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巴菲兔
1.2k Posts

巴菲兔

公众号:兔子爱炒币 推特账号:@tuzi777a 免费技术博主;说话不好听,长得还可以!自创“乱七八糟开单”法 ,坚持:“只要不死,总会赚钱”的原则,无任何收费项目.谨防上当受骗!
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BNB Holder
BNB Holder
High-Frequency Trader
5.6 Years
24 Following
6.0K+ Followers
16.1K+ Liked
Posts
Portfolio
PINNED
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🔊Holly! Hello everyone, the Binance group chat is now open! Welcome new and old fans to exchange/share trading insights! If you want to add me as a friend: Through the search box → Click the top left corner of the homepage → More services → Search: Chatroom → Add friend → Input: boqghd8a If you want to join the group directly: Scan the QR code in the picture below to apply to join the group! Add me as a friend, let's venture together 💘 In the wind and rain, little rabbit is waiting for you 🎇 Compared to the stars and the vast sea, nothing is better than your cryptocurrency sea and blue sky 💰
🔊Holly! Hello everyone, the Binance group chat is now open!
Welcome new and old fans to exchange/share trading insights!
If you want to add me as a friend:
Through the search box → Click the top left corner of the homepage → More services → Search: Chatroom → Add friend → Input: boqghd8a
If you want to join the group directly:
Scan the QR code in the picture below to apply to join the group!

Add me as a friend, let's venture together 💘
In the wind and rain, little rabbit is waiting for you 🎇
Compared to the stars and the vast sea, nothing is better than your cryptocurrency sea and blue sky 💰
PINNED
🔊Holly! Hello everyone, Binance has launched the chat room feature! Mom doesn't have to worry anymore about you not being able to find your ideal her! Through the search box: Click: Top left corner of the homepage → More services → Search: Chat room → Add friend → Enter: boqghd8a Add me as a friend, let's embark on a journey together 💘 In rain or shine, little bunny is waiting for you 🎇 Compared to the stars and the sea, nothing is better than your cryptocurrency blue sky 💰 For specific steps, see the picture below 👇 🔄🔄Commission rebate ⚠️Click the bottom right corner 🔜 Assets 🔜 Contracts 🔜 Today's realized profit and loss 🔜 Capital costs and transaction fees. You can adjust the time to see your transaction fees for the past year. #Rebate 💰Little by little, gathering sand to build a tower, over time it really adds up to a significant income. 🤷 Until now, many people are still unaware of the fees, and when they take a look, the accumulated fees are already quite high. 🈹For friends engaged in high-frequency contract trading and large positions, your fee expenditure exceeding the principal may take only a month. So be sure to fill in the code to open the rebate; keeping the fees for yourself is better than anything else. If you don't open it, it all goes to the market. ✅Use my invitation code for permanent fee rebates! ✅Add chat room friends to get strategies! [Rebate registration link](https://www.marketwebb.org/join?ref=TUZI888 (the latter part is the invitation code) Binance invitation code: TUZI888) ‼️Please copy the link into your browser to open If you cannot open the link! Just fill in the invitation code when registering! Spot trading 20% rebate! For contract ratios, please add chat room friends to check 💯
🔊Holly! Hello everyone, Binance has launched the chat room feature!
Mom doesn't have to worry anymore about you not being able to find your ideal her!
Through the search box:
Click: Top left corner of the homepage → More services → Search: Chat room → Add friend → Enter: boqghd8a
Add me as a friend, let's embark on a journey together 💘
In rain or shine, little bunny is waiting for you 🎇
Compared to the stars and the sea, nothing is better than your cryptocurrency blue sky 💰
For specific steps, see the picture below 👇

🔄🔄Commission rebate
⚠️Click the bottom right corner 🔜 Assets 🔜 Contracts 🔜 Today's realized profit and loss 🔜 Capital costs and transaction fees. You can adjust the time to see your transaction fees for the past year.
#Rebate
💰Little by little, gathering sand to build a tower, over time it really adds up to a significant income. 🤷 Until now, many people are still unaware of the fees, and when they take a look, the accumulated fees are already quite high.
🈹For friends engaged in high-frequency contract trading and large positions, your fee expenditure exceeding the principal may take only a month. So be sure to fill in the code to open the rebate; keeping the fees for yourself is better than anything else. If you don't open it, it all goes to the market.
✅Use my invitation code for permanent fee rebates!
✅Add chat room friends to get strategies!
[Rebate registration link](https://www.marketwebb.org/join?ref=TUZI888 (the latter part is the invitation code)
Binance invitation code: TUZI888)
‼️Please copy the link into your browser to open
If you cannot open the link! Just fill in the invitation code when registering!
Spot trading 20% rebate! For contract ratios, please add chat room friends to check 💯
Add the contract—only then does the total position enter at 20%. Feels like we’re still a bit cautious! But looking back at the previous bear markets, bottoming out definitely can’t be completed in a short time. Keep reminding yourself not to rush, don’t mess up the rhythm, and don’t fomo~ Follow the plan and enter gradually in batches. BTC in the 49,000–55,000 range, come on—heavy positions are already prepared.
Add the contract—only then does the total position enter at 20%. Feels like we’re still a bit cautious!
But looking back at the previous bear markets, bottoming out definitely can’t be completed in a short time. Keep reminding yourself not to rush, don’t mess up the rhythm, and don’t fomo~ Follow the plan and enter gradually in batches.
BTC in the 49,000–55,000 range, come on—heavy positions are already prepared.
What does it mean to feel lost? It's not that the road ahead lacks direction, but rather that the mind is filled with distant dreams, yet the feet hesitate to set sail. Big moves seem out of reach, small tasks feel like too much effort. You stick to the important stuff for a few days, but soon find it too exhausting to bear. Your skills don’t match your desires, your talent can’t support your dreams, yet you keep wishing for an overnight success, hoping fate will suddenly take the stage. You haven’t faced much hardship, yet you constantly complain about life’s unpredictability. You haven’t held on for long, yet you always long for applause. What makes you think you can trade three days of hustle for someone else’s three years of shine? They’ve endured countless dark nights, yet you only see their light. You envy others standing tall, yet fail to notice their journey of scars. Some are still running at dawn, some swallow their confusion late at night. In the world of adults, there's never any glory that comes easy. All the seemingly effortless successes hide the struggle of relentless endurance. Sometimes it’s not bad luck, it’s just that patience wears thin. After planting a seed, how can you expect fragrant blossoms the next day? You keep saying opportunities are too few, always blaming reality for being too bleak. But the truly skilled ones have already quietly carved out their names. What do lost people fear the most? It’s not hunger or pain, but being anxious about the future while refusing to truly set sail. You shout about wanting change, yet your actions remain stuck in imagination. You pump yourself up during the day, but at night you secretly surrender in place. In fact, feeling lost isn’t that scary. Everyone has their ups and downs. What’s frightening is year after year, still living the same old way. You can take your time, but don’t easily fold your wings. As long as today is better than yesterday, that’s the direction to move forward. Stop dreaming of overnight fame, don’t always wish for a quick rise to power. All comebacks and luck require enduring a long passage of time. Once you truly start taking action, your heart will naturally calm down. When you’ve weathered being overlooked, you’ll eventually welcome the radiant light.
What does it mean to feel lost?
It's not that the road ahead lacks direction,
but rather that the mind is filled with distant dreams,
yet the feet hesitate to set sail.
Big moves seem out of reach,
small tasks feel like too much effort.
You stick to the important stuff for a few days,
but soon find it too exhausting to bear.
Your skills don’t match your desires,
your talent can’t support your dreams,
yet you keep wishing for an overnight success,
hoping fate will suddenly take the stage.
You haven’t faced much hardship,
yet you constantly complain about life’s unpredictability.
You haven’t held on for long,
yet you always long for applause.
What makes you think you can trade three days of hustle
for someone else’s three years of shine?
They’ve endured countless dark nights,
yet you only see their light.
You envy others standing tall,
yet fail to notice their journey of scars.
Some are still running at dawn,
some swallow their confusion late at night.
In the world of adults,
there's never any glory that comes easy.
All the seemingly effortless successes
hide the struggle of relentless endurance.
Sometimes it’s not bad luck,
it’s just that patience wears thin.
After planting a seed,
how can you expect fragrant blossoms the next day?
You keep saying opportunities are too few,
always blaming reality for being too bleak.
But the truly skilled ones
have already quietly carved out their names.
What do lost people fear the most?
It’s not hunger or pain,
but being anxious about the future while
refusing to truly set sail.
You shout about wanting change,
yet your actions remain stuck in imagination.
You pump yourself up during the day,
but at night you secretly surrender in place.
In fact, feeling lost isn’t that scary.
Everyone has their ups and downs.
What’s frightening is year after year,
still living the same old way.
You can take your time,
but don’t easily fold your wings.
As long as today is better than yesterday,
that’s the direction to move forward.
Stop dreaming of overnight fame,
don’t always wish for a quick rise to power.
All comebacks and luck
require enduring a long passage of time.
Once you truly start taking action,
your heart will naturally calm down.
When you’ve weathered being overlooked,
you’ll eventually welcome the radiant light.
Nobody believes in you, so you've got to step up! Rocket #SPCX
Nobody believes in you, so you've got to step up! Rocket #SPCX
Alright, I'll trust you this time, Old Deng.
Alright, I'll trust you this time, Old Deng.
Told my bros to go for 🈳 SanDisk #SNDK while I went long on SPCX, talk about a 10,000-point hit 😭😭 Future of humanity? Is it a loss or a hold?
Told my bros to go for 🈳 SanDisk #SNDK while I went long on SPCX, talk about a 10,000-point hit 😭😭

Future of humanity? Is it a loss or a hold?
Aren't we trading crypto to make some gains? And isn't making gains meant for spending? If you’ve raked in the profits, why not cash out? Is it just to pump up that margin? 🫣
Aren't we trading crypto to make some gains? And isn't making gains meant for spending? If you’ve raked in the profits, why not cash out? Is it just to pump up that margin? 🫣
Can I break even tomorrow? If so, I'll add to my position.
Can I break even tomorrow? If so, I'll add to my position.
These two assets have opportunities! Pay attention for short-term trading!! 1: #INTC , current price go long, 135 is a key resistance point. There was a breakout last night but it didn't hold. If we can stay above 135 today, and it dips back to 135 without breaking, that's a super good accumulation spot; stop loss at the previous low, take profit is limitless! 2: #ZEC , yesterday's support was around 440, but after today's breakout, the support naturally rises to 460. Same logic applies; if it dips back to 460 without breaking, you can take a shot at a long position! PS: Overall, I have more faith in Intel (INTC) since the US stock market is strong. If the US market opens up with more gains on Monday, INTC has a high probability of hitting new highs! ZEC is part of the crypto scene, and right now, liquidity in the crypto market has basically been drained by the US stock market. ZEC is also considered a altcoin; you can play with a small position if you want, but don't get too carried away!
These two assets have opportunities! Pay attention for short-term trading!!
1: #INTC , current price go long, 135 is a key resistance point. There was a breakout last night but it didn't hold. If we can stay above 135 today, and it dips back to 135 without breaking, that's a super good accumulation spot; stop loss at the previous low, take profit is limitless!
2: #ZEC , yesterday's support was around 440, but after today's breakout, the support naturally rises to 460. Same logic applies; if it dips back to 460 without breaking, you can take a shot at a long position!

PS: Overall, I have more faith in Intel (INTC) since the US stock market is strong. If the US market opens up with more gains on Monday, INTC has a high probability of hitting new highs!
ZEC is part of the crypto scene, and right now, liquidity in the crypto market has basically been drained by the US stock market. ZEC is also considered a altcoin; you can play with a small position if you want, but don't get too carried away!
In the trading world, everyone talks about enlightenment. So, what is enlightenment? Probably about 98% of people have no clue! I believe enlightenment is finding your true self, like the concept of seeing the true self in Wang Yangming's philosophy! It's about finding a trading system and strategy that suits me and that I can strictly execute. To put it more simply, enlightenment is finding a way to overcome my human weaknesses, which I call the 'Dao'! Human nature is the hardest thing to understand in this world; overcoming it is tough. Everyone has different weaknesses, so everyone’s 'Dao' is unique. Remember: the only trading system that can genuinely make you money comes from your own enlightenment; no one can teach you—only experiences and lessons can! So, I can say that in the crypto space, about 98% of traders lack enlightenment, including myself. Those who truly achieve enlightenment can attain financial freedom through trading without relying on being a KOL, receiving commissions, or copying trades... Similarly, I want to express that I'm not mocking copy trading or commissions because I occasionally do them myself; it's just a side gig. My main focus is on trading myself. I haven't reached enlightenment, so I can't expect big results—at most, a stable middle-class life. Hence, I never pretend to be something I'm not, and I calmly respect everyone's choices... For me personally, my ultimate goal is to genuinely reach enlightenment and find my true self! A newbie entering the trading circle won't escape unscathed; true experts won’t teach you, because a trading system needs to be understood on your own. It's not that they won't teach; it's that they can't! Those who can teach you definitely lack enlightenment; they can only share experiences to help you avoid pitfalls. If you can’t see this point, you will definitely get wrecked—remember: you definitely will! (Those who understand this are seasoned traders.) Last year, I continuously published articles for nearly a year, sharing my trading points directly. My live streams also shared points directly—not to gain followers, but to validate my thoughts and refine my methods. I believe that one day I will achieve enlightenment and find the trading system that grants me financial freedom! Ten years of trading without being noticed, one moment of enlightenment and the world knows! I always believe that there are still pure traders in this space who trade not for followers but for the art of trading itself!
In the trading world, everyone talks about enlightenment. So, what is enlightenment? Probably about 98% of people have no clue! I believe enlightenment is finding your true self, like the concept of seeing the true self in Wang Yangming's philosophy! It's about finding a trading system and strategy that suits me and that I can strictly execute. To put it more simply, enlightenment is finding a way to overcome my human weaknesses, which I call the 'Dao'! Human nature is the hardest thing to understand in this world; overcoming it is tough. Everyone has different weaknesses, so everyone’s 'Dao' is unique. Remember: the only trading system that can genuinely make you money comes from your own enlightenment; no one can teach you—only experiences and lessons can! So, I can say that in the crypto space, about 98% of traders lack enlightenment, including myself. Those who truly achieve enlightenment can attain financial freedom through trading without relying on being a KOL, receiving commissions, or copying trades...

Similarly, I want to express that I'm not mocking copy trading or commissions because I occasionally do them myself; it's just a side gig. My main focus is on trading myself. I haven't reached enlightenment, so I can't expect big results—at most, a stable middle-class life. Hence, I never pretend to be something I'm not, and I calmly respect everyone's choices...
For me personally, my ultimate goal is to genuinely reach enlightenment and find my true self! A newbie entering the trading circle won't escape unscathed; true experts won’t teach you, because a trading system needs to be understood on your own. It's not that they won't teach; it's that they can't! Those who can teach you definitely lack enlightenment; they can only share experiences to help you avoid pitfalls. If you can’t see this point, you will definitely get wrecked—remember: you definitely will! (Those who understand this are seasoned traders.)

Last year, I continuously published articles for nearly a year, sharing my trading points directly. My live streams also shared points directly—not to gain followers, but to validate my thoughts and refine my methods. I believe that one day I will achieve enlightenment and find the trading system that grants me financial freedom! Ten years of trading without being noticed, one moment of enlightenment and the world knows! I always believe that there are still pure traders in this space who trade not for followers but for the art of trading itself!
Partly True
Let's talk about #ZEC 1. What is ZEC? Commonly known as Zcash, it emphasizes anonymous transactions with two modes: 1. Public transactions, visible to everyone; 2. Private transactions, where no one can trace how much was transferred or to whom. The total supply is capped at 21 million coins, with halvings every four years, making the issuance increasingly scarce. Compared to Monero, it can voluntarily show regulators transaction flows, making it relatively compliant. 2. A quick rundown of this year's major events 1. Major bullish news at the start of the year US regulators stopped investigating it, not classifying it as a security; many big institutions and funds started buying in, exchanges opened trading, and Grayscale even applied for a ZEC ETF fund, with a flood of capital pouring in. The original dev team had some disputes and left, but the foundation took over operations, and the network didn’t crash, so the market didn't panic for too long. 2. Soaring prices in the first half of the year The halving at the end of last year reduced the issuance of new coins, resulting in less selling pressure; everyone wanted anonymous coins for hedging, and the price skyrocketed from $190 to over $600, tripling in three months. 3. Catastrophic bearish news in late May (the source of the crash) A four-year-old vulnerability was discovered in the underlying code, theoretically allowing hackers to create fake ZEC out of thin air, and it couldn't be traced. Once the news broke, panic selling ensued, and the price halved in a day, crashing from over $600 to just above $200. The official team urgently released a patch to fix the vulnerability, but they couldn’t prove that no one had secretly minted fake coins over the past four years, leaving a lingering psychological scar. 4. After the fix, a slight rebound, then continued sideways movement The fix briefly pushed the price back to over $600, but traders were hesitant to go heavy; they sold on any rise, leading to a range-bound pattern between $450 and $550. 5. Current hidden long-term risks Europe plans to introduce new regulations to restrict exchanges from listing anonymous coins; other new anonymous coins are siphoning off funds; the previous code vulnerability has left a psychological shadow, and big money is wary of holding long-term. PS: Short-term market outlook as shown↓ For now, it will follow the market with minor fluctuations, mainly watching the US stock market open from the weekend to Monday. The current price is under pressure from a downtrend, while there’s channel support below and horizontal double support; technically, support should outweigh resistance, but even the strongest support needs to heed the broader market... So, for recent trades, we’ll mainly stay cash heavy; since there’s no clear direction, we’ll wait for one. If it breaks above $460 and holds, we’ll chase longs; conversely, if it drops below $440 and shows weak bounces, we’ll go short!! Keep an eye on the broader market trends to maintain consistency!
Let's talk about #ZEC
1. What is ZEC?
Commonly known as Zcash, it emphasizes anonymous transactions with two modes:

1. Public transactions, visible to everyone;
2. Private transactions, where no one can trace how much was transferred or to whom.
The total supply is capped at 21 million coins, with halvings every four years, making the issuance increasingly scarce.
Compared to Monero, it can voluntarily show regulators transaction flows, making it relatively compliant.

2. A quick rundown of this year's major events

1. Major bullish news at the start of the year
US regulators stopped investigating it, not classifying it as a security; many big institutions and funds started buying in, exchanges opened trading, and Grayscale even applied for a ZEC ETF fund, with a flood of capital pouring in.
The original dev team had some disputes and left, but the foundation took over operations, and the network didn’t crash, so the market didn't panic for too long.
2. Soaring prices in the first half of the year
The halving at the end of last year reduced the issuance of new coins, resulting in less selling pressure; everyone wanted anonymous coins for hedging, and the price skyrocketed from $190 to over $600, tripling in three months.
3. Catastrophic bearish news in late May (the source of the crash)
A four-year-old vulnerability was discovered in the underlying code, theoretically allowing hackers to create fake ZEC out of thin air, and it couldn't be traced.
Once the news broke, panic selling ensued, and the price halved in a day, crashing from over $600 to just above $200. The official team urgently released a patch to fix the vulnerability, but they couldn’t prove that no one had secretly minted fake coins over the past four years, leaving a lingering psychological scar.
4. After the fix, a slight rebound, then continued sideways movement
The fix briefly pushed the price back to over $600, but traders were hesitant to go heavy; they sold on any rise, leading to a range-bound pattern between $450 and $550.
5. Current hidden long-term risks
Europe plans to introduce new regulations to restrict exchanges from listing anonymous coins; other new anonymous coins are siphoning off funds; the previous code vulnerability has left a psychological shadow, and big money is wary of holding long-term.

PS: Short-term market outlook as shown↓
For now, it will follow the market with minor fluctuations, mainly watching the US stock market open from the weekend to Monday. The current price is under pressure from a downtrend, while there’s channel support below and horizontal double support; technically, support should outweigh resistance, but even the strongest support needs to heed the broader market...
So, for recent trades, we’ll mainly stay cash heavy; since there’s no clear direction, we’ll wait for one. If it breaks above $460 and holds, we’ll chase longs; conversely, if it drops below $440 and shows weak bounces, we’ll go short!! Keep an eye on the broader market trends to maintain consistency!
#SPCX 's current trend is pretty much on point, but yesterday's drop was heavily influenced by market sentiment, so we fell $7 more than the expected 180. Under normal circumstances, 180 shouldn't break, or it should just oscillate around that level. Considering the logic mentioned earlier, the weekend will likely be dominated by sideways action, and we should see a pump Sunday night into Monday. So I'm still firmly sticking to the game plan: buy near 180, add a position at 175, and another at 170 with a stop loss at 160, targeting profits at 194 and 200! The first attempt at 200 is unlikely to break through, so if we get close to 200, it might be wise to take profits and wait for a deeper pullback to decide if we continue to build momentum. If next week the US stock market opens and heads down quickly, breaching previous lows, then 165 will trigger a stop loss!
#SPCX 's current trend is pretty much on point, but yesterday's drop was heavily influenced by market sentiment, so we fell $7 more than the expected 180.
Under normal circumstances, 180 shouldn't break, or it should just oscillate around that level. Considering the logic mentioned earlier, the weekend will likely be dominated by sideways action, and we should see a pump Sunday night into Monday.
So I'm still firmly sticking to the game plan: buy near 180, add a position at 175, and another at 170 with a stop loss at 160, targeting profits at 194 and 200!
The first attempt at 200 is unlikely to break through, so if we get close to 200, it might be wise to take profits and wait for a deeper pullback to decide if we continue to build momentum.
If next week the US stock market opens and heads down quickly, breaching previous lows, then 165 will trigger a stop loss!
巴菲兔
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Recently, a lot of folks in the market are pricing SPCX to enter a downward spiral, but I have a different take! The logic behind the continued price decline mainly focuses on the following three points: 1: Price-to-sales ratio over 110-140 times, valuation bubble too big. 2: The Fed is leaning hawkish, with no hope for rate cuts for now and the risk of rate hikes. 3: Since its listing, market sentiment has been extremely volatile, combined with Musk's hype, emotions have already entered a recession phase.

So, if we only look at the information above, does that mean we can only go short? What about my long positions? In my opinion, I still see significant opportunities for the bulls; at least in the short term, there’s another wave of upside coming. My stance is simple: short-term bullish (before July 7), mid-term bearish (a drop of at least 30%-40% from the current price), and long-term sideways.

Mid/long-term is still too far off; we must consider the short-term:

News + logic: 1: The expectation of the Fed not cutting rates has already materialized, short-term emotional market profit-taking has basically settled, dropping from 228 to around 188, a decline of 17.88%. Under the current lack of major negative factors, the probability of a continued plunge is quite low. 2: From a technical perspective, 180 is a key horizontal support level and also the breakout point of the last rally. There’s a lot of buying power at this level for bottom-fishing, and the first wave absolutely won’t break it. The overall pattern has formed a standard descending flag, but it’s clear that it’s not fully played out yet, especially with the upcoming weekend when US markets are closed and China’s Dragon Boat Festival. Before Monday, we should see a small consolidation pattern. 3: The commercial rollout of Starlink satellites, Falcon 9 monopolizing the global commercial launch market, and Starship successfully completing test flights. Most importantly, on July 7, it will officially be included in the NASDAQ 100, with an expected influx of 100-140 million in incremental funds to support it. 4: Although the P/E ratio is too high and the bubble is large, it’s still US stocks, and they are Musk’s US stocks. Don’t forget, its current circulation is only 4.2%, making it a scarce stock. The valuation is based on all being unlocked; although a long-term downturn is highly likely, it doesn’t affect short-term upside.

PS: Summarizing the above logic: Short-term remains primarily bullish (before July 7) with a range to accumulate between 180-189.

For those looking to short, you might want to wait until early July when positive news materializes to begin your shorting strategy. Of course, if you have enough capital, you could also consider adding to your short position as it rises!
Drop, just drop, either give me a V recovery or break below 160 and I'll cut my losses! Playing with small positions feels completely pointless now, and with this market, I'm too scared to go big! Just itching to trade!
Drop, just drop, either give me a V recovery or break below 160 and I'll cut my losses! Playing with small positions feels completely pointless now, and with this market, I'm too scared to go big! Just itching to trade!
Recently, a lot of folks in the market are pricing SPCX to enter a downward spiral, but I have a different take! The logic behind the continued price decline mainly focuses on the following three points: 1: Price-to-sales ratio over 110-140 times, valuation bubble too big. 2: The Fed is leaning hawkish, with no hope for rate cuts for now and the risk of rate hikes. 3: Since its listing, market sentiment has been extremely volatile, combined with Musk's hype, emotions have already entered a recession phase. So, if we only look at the information above, does that mean we can only go short? What about my long positions? In my opinion, I still see significant opportunities for the bulls; at least in the short term, there’s another wave of upside coming. My stance is simple: short-term bullish (before July 7), mid-term bearish (a drop of at least 30%-40% from the current price), and long-term sideways. Mid/long-term is still too far off; we must consider the short-term: News + logic: 1: The expectation of the Fed not cutting rates has already materialized, short-term emotional market profit-taking has basically settled, dropping from 228 to around 188, a decline of 17.88%. Under the current lack of major negative factors, the probability of a continued plunge is quite low. 2: From a technical perspective, 180 is a key horizontal support level and also the breakout point of the last rally. There’s a lot of buying power at this level for bottom-fishing, and the first wave absolutely won’t break it. The overall pattern has formed a standard descending flag, but it’s clear that it’s not fully played out yet, especially with the upcoming weekend when US markets are closed and China’s Dragon Boat Festival. Before Monday, we should see a small consolidation pattern. 3: The commercial rollout of Starlink satellites, Falcon 9 monopolizing the global commercial launch market, and Starship successfully completing test flights. Most importantly, on July 7, it will officially be included in the NASDAQ 100, with an expected influx of 100-140 million in incremental funds to support it. 4: Although the P/E ratio is too high and the bubble is large, it’s still US stocks, and they are Musk’s US stocks. Don’t forget, its current circulation is only 4.2%, making it a scarce stock. The valuation is based on all being unlocked; although a long-term downturn is highly likely, it doesn’t affect short-term upside. PS: Summarizing the above logic: Short-term remains primarily bullish (before July 7) with a range to accumulate between 180-189. For those looking to short, you might want to wait until early July when positive news materializes to begin your shorting strategy. Of course, if you have enough capital, you could also consider adding to your short position as it rises!
Recently, a lot of folks in the market are pricing SPCX to enter a downward spiral, but I have a different take! The logic behind the continued price decline mainly focuses on the following three points: 1: Price-to-sales ratio over 110-140 times, valuation bubble too big. 2: The Fed is leaning hawkish, with no hope for rate cuts for now and the risk of rate hikes. 3: Since its listing, market sentiment has been extremely volatile, combined with Musk's hype, emotions have already entered a recession phase.

So, if we only look at the information above, does that mean we can only go short? What about my long positions? In my opinion, I still see significant opportunities for the bulls; at least in the short term, there’s another wave of upside coming. My stance is simple: short-term bullish (before July 7), mid-term bearish (a drop of at least 30%-40% from the current price), and long-term sideways.

Mid/long-term is still too far off; we must consider the short-term:

News + logic: 1: The expectation of the Fed not cutting rates has already materialized, short-term emotional market profit-taking has basically settled, dropping from 228 to around 188, a decline of 17.88%. Under the current lack of major negative factors, the probability of a continued plunge is quite low. 2: From a technical perspective, 180 is a key horizontal support level and also the breakout point of the last rally. There’s a lot of buying power at this level for bottom-fishing, and the first wave absolutely won’t break it. The overall pattern has formed a standard descending flag, but it’s clear that it’s not fully played out yet, especially with the upcoming weekend when US markets are closed and China’s Dragon Boat Festival. Before Monday, we should see a small consolidation pattern. 3: The commercial rollout of Starlink satellites, Falcon 9 monopolizing the global commercial launch market, and Starship successfully completing test flights. Most importantly, on July 7, it will officially be included in the NASDAQ 100, with an expected influx of 100-140 million in incremental funds to support it. 4: Although the P/E ratio is too high and the bubble is large, it’s still US stocks, and they are Musk’s US stocks. Don’t forget, its current circulation is only 4.2%, making it a scarce stock. The valuation is based on all being unlocked; although a long-term downturn is highly likely, it doesn’t affect short-term upside.

PS: Summarizing the above logic: Short-term remains primarily bullish (before July 7) with a range to accumulate between 180-189.

For those looking to short, you might want to wait until early July when positive news materializes to begin your shorting strategy. Of course, if you have enough capital, you could also consider adding to your short position as it rises!
The mantis stalks the cicada, while the yellow sparrow waits behind!
The mantis stalks the cicada, while the yellow sparrow waits behind!
I flipped to an article I handwrote last September, where I predicted the concept and outcome of tokenized US stocks. Now, looking at the current market, isn't it a carbon copy?
I flipped to an article I handwrote last September, where I predicted the concept and outcome of tokenized US stocks. Now, looking at the current market, isn't it a carbon copy?
巴菲兔
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Have you heard of tokenized stocks?
This has been a frequently discussed topic in the past six months. My biggest hobby besides trading cryptocurrencies is watching the US stock market and US bonds... After all, up to this point, the US dollar is still the world's hard currency!
No matter what the future holds, we cannot escape the logic of being in the crypto space at this moment. Since the market crash in October 2022, the US stock market has been on an upward trend for about two years and eleven months until September 2025. Perhaps many people don't quite understand what this number means?
You can understand that opening the monthly chart of Bitcoin, it has risen since hitting the bottom at the end of 2022... So when many people say Bitcoin is going bearish, to be precise: in the long term, Bitcoin has been following the US stock market for a long time... Therefore, in the long term, BTC has always been bullish and is in a long bull market, it's just that the altcoins are not experiencing widespread growth, and retail investors subconsciously believe that the market has not entered a major bull market... But what I see is already the tail end of the bull!
The whole plaza is shouting, SanDisk, SanDisk! I thought I'd just play around, and in the time it took to take a dump, I hit my stop loss! This should have been a flash crash, not a flash dip!
The whole plaza is shouting, SanDisk, SanDisk! I thought I'd just play around, and in the time it took to take a dump, I hit my stop loss! This should have been a flash crash, not a flash dip!
#美国伊朗终战协议 BNB buy-in price is 580, TON buy-in price is 1.57~ Even though it's pumping hard right now, I still hope it crashes because I've only deployed 30% of my bullets! Not nearly enough; definitely not enough!
#美国伊朗终战协议 BNB buy-in price is 580, TON buy-in price is 1.57~ Even though it's pumping hard right now, I still hope it crashes because I've only deployed 30% of my bullets! Not nearly enough; definitely not enough!
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