Chim Báo Bão
Hãy tham lam khi người khác sợ hãi và hãy sợ hãi khi người khác tham lam
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The names of 2 out of 5 expected exchanges to be licensed in Vietnam have been confirmed by the Government Information.
👉 Bybit and Binance will be the first 2 names on this list 👏👏
👉 Bybit and Binance will be the first 2 names on this list 👏👏
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Summary of Powell's speech:
👉 The Fed is in a "good position" after the interest rate cut in the recent September meeting.
👉 The impact of tariffs on commodity prices may only exist in the "short term"; however, understanding the extent of that impact cannot be done overnight.
👉 Inflation remains high, far from the Fed's target.
👉 As the labor market continues to weaken, further tightening of policy is unnecessary.
Powell is mostly just reiterating what he said previously in the September FOMC meeting, which investors have been eagerly awaiting (the number of times the Fed plans to cut rates this year) Powell has not yet revealed.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell: The Fed's interest rate stance is "still quite firm".
👉 This statement from Powell indicates that even after the interest rate cut last week, the Fed still has "room" for further cuts this year.
👉 The Fed is in a "good position" after the interest rate cut in the recent September meeting.
👉 The impact of tariffs on commodity prices may only exist in the "short term"; however, understanding the extent of that impact cannot be done overnight.
👉 Inflation remains high, far from the Fed's target.
👉 As the labor market continues to weaken, further tightening of policy is unnecessary.
Powell is mostly just reiterating what he said previously in the September FOMC meeting, which investors have been eagerly awaiting (the number of times the Fed plans to cut rates this year) Powell has not yet revealed.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell: The Fed's interest rate stance is "still quite firm".
👉 This statement from Powell indicates that even after the interest rate cut last week, the Fed still has "room" for further cuts this year.
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The important news tonight:
👉 8:45 PM: Services and Manufacturing PMI
👉 11:35 PM: Fed Powell speaks.
Economic data forecast for tonight is quite good, with a slight decrease recorded this month.
As for Powell's speech, unless the economic data at 8:45 PM has unexpected figures compared to forecasts, this speech may have some significant impacts on the market; conversely, if the data does not fluctuate much or matches the forecast.
👉 8:45 PM: Services and Manufacturing PMI
👉 11:35 PM: Fed Powell speaks.
Economic data forecast for tonight is quite good, with a slight decrease recorded this month.
As for Powell's speech, unless the economic data at 8:45 PM has unexpected figures compared to forecasts, this speech may have some significant impacts on the market; conversely, if the data does not fluctuate much or matches the forecast.
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What do you gain and what do you lose??
I know that after the sweep yesterday, some people will gradually lose FAITH in Bitcoin or Altcoins. For me, faith is very important; if you don’t have faith, you will never succeed in holding coins.
👉 Everyone try to imagine, for example, just like in our daily life, everyone is trying to lift a heavy object that they have never carried before, but if everyone does not have the FAITH that they can do it, they will never be able to do it. You have to try to know whether you can or not, right?
👉 Everyone try to imagine, for example, just like in our daily life, everyone is trying to lift a heavy object that they have never carried before, but if everyone does not have the FAITH that they can do it, they will never be able to do it. You have to try to know whether you can or not, right?
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In this space, most people hold a bit of spot in their accounts, so considering how to hold long-term reasonably is an inevitable matter.
With my long-term perspective, there might be a strong pump by the end of this year (possibly around the time after the Fed's second rate cut this year) before the real Altcoin Season, expecting Altcoins to rise stronger around mid or from late 2026-2027.
👉 This is just my personal perspective, so I do not encourage everyone to invest accordingly, and the timeframe I mentioned above may change depending on macro data as well as the Fed's upcoming interest rate cuts.$XRP
With my long-term perspective, there might be a strong pump by the end of this year (possibly around the time after the Fed's second rate cut this year) before the real Altcoin Season, expecting Altcoins to rise stronger around mid or from late 2026-2027.
👉 This is just my personal perspective, so I do not encourage everyone to invest accordingly, and the timeframe I mentioned above may change depending on macro data as well as the Fed's upcoming interest rate cuts.$XRP
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Cụ running like this, if counted in this year, this is the first time, however last year when there was no ETF, Cụ did this for old people like me or others, and I saw it many times.
Due to the fear of Cụ running like this, I often remind everyone to be careful as Cụ sweeps liquidity strongly, or remind them that if playing Ft, always set SL for safety to avoid encountering similar situations.
In the short term, playing Ft in such a situation is quite risky, however looking at the long term, this is a good opportunity for everyone to optimize the prices of the coins they are holding.
"Don't be afraid when the market is like this, think of it as an opportunity to buy at a good price"$BTC
Due to the fear of Cụ running like this, I often remind everyone to be careful as Cụ sweeps liquidity strongly, or remind them that if playing Ft, always set SL for safety to avoid encountering similar situations.
In the short term, playing Ft in such a situation is quite risky, however looking at the long term, this is a good opportunity for everyone to optimize the prices of the coins they are holding.
"Don't be afraid when the market is like this, think of it as an opportunity to buy at a good price"$BTC
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SHOULD WE INVEST IN CRYPTO AT THIS TIME?
Since the government resolution on crypto was issued, the crypto market in Vietnam has been officially recognized in the pilot framework.
This can be seen as a positive signal because: The state does not prohibit but allows activities. At the same time, there will be a legal framework, meaning that in the future it will attract institutional capital, investment funds, and domestic enterprises. However, many detailed regulations have not been clearly issued, leaving people confused about licenses, taxes, the management of stablecoins…
This can be seen as a positive signal because: The state does not prohibit but allows activities. At the same time, there will be a legal framework, meaning that in the future it will attract institutional capital, investment funds, and domestic enterprises. However, many detailed regulations have not been clearly issued, leaving people confused about licenses, taxes, the management of stablecoins…
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Important news for next week 🇺🇸:
T2: Empty Data
T3: Services and Manufacturing PMI 🇺🇸
Fed Chair Powell Speaks 🇺🇸
T4: Empty Data
T5: Final GDP Q2 (Final Revision) 🇺🇸
Unemployment Benefits Week 🇺🇸
T6: PCE Inflation
For the beginning of next week, I don't see too many important news items, even for Fed Powell's speech on Tuesday night or Q2 GDP on Thursday.
I will briefly analyze next week as follows:
👉 On Tuesday, we will only look at the Services and Manufacturing PMI economic data. Powell's speech is likely to be overlooked because there is not much new data released before the speech, so it may not be significant enough to make this speech important.
👉 On Thursday, we will only look at Unemployment Benefits data to get more insight into the Labor Market situation; Q2 GDP data will be overlooked as this is just a revision.
👉 Friday will be the focus of this week when PCE Inflation (Fed's preferred measure of inflation) is announced. This data is important because it will directly affect the Fed's Interest Rate Cut Decision in the FOMC Meeting T10.
T2: Empty Data
T3: Services and Manufacturing PMI 🇺🇸
Fed Chair Powell Speaks 🇺🇸
T4: Empty Data
T5: Final GDP Q2 (Final Revision) 🇺🇸
Unemployment Benefits Week 🇺🇸
T6: PCE Inflation
For the beginning of next week, I don't see too many important news items, even for Fed Powell's speech on Tuesday night or Q2 GDP on Thursday.
I will briefly analyze next week as follows:
👉 On Tuesday, we will only look at the Services and Manufacturing PMI economic data. Powell's speech is likely to be overlooked because there is not much new data released before the speech, so it may not be significant enough to make this speech important.
👉 On Thursday, we will only look at Unemployment Benefits data to get more insight into the Labor Market situation; Q2 GDP data will be overlooked as this is just a revision.
👉 Friday will be the focus of this week when PCE Inflation (Fed's preferred measure of inflation) is announced. This data is important because it will directly affect the Fed's Interest Rate Cut Decision in the FOMC Meeting T10.
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$USDC The Nikkei 225 index (Japanese stock market 🇯🇵) continues to decline, falling below 45,000 points, down 0.83% for the day.
👉 The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has continued to keep interest rates unchanged at 0.5% this morning with a 7-2 vote, where 2 votes favored an increase of 0.25 points due to these 2 members fearing that inflation will rise.
👉 If people do not know, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is using a policy contrary to that of the Federal Reserve (Fed); instead of looking to reasonably cut interest rates like the Fed, the BOJ is looking to raise interest rates again with the aim of regaining the position of the JPY after having completed a long series of interest rate cuts.
👉 The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has continued to keep interest rates unchanged at 0.5% this morning with a 7-2 vote, where 2 votes favored an increase of 0.25 points due to these 2 members fearing that inflation will rise.
👉 If people do not know, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is using a policy contrary to that of the Federal Reserve (Fed); instead of looking to reasonably cut interest rates like the Fed, the BOJ is looking to raise interest rates again with the aim of regaining the position of the JPY after having completed a long series of interest rate cuts.
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Before the yellow card worth 5 million USD for each one, now when officially announced the price is only 1 million USD for each card.
👉 Now everyone buying something from Trump is afraid of hitting the peak, before it was the TRUMP token now there is an additional card 🌚🌚#TrumpNFT
👉 Now everyone buying something from Trump is afraid of hitting the peak, before it was the TRUMP token now there is an additional card 🌚🌚#TrumpNFT
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👉 For me right now, the reason why I believe in the rise of this is because there aren't too many reasons for it to drop further at this moment.
1. Interest rates have decreased, and the chance of another cut next time is extremely high.
2. The US stock market continues to rise and is still trading around the recently set ATH.
3. Tariffs or wars remain the same with not much new information.
4. Looking briefly at the news for next week, it won't be until Friday that we have important news.
=> The likelihood is high that it is just adjusting before rising again.
👉 If anyone wants to Long, they should watch from this point until about 112k, depending on whether people want a nice entry or how they want it, this area is quite important so I will set the SL below 112k around 111k5 for this bet.
👉 As for Altcoin, I guess we have to wait for it to stabilize in that area before we can start choosing coins to Long. If it happens that it hits the SL, we still have plenty of Altcoin to Long comfortably, so that is why I want to keep Altcoin aside and not choose to Long with it immediately.$BTC
G9 🫡🫡
1. Interest rates have decreased, and the chance of another cut next time is extremely high.
2. The US stock market continues to rise and is still trading around the recently set ATH.
3. Tariffs or wars remain the same with not much new information.
4. Looking briefly at the news for next week, it won't be until Friday that we have important news.
=> The likelihood is high that it is just adjusting before rising again.
👉 If anyone wants to Long, they should watch from this point until about 112k, depending on whether people want a nice entry or how they want it, this area is quite important so I will set the SL below 112k around 111k5 for this bet.
👉 As for Altcoin, I guess we have to wait for it to stabilize in that area before we can start choosing coins to Long. If it happens that it hits the SL, we still have plenty of Altcoin to Long comfortably, so that is why I want to keep Altcoin aside and not choose to Long with it immediately.$BTC
G9 🫡🫡
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The possibility of the FED cutting interest rates by an additional 25 basis points in the FOMC meeting in October, which will take place in more than 40 days, is currently at 91.9% and 8.1% for the FED to maintain the interest rate at 4-4.25%
👉 All data published in the next 40 days will directly affect the current rate, especially the data related to the Labor Market.
👉 Regarding whether the price will increase or decrease in the coming days, in my opinion, there aren't too many reasons for a significant drop, however, a slight adjustment could lead to a minor decrease in Altcoins as well.
I currently still hold the same view, the price is quite stable, which presents an opportunity for some Altcoins that haven't increased in the recent wave => Waiting for a slight adjustment to find a good chart and enter, but everyone should remember to set a stop-loss for Altcoin trades.
👉 All data published in the next 40 days will directly affect the current rate, especially the data related to the Labor Market.
👉 Regarding whether the price will increase or decrease in the coming days, in my opinion, there aren't too many reasons for a significant drop, however, a slight adjustment could lead to a minor decrease in Altcoins as well.
I currently still hold the same view, the price is quite stable, which presents an opportunity for some Altcoins that haven't increased in the recent wave => Waiting for a slight adjustment to find a good chart and enter, but everyone should remember to set a stop-loss for Altcoin trades.
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Will Trump be satisfied with the FED cutting interest rates by 25 basis points this time?
👉 In 2025, the Fed consistently kept interest rates unchanged 5 times (from January to July). Each time, President Trump harshly criticized Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, calling him "too slow," "stupid," "out of control," and even demanded a reduction of 250 basis points in interest rates and called for Powell to resign. Trump believes the Fed is the reason for the U.S. losing hundreds of billions of dollars, while actual inflation is not high.
👉 Recently, President Trump gave a small speech, but mostly mentioned the related issues that need to be resolved before moving towards lasting peace between Russia and Ukraine without mentioning Powell at all.
👉 Additionally, he felt pleased because U.S. stocks traded extremely well in yesterday's trading session, with all three stock indexes reaching new all-time highs.
Surely Mr. "Mõm" is very happy to see Powell cut rates but probably feels shy now due to all the criticism 😄😄
👉 In 2025, the Fed consistently kept interest rates unchanged 5 times (from January to July). Each time, President Trump harshly criticized Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, calling him "too slow," "stupid," "out of control," and even demanded a reduction of 250 basis points in interest rates and called for Powell to resign. Trump believes the Fed is the reason for the U.S. losing hundreds of billions of dollars, while actual inflation is not high.
👉 Recently, President Trump gave a small speech, but mostly mentioned the related issues that need to be resolved before moving towards lasting peace between Russia and Ukraine without mentioning Powell at all.
👉 Additionally, he felt pleased because U.S. stocks traded extremely well in yesterday's trading session, with all three stock indexes reaching new all-time highs.
Surely Mr. "Mõm" is very happy to see Powell cut rates but probably feels shy now due to all the criticism 😄😄
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When the Fed lowers the policy interest rate (for example, by 0.25 percentage points), there are usually some benefits and impacts as follows:
1. For the overall economy
• Stimulating growth: Low interest rates make borrowing costs cheaper for businesses and individuals → easier to expand production, invest, and consume.
• Supporting the labor market: Businesses have the conditions to expand, creating more jobs.
• Promoting consumption: People find it easier to borrow to buy houses, cars, and consume goods and services.
2. For the financial market
• Benefiting securities: Low interest rates usually lead to capital flowing into stocks, as savings accounts yield less.
• Gold and Bitcoin may increase in price: As the USD weakens when interest rates are lowered, non-yielding assets (gold, crypto) become attractive.
• Bonds: Bond prices usually rise because the yields on old bonds are higher compared to the new interest rate.
3. For businesses & borrowers
• Businesses: Reduced borrowing costs, improved cash flow.
• Borrowers: Consumer credit, mortgages, home loans become cheaper.
• Savers: Worse off as bank interest rates decrease accordingly.
4. Impact on exchange rates
• Weaker USD: When interest rates are low, investors tend to pull money out of USD to seek yields elsewhere.
• Other currencies (EUR, JPY, VND…) may strengthen relatively.
⸻
👉 In summary: The Fed's reduction of 0.25 points mostly benefits borrowers, businesses, securities, gold/crypto, but is unfavorable for savers in USD and may weaken the USD.
Gpt for quick$BTC
1. For the overall economy
• Stimulating growth: Low interest rates make borrowing costs cheaper for businesses and individuals → easier to expand production, invest, and consume.
• Supporting the labor market: Businesses have the conditions to expand, creating more jobs.
• Promoting consumption: People find it easier to borrow to buy houses, cars, and consume goods and services.
2. For the financial market
• Benefiting securities: Low interest rates usually lead to capital flowing into stocks, as savings accounts yield less.
• Gold and Bitcoin may increase in price: As the USD weakens when interest rates are lowered, non-yielding assets (gold, crypto) become attractive.
• Bonds: Bond prices usually rise because the yields on old bonds are higher compared to the new interest rate.
3. For businesses & borrowers
• Businesses: Reduced borrowing costs, improved cash flow.
• Borrowers: Consumer credit, mortgages, home loans become cheaper.
• Savers: Worse off as bank interest rates decrease accordingly.
4. Impact on exchange rates
• Weaker USD: When interest rates are low, investors tend to pull money out of USD to seek yields elsewhere.
• Other currencies (EUR, JPY, VND…) may strengthen relatively.
⸻
👉 In summary: The Fed's reduction of 0.25 points mostly benefits borrowers, businesses, securities, gold/crypto, but is unfavorable for savers in USD and may weaken the USD.
Gpt for quick$BTC
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The Asian stock market opens "fiery" in the first trading session of the week 🔥🔥
- CSI 300 stock index (China): Decreased -243.58 points ~ over 6%.
Hang Seng stock index (Hong Kong): Decreased -2,500 points ~ nearly 11%
- Nikkei stock index (Japan): Decreased more than -2,200 points ~ over 7%
- VNindex stock index (Vietnam): Closed trading session (holiday).
👉 Currently, exchanges have restricted or temporarily suspended trading to alleviate the short-selling situation due to the panic of current investors.
- CSI 300 stock index (China): Decreased -243.58 points ~ over 6%.
Hang Seng stock index (Hong Kong): Decreased -2,500 points ~ nearly 11%
- Nikkei stock index (Japan): Decreased more than -2,200 points ~ over 7%
- VNindex stock index (Vietnam): Closed trading session (holiday).
👉 Currently, exchanges have restricted or temporarily suspended trading to alleviate the short-selling situation due to the panic of current investors.
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Important news next week 🇺🇸 :
Mon: Empty News
Tue: Empty News
Wed: Empty News
Thu: FOMC Meeting Minutes 🇺🇸
Number of unemployment benefit applications 🇺🇸
CPI Inflation 🇺🇸
Fri: PPI Inflation 🇺🇸
Next week, data related to inflation (CPI and PPI) will be announced.
Everyone should just focus on these 2 pieces of data, as this is inflation data after Trump first imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China.
Inflation may rise again due to Donald Trump's tariffs, however, the Fed has anticipated this; we just need to see how inflation in March will be.
Decrease in inflation => Investment market recovers
Increase in inflation => USD rises => However, it is still under the control of the FED => Investors may be a bit worried and the market may decline as the likelihood of an economic recession increases.
Stable inflation => Will be a good signal => Although Trump imposed retaliatory tariffs in March (not the recent tariff imposition), inflation did not rise (investors will be less concerned about the possibility of an economic recession).
We need to clearly observe the inflation data next week, to have a clearer perspective on the current inflation situation.
From Trump's tariff imposition in March, if inflation does not rise too high, then investors will not be too worried about Trump's recent retaliatory tariffs (3/4), but if inflation rises significantly, the opposite will happen...
Mon: Empty News
Tue: Empty News
Wed: Empty News
Thu: FOMC Meeting Minutes 🇺🇸
Number of unemployment benefit applications 🇺🇸
CPI Inflation 🇺🇸
Fri: PPI Inflation 🇺🇸
Next week, data related to inflation (CPI and PPI) will be announced.
Everyone should just focus on these 2 pieces of data, as this is inflation data after Trump first imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China.
Inflation may rise again due to Donald Trump's tariffs, however, the Fed has anticipated this; we just need to see how inflation in March will be.
Decrease in inflation => Investment market recovers
Increase in inflation => USD rises => However, it is still under the control of the FED => Investors may be a bit worried and the market may decline as the likelihood of an economic recession increases.
Stable inflation => Will be a good signal => Although Trump imposed retaliatory tariffs in March (not the recent tariff imposition), inflation did not rise (investors will be less concerned about the possibility of an economic recession).
We need to clearly observe the inflation data next week, to have a clearer perspective on the current inflation situation.
From Trump's tariff imposition in March, if inflation does not rise too high, then investors will not be too worried about Trump's recent retaliatory tariffs (3/4), but if inflation rises significantly, the opposite will happen...
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Core PCE 🇺🇸 (m/m)
Previous: 0.3%
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual: 0.3%
Core PCE 🇺🇸 (y/y)
Previous: 2.6%
Forecast: 2.7%
Actual: 2.8%
PCE inflation remains unchanged this month. Core PCE increased slightly compared to the expectation of 2.7%.
Previous: 0.3%
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual: 0.3%
Core PCE 🇺🇸 (y/y)
Previous: 2.6%
Forecast: 2.7%
Actual: 2.8%
PCE inflation remains unchanged this month. Core PCE increased slightly compared to the expectation of 2.7%.
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The most important data this week, PCE Inflation (the Fed's preferred inflation measure) will be released at 7:30 PM tonight:
👉 The current forecast for monthly PCE (m/m) and Core PCE (m/m) is expected to remain unchanged at 0.3%.
👉 The year-on-year data (Core PCE y/y) is forecasted to slightly increase from 2.6% > 2.7%.
Previously, both CPI and PPI inflation recorded significant decreases in the last release, so I will stick to the possibility that PCE will also decrease rather than increase this month.
If PCE decreases, the market will recover after a significant drop earlier today, and this recovery could last until Saturday or possibly even until Sunday. Conversely, if PCE increases...
👉 The current forecast for monthly PCE (m/m) and Core PCE (m/m) is expected to remain unchanged at 0.3%.
👉 The year-on-year data (Core PCE y/y) is forecasted to slightly increase from 2.6% > 2.7%.
Previously, both CPI and PPI inflation recorded significant decreases in the last release, so I will stick to the possibility that PCE will also decrease rather than increase this month.
If PCE decreases, the market will recover after a significant drop earlier today, and this recovery could last until Saturday or possibly even until Sunday. Conversely, if PCE increases...
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Final GDP Q4 (Final Revision) 🇺🇸
Previous: 2.3%
Forecast: 2.3%
Actual: 2.4%
Number of people applying for unemployment benefits last week 🇺🇸
Previous: 223K
Forecast: 225K
Actual: 224k
Not much change in this announcement.
Previous: 2.3%
Forecast: 2.3%
Actual: 2.4%
Number of people applying for unemployment benefits last week 🇺🇸
Previous: 223K
Forecast: 225K
Actual: 224k
Not much change in this announcement.
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Tonight, the 2 data points Final GDP Q4 and Weekly Unemployment Claims will be announced at 7:30 PM:
👉 Regarding the current forecast, both data points are not expected to change much compared to the previous announcement
I believe these 2 data points will not have too much impact on the market after being announced tonight. Therefore, the market will continue the current short-term trend and wait for more important data tomorrow (PCE Inflation).
👉 Regarding the current forecast, both data points are not expected to change much compared to the previous announcement
I believe these 2 data points will not have too much impact on the market after being announced tonight. Therefore, the market will continue the current short-term trend and wait for more important data tomorrow (PCE Inflation).
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