Crypto飞哥

A self-introduction for my followers

Hello everyone, I am Fei Ge. I entered the crypto space in 2017, and I can be considered an old hand. Along the way, I have stepped into countless pitfalls, but I have also summarized some of my own methodologies. From blindly following trends at the beginning, I have gradually shifted my focus to studying cycles, macro trends, and capital logic, and I have slowly found my own rhythm.

As I journeyed, I found that the crypto world is not just about ups and downs; it is more like a cyclical game: some people FOMO during the highs, while others quietly position themselves during the lows.

Currently, I am a blogger on Binance Square, sharing some of my personal thoughts and observations. I am not a great expert, just an old hand who has experienced several bull and bear markets. I hope to share the pitfalls I have encountered and the lessons I have learned, so that newcomers can avoid unnecessary detours, and I can also gain new insights through exchange.

If you also believe in cycles, logic, and long-term accumulation, then perhaps we can become companions here.

Regarding the viewpoints in my posts, please note the following points:

1: The crypto market is constantly changing, and so will my viewpoints follow the market. This industry changes too quickly; only by continuously keeping up with the industry's progress can one continue to grow. Sticking rigidly to established norms will only lead to being eliminated by the times, so I hope everyone can be more open-minded.

2: The viewpoints I post on the Square are divided into short-term and long-term. For example, even if I am bullish in the long term, there will be pullbacks in between; similarly, even if I am bearish in the long term, there will also be rebounds in between. Please do not let short-term viewpoints affect long-term perspectives. An upward market does not mean it will rise continuously without looking back; more often, it is a trend of ups and downs. Similarly, a downward market does not mean it will crash without any rebounds; more often, it is a trend of falls and rises overall. I hope everyone can understand the differences between short-term and long-term viewpoints.

3: In this market, apart from BTC, which can be followed blindly, other coins have market cycles, especially altcoins. Before buying a coin, you should at least investigate it; some things need to be understood a bit, and you cannot just buy whatever others say. Especially for those with limited funds, you need to consider the actual situation and be more cautious.

Thank you to every friend who follows and supports me; you are the motivation for my continued sharing. May we all reap our own rewards in the cycles. 🌱

I hope I won't explode when I wake up from sleep, good night brothers 😂
$SOL

My life has been like walking on thin ice, can I still reach the other side?
I feel like this time, I'm going to be exposed again🥹🥹🥹
$SOL

U.S. stocks continue to decline at the opening. From the daily chart perspective, the Nasdaq index is near the support level on the daily chart.

When the market dips, all kinds of false news come out, and there are rumors that MicroStrategy has started selling coins. MicroStrategy sold 30,000 of $BTC .

The fact is that MicroStrategy transferred 22,704 bitcoins on October 31, not 30,000, and these BTC were transferred internally, not sold on the market.

Although the market is currently in a terrible decline, as a KOL, one must ensure the authenticity of the news and not continue to spread rumors; this is the greatest responsibility to the followers.

Currently, there are two points worth paying attention to

1: Wait for the U.S. stock market to open tonight, and it is highly likely to decline. If $BTC does not decline with it and even starts to rebound, it indicates that the short-term decline is mostly over, as BTC generally peaks or bottoms out before the U.S. stock market.

2: BlackRock is still continuously selling, but today only sold $ETH , and did not sell $BTC .

Yi Lihua: Currently, this is the best position for bottom-fishing in the spot market. The market panic, on the contrary, provides better opportunities.
Some time ago, Yi Lihua publicly urged everyone to bottom-fish near $BTC 105000 and $ETH 3500. Currently, he is temporarily in a loss, but he stated that the target of 10,000 for ETH will not change this round.

Regarding many people's questions about bull and bear markets, previously BTC fell from 109,000 to 74,000, which can also be seen as a short-term bear market, and then rose back to 126,000. Therefore, the current BTC pullback is similar. After BTC becomes more correlated with the U.S. stock market, we will not see the kind of bear market that dropped 80% in a year like we did in the previous four-year cycle; instead, we are more likely to experience short-term bear markets, such as a potential 50% drop in 2026.

Many people are fixated on the core factors of bull and bear markets, hoping for a comprehensive altcoin season during a bull market, where altcoins generally rise tenfold, leading to personal financial freedom with altcoin wealth. However, the reality proves that even when a bull market arrives, not all altcoins will rise; it would be good to see 10% of altcoins increase. So when you stop worrying about altcoin seasons and stop fantasizing, the distinction between bull and bear markets becomes less important.

No matter what sins were committed in the past life, this life of trading coins and buying altcoins has already been repaid.

The pessimistic sentiment in the market is spreading. Although the US stock market has not seen a significant adjustment, cryptocurrency often serves as a barometer. In February of this year, it was cryptocurrency that fell first, and it wasn't until April that global stock markets reached their lows. Therefore, both the US and A-shares need to be cautious of risks ahead.

The leading DEX on the Ethereum chain is $UNI
The leading DEX on the BASE chain is $AERO
The leading DEX on the BNB chain is $CAKE
If these three tokens had to be ranked
Currently, it should be UNI > AERO > CAKE

$ONDO The fundamentals on the chain (TVL, institutional collaboration, regulatory approval) are quietly growing, but the price discovery mechanism will only truly start when ONDO's practical layer—governance, fee distribution, and settlement channels—begins to guide real demand through the token itself. This is the trigger for revaluation.

I believe the ONDO project team will continue to empower the ONDO token, similar to the recent $UNI , and in the future, the ONDO project is also likely to regularly buy back and destroy ONDO tokens on the secondary market using the income from the ONDO protocol.

Is anyone still watching Slow Bull? It should be gone by now.

I took a look at the panic index, and currently the panic index is close to single digits. This is the third panic phase since this round of bull market. The previous two times when the panic index was close to single digits were both at phase bottoms. Are you panicking in this market? To be honest, I am not panicking at all because I have become numb. 😂😂😂

If next year the US stock market and the cryptocurrency market both go bearish
Bitcoin drops more than 50%
Nasdaq drops more than 30%
At that time, do not feel pessimistic, but rather feel excited
What you need to do is to go all in, completely all in
Because that is the best opportunity for you and me to change our lives
When AI starts to be officially put into production in the future
BTC rises to a point where ordinary people can no longer afford it
You won't even have the chance to turn your life around by working
Ordinary people have completely no chance of crossing classes.

From the clearing heatmap of the last week $BTC , the liquidity for longs is concentrated in the 98000 to 99000 range. Before the final surge, it may test this range again. Today's pullback shouldn't cause panic; as long as the weekly line can hold the 98000 bull-bear dividing line, it shouldn't be a big issue.

I looked at the trends of OKB and BNB
At least BNB has funding support, but OKB is completely in free fall. Has anyone been trapped by OKB? How much have you all been trapped in?

$BTC The future will become an index in the decentralized track of the US stock market.

In the past few years, the market capitalization of Bitcoin breaking through a trillion and even approaching two trillion dollars is no coincidence. To some extent, it has already become the index of the entire decentralized track. Just like QQQ represents US tech stocks and the Dow Jones represents US industrial stocks, Bitcoin is the barometer of the decentralized field.

If the market were to create a decentralized index, Bitcoin's weight would have to be between 60% and 80%, Ethereum at least 15%, and all other tokens combined would only account for 15%. This means that in a track, Bitcoin takes up two-thirds. In comparison, even the seven sisters of the US stock market only account for one-third of the entire US stock market. In other words, the concentration in the decentralized world is much higher than in traditional markets.

Currently, the entire crypto market is basically an oligopoly, with one oligarch being Bitcoin and two oligarchs being Bitcoin plus Ethereum. Other coins lag several orders of magnitude behind in market value and influence.

Why would anyone still want to bet on this track? Because it indeed has incremental growth. The essence of investment is to buy growth; in places without increment, one can only gamble on the existing stock, and that kind of market is cheap, but it also lacks much imaginative space. As Duan Yongping said, cheap things can become cheaper, which is the result of having no increment. What is truly worth investing in is those things that are certain to continue growing.

The future of decentralization is clearly still in its early stages. Its certainty is not as strong as that of AI—AI is almost a consensus among all humanity, but decentralization is still in the stage of being questioned and discussed. However, in my view, it will certainly continue to develop because this is the inevitable evolutionary direction of the internet.

The biggest problem with traditional internet is centralization—server outages, platform bans, data monopolization. The logic of decentralization is: even if the network cable is unplugged, as long as the network is restored, the ledger will automatically synchronize, and no one can tamper with it. This kind of trust is the most fundamental and powerful infrastructure, greatly reducing trust costs and increasing system efficiency.

So, when you understand this, you will see why the decentralized track is still an incremental market and why Bitcoin can become an index-level existence on this track.

Now many people see that some shanzhai coins on the rising list are not following the decline
and think that these coins have capital support and will soar when the market stabilizes later. However, the reality is that after a few days when the market stabilizes, these coins will make up for the decline. This trick has been played by the dog traders many times, don't be fooled again.