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Interest Rate Decision in the US
The FOMC meeting is scheduled for September 16–17, 2025. The official announcement will be made on September 17, 2025, at 2:00 p.m. Eastern Time (ET), which corresponds to 8:00 p.m. Central European Time (CEST/UTC+2)
What do media and analysts say?
According to Reuters, Federal Reserve member Christopher Waller expressed support for a 25 basis point rate cut at the September meeting.
Financial markets largely anticipate that a cut will occur in September – estimates suggest the probability of such a move is currently around 87–90%.
However, the decision will depend heavily on macroeconomic data, including inflation measured by the PCE index, labor market conditions, and the Fed’s post-meeting communications.
Cryptocurrencies awaiting an impulse
The cryptocurrency market typically reacts strongly to Fed communications. Following recent signals of a potential rate cut, Bitcoin and Ethereum recorded sharp gains. Now, with the actual decision just ahead, many analysts expect a similar reaction – another upward breakout. This suggests that $BTC and $ETH could be among the biggest beneficiaries of the September FOMC meeting.
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$HBAR – Ready to Break Out?
On the chart we can see a downward consolidation after a strong upward impulse. Solid support from below suggests that $HBAR is on the verge of breaking out

Why is it worth paying attention?

Full supply in circulation – no risk of further emission

Real utility – fast, low-cost blockchain, partnerships with major companies

Top 14 by market cap – a project with a strong market position

#ETH #potential Head & Shoulders pattern is starting to form on the 15-minute chart.
This is not yet a confirmed trend reversal, but the technical setup suggests a possible correction may be approaching.

🔻 The key level is the neckline around 3580 – if it breaks with momentum, it could lead to:
• profit-taking after the recent breakout,
• and the start of a technical correction.
$ETH

Fed Press Conference Summary – May 7, 2025

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, signaling rising risks of both higher inflation and unemployment. While the economy “continues to expand at a solid pace,” Q1 GDP decline was attributed to record imports ahead of new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. The Fed noted inflation remains “somewhat elevated” and the labor market “solid.” However, growing uncertainty may force difficult decisions in the coming months. Chair Jerome Powell stressed that monetary policy must remain flexible and that the current stance allows for timely responses to economic shifts. He also pointed out that trade policy remains a key source of uncertainty, keeping the Fed in a wait-and-see mode. Future decisions will depend on whether inflation or labor risks dominate—or, in the toughest scenario, if both rise simultaneously, forcing the Fed to prioritize one over the other.

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Wait wait wait ….
Buy🚨🚨🚨
#btc #SUİ #LTC

Ban on Using USDT and USDC in Poland(Possibly Coming Soon for Other EEA Users). What Does It Mean for Binance Traders?

Binance has announced important changes for users in Poland. Starting from May 16, 2025, it will no longer be possible to use USDT and USDC in futures contracts, margin trading, loans, or Dual Investment products.

“Dear Binance User,

As part of our ongoing efforts to comply with local regulatory requirements, we are making changes to the availability of certain products in Poland.

Futures, Dual Investment, Stablecoin Loans, and Margin products involving stablecoins will be restricted in your region as of May 16, 2025.

If you are not currently using these products, you simply won’t be able to open new positions based on stablecoins.”

What’s changing?

From May 16, Polish users will no longer be able to:
• open new USDⓈ-Margined Futures positions settled in USDT/USDC,
• subscribe to new Dual Investment offers involving stablecoins,
• take out loans or use USDT/USDC as collateral,
• trade on Margin using USDT or USDC.

Coin-Margined contracts (e.g., BTC-Margined) will remain available.

What does it mean for traders?
1. New collateral strategies – users will have to rely on cryptocurrencies (e.g., BTC, ETH)
2. Limited instruments – only crypto-margined contracts will be accessible.
3. Higher volatility risk – the lack of stable assets may lead to greater exposure to price fluctuations and liquidation.

Will Binance Force-Close Positions?

No. If you already have open positions using USDT/USDC, Binance will not forcibly close them. However, you won’t be able to open new ones after May 16.

Why is Binance implementing this?

These changes likely relate to new EU regulations, especially MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets), which define how stablecoins can be issued and used. Binance is aligning its services with local compliance standards.

If you found this update helpful, leave a like, drop a comment, and follow for more crypto insights. Thanks for the support!
#USDT #USDC #Binance

Rising wedge on 15m – price nearing a decision point

BTC/USDC on the 15-minute chart is forming a classic rising wedge. Price action is narrowing, and the pattern is approaching its apex - a breakout is likely coming soon.

What the chart shows:

1. Technical structure
• Converging resistance and support lines = wedge tightening
• Resistance around ~97,465 remains strong

2. Volume and OBV
• No significant increase in volume near resistance — weak buying pressure
• OBV is flat — no signs of accumulation

3. RSI
• RSI(6): 71.8 — in overbought territory
• RSI(12/24): trending higher, but momentum is fading

Liquidation map:

• Majority of high-leverage liquidation levels sit below the current price — between 92,000–96,000

Possible outcomes:

Scenario 1 – Break to the upside (less likely without volume):
• Needs a confirmed breakout above 97,465 with strong volume
• Estimated range: 98,000–99,000

Scenario 2 – Break to the downside (more likely based on data):
• A break below 96,600 could trigger a correction
• Potential range: 93,000–95,000

We’re approaching a decision point.
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#BTC #ETH

Yesterday I wrote that the market has a large number of open shorts on #BTC , especially in the 96,000–97,500 USD range. The market typically seeks to clear this liquidity — meaning triggering the stop-losses of short sellers.

We saw a fakeout to the downside yesterday, which invited more short positions — many traders were expecting a correction ahead of the upcoming FED decision. Today’s move upward is, in my view, not a sign of strength but a calculated short squeeze.

Once that excess short pressure is removed, I expect a sharp drop toward the 90,000–92,000 USD zone, where #Bitcoin will likely consolidate until May 7, when the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. Only after that event do I anticipate a bullish breakout and continuation of the upward trend, especially if the Fed’s tone is dovish or neutral.

Why this scenario makes sense:
• Coinglass heatmaps show large short liquidation clusters above — a clear target before any drop.
• Positive funding and rising open interest suggest the price is being pushed up artificially before a correction.
• Market psychology: many traders shorted too early — this leads to a squeeze, followed by a strong drop that also takes out late longs entering out of FOMO.
• Historically, before key FOMC events, markets tend to consolidate lower due to uncertainty.

⸻

Summary:

This rally looks more like a short squeeze than real strength. I expect BTC to drop toward 90–92k and stay there until May 7. The real upside move may come only after the Fed decision.

⸻

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#BTC #BitcoinAnalysis #FedWatch #tradingstrategy

The Fed interest rate decision is approaching on May 7. Historically, prices tend to drop before the announcement due to market uncertainty.
However, looking at the heatmap from Coinglass, we can see large liquidation zones just above current price levels (especially around $96,000 – $97,600). Price may attempt to sweep those areas before reversing downward.

After the decision itself, I expect a bullish move, potentially towards the $98,000–99,000 region, especially if the Fed signals dovish or neutral tone.
Watch for price reaction in that zone – it could become a strong resistance or a breakout trigger.

My take: Be cautious with premature shorts. This is the kind of setup where the market fakes one direction to hunt liquidity, then reverses hard.
#BTC

Ascending wedge, which statistically often ends with a breakdown, which favors shorts. 🐻

#BTC probably needs a correction to 'shake out' weak hands from the market before moving higher.

What this means:

• The price is already touching the lower edge of the wedge, which could be the breakout moment. Breaking through the level of about 94,400 will confirm the bearish signal.

• SL at 95,500 — a reasonable level placed above the last peak and the upper line of the wedge. It protects against typical fakeouts. If the price returns above this level, the short scenario becomes invalid.

• TP at 92,100 — logical, as it is the lower support zone where large clusters of liquidation are visible (according to the heatmap). In my opinion, the price should reach there to 'clear out' FOMO players who entered yesterday and today hoping for further uninterrupted growth.

The current move is just a complex correction, not the start of a bear market.

Unfortunately, it looks like this decline will be even deeper.$BTC 📉
If you look at the 5-year BTC price chart, you can find a similarity in 2021 when the price fell from its highest point by about 50%.
A drop from $63,949 to $31,861. Bitcoin then remained in a hole looking for a bottom for the entire month.📆

Transferring this similarity to the situation we have today, we can expect a drop from $110,000 to $55,000. This would also mean that the entire month of March BTC will remain low, fluctuating in price by a few percent up and down.⬆️⬇️⬆️⬇️
Going further, we should expect a breakout and a return of the price to $110,000 or higher only in April.🚀🚀🚀

Share your opinion with me in the comments.
Do you think this scenario will come true?

You can plan... The market will verify it. There is still a deeper hole missing before everything really goes up again. I think that everything will light up red for you soon.