.”
#MarketPullback @WISE PUMPS
Goldman Sachs executive Anshul Sehgal is optimistic about the global economic situation and the equities market.
Sehgal, Goldman’s global co-head of fixed income, currency and commodities, says he’s still long on #stocks .
“I think stocks are still very undervalued. You look at the earnings that came out in the last 24 hours, they are blockbuster good. You’re looking at two things that are playing out right now. Obviously, the AI CapEx boom, that’s contributing to GDP today. And conceivably because I’m a believer in the technology, I suspect over the next five to ten years it’s the AI deployment that will add to #GDP .
So definitely long stocks. Long the dollar. Long carry because rates aren’t going anywhere. So long mortgage basis. Long US treasuries and asset swap. Short options on rates. Combination of carry strategies.”
Sehgal believes President #DonaldTrump ’s One Big Beautiful Bill could work in conjunction with artificial intelligence and robotics to unleash a domestic credit boom.
“If you’re looking at a credit boom, especially a productive credit boom because that credit is being created and deployed into emergent technologies that have the potential to change the world, then essentially what ends up happening — and that’s how we’re viewing it — is that all of this accrues a lot more to US stocks than it does to other forms of investment. And when you look at it top down from that perspective, stocks continue to look very cheap to us.”
#MarketPullback @WISE PUMPS
📊 Fed Lowers Growth Forecast, Raises Inflation Outlook—Stagflation Fears Rise!
🔹 Key Fed Projections:
📌 Inflation to rise from 2.5% to 2.7% by year-end, still above the 2% target.
📌 2025 GDP growth forecast cut from 2.1% to 1.7%, a sharp slowdown from ~3% in 2022-23.
🔹 CFRA’s Sam Stovall:
FOMC’s balancing act on sticky inflation & slowing growth is likely tied to uncertainty over Trump’s April 2 tariff policy discussions.
⚠️ Will tariffs add more inflationary pressure?
#FederalReserve #Inflation #GDP #Tariffs
🔹 Key Fed Projections:
📌 Inflation to rise from 2.5% to 2.7% by year-end, still above the 2% target.
📌 2025 GDP growth forecast cut from 2.1% to 1.7%, a sharp slowdown from ~3% in 2022-23.
🔹 CFRA’s Sam Stovall:
FOMC’s balancing act on sticky inflation & slowing growth is likely tied to uncertainty over Trump’s April 2 tariff policy discussions.
⚠️ Will tariffs add more inflationary pressure?
#FederalReserve #Inflation #GDP #Tariffs
#GDP
Gobal GDP Update
Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent both in 2025 and 2026, below the historical (2000–19) average of 3.7 percent.
Gobal GDP Update
Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent both in 2025 and 2026, below the historical (2000–19) average of 3.7 percent.
Highest #GDP per capita, 2023.
🇱🇺 Luxembourg: $129,810
🇮🇪 Ireland: $104,270
🇨🇭 Switzerland: $100,410
🇳🇴 Norway: $87,740
🇸🇬 Singapore: $84,730
🇺🇸 US: $81,630
🇮🇸 Iceland: $80,000
🇶🇦 Qatar: $78,700
🇩🇰 Denmark: $68,300
🇦🇺 Australia: $65,430
🇳🇱 Netherlands: $62,720
(IMF)
#WhaleMovements @WISE PUMPS
🇱🇺 Luxembourg: $129,810
🇮🇪 Ireland: $104,270
🇨🇭 Switzerland: $100,410
🇳🇴 Norway: $87,740
🇸🇬 Singapore: $84,730
🇺🇸 US: $81,630
🇮🇸 Iceland: $80,000
🇶🇦 Qatar: $78,700
🇩🇰 Denmark: $68,300
🇦🇺 Australia: $65,430
🇳🇱 Netherlands: $62,720
(IMF)
#WhaleMovements @WISE PUMPS
Bitcoin Poised for Potential Gains Amid US Economic Slowdown
As the U.S. economy shows signs of entering a recession, Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a potential beneficiary, with expectations that it may serve as a safe-haven asset, similar to gold.
According to CoinTelegraph, U.S. GDP contracted by 0.3% in Q1 2025, marking the first negative growth since Q2 2022, and surprising markets that expected a 0.3% increase. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) also exceeded expectations, rising 1.8%, while core PCE climbed 3.5%, indicating ongoing inflationary pressure.
This has led to growing concerns about ‘stagflation’—the combination of economic stagnation and inflation. The Federal Reserve now faces a difficult choice between cutting interest rates to avoid further economic contraction and rising unemployment, or maintaining rates to control inflation.
As a result, the market now sees a 63% chance of a 0.25% rate cut by the Fed in June, up from a mere 3% chance for May. The prospect of a potential rate cut and continued market volatility highlights Bitcoin’s emerging role as a store of value.
Meanwhile, prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are reflecting a high probability of a U.S. recession by 2025, with chances at 74% and 70%, respectively. Despite short-term price fluctuations, a 'buy the dip' strategy is gaining traction as liquidity increases and risk sentiment recovers.
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#bitcoin #GDP #PCE
As the U.S. economy shows signs of entering a recession, Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a potential beneficiary, with expectations that it may serve as a safe-haven asset, similar to gold.
According to CoinTelegraph, U.S. GDP contracted by 0.3% in Q1 2025, marking the first negative growth since Q2 2022, and surprising markets that expected a 0.3% increase. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) also exceeded expectations, rising 1.8%, while core PCE climbed 3.5%, indicating ongoing inflationary pressure.
This has led to growing concerns about ‘stagflation’—the combination of economic stagnation and inflation. The Federal Reserve now faces a difficult choice between cutting interest rates to avoid further economic contraction and rising unemployment, or maintaining rates to control inflation.
As a result, the market now sees a 63% chance of a 0.25% rate cut by the Fed in June, up from a mere 3% chance for May. The prospect of a potential rate cut and continued market volatility highlights Bitcoin’s emerging role as a store of value.
Meanwhile, prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are reflecting a high probability of a U.S. recession by 2025, with chances at 74% and 70%, respectively. Despite short-term price fluctuations, a 'buy the dip' strategy is gaining traction as liquidity increases and risk sentiment recovers.
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#bitcoin #GDP #PCE
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