羡羡的加密日记

Please listen to my sincere words patiently, coin traders!

Whether you hold BTC tightly, love ETH, or are optimistic about BNB, please pause your busy trading and take a few minutes to feel my advice from the bottom of your heart.

When the halo of the coin circle allows you to achieve financial freedom, remember the following nine "don'ts", they may help you avoid many unnecessary twists and turns.

First, don't let people around you peek into the secrets of your coin trading. In this world, those who understand will naturally understand, no need to say more.

Second, don't easily expose your income. Income charts and asset charts are all triggers for jealousy and trouble, so it's better to keep a low profile.

Third, don't show off your rich life in the circle of friends. Except for close relatives, few people really hope that you live better than him. Excessive show-off will only attract unnecessary jealousy.

Fourth, when you have a huge fortune, you should also keep a proper distance from old friends. Many predecessors in the coin circle have chosen to live a low-key life after gaining financial freedom, and even gradually drifted away from their past friends.

Fifth, gambling and drugs, don't touch these two things! Gambling will ruin your psychology, and drugs will ruin your physiology. Once you are infected, the consequences will be disastrous.

Sixth, don't easily call people stupid B, harmony is the most important, and getting angry will only affect your fortune. When you meet those who consume you, just stay away from them, no need to say more.

Seventh, don't take the initiative to do good, and don't pity others easily. Everyone has his own destiny, and being yourself is the greatest contribution to the world.

Eighth, don't invest in areas you don't understand. Remember, people can never make money beyond their own cognition, and blind investment will only make you lose all your money.

Ninth, resolutely don't touch physical entrepreneurship unless you are passionate about it and don't make money as the only purpose. In the current economic environment, physical entrepreneurship is extremely risky, and if you are not careful, you may be unable to recover.

These are advices, but I sincerely hope you can listen to them. Although the currency circle is good, you must also act with caution. I hope you will be more stable and go further and further on the road of currency speculation.

Which are the best altcoins?
Deflation coins:
BNB, FLOKI, SHIB
Fully circulated coins:
PEPE, BOME, PEOPLE, NOT, WIF

Now the big pancake is standing at the 100,000 integer mark, Ethereum is 4000, BNB is at 1000, and SOL is also stuck at 200—— How important are integer marks, those who understand know, I won’t say more.

If I were the dealer and wanted the subsequent rise to go smoothly, I would definitely have to wash out those who are afraid of falling (panic sellers) and smashing the price below the integer mark is the easiest way. But in the short term, there is no obvious panic yet.

Remember, it's best not to operate blindly at this time, especially if you plan to hold the coins long-term, absolutely don't touch contracts. Don't let yourself lose and exit before a strong surge, that would be a big loss.

ETH's 4000 to 4060 is an important support level. If it breaks below this range, many people will likely switch to another option. Before it breaks, the market will definitely struggle, but the buying pressure is clearly insufficient.
We need to understand the possible direction of the market and think about what to do next. I believe that the extreme position of the three waves of decline is probably around 3600, but we definitely won't wait until it reaches 3600 to take action, nor do we expect to catch the very bottom.
If ETH truly breaks support and falls below 3900, I think it would be a good time to start accumulating ETH in batches, as well as those altcoins that you are optimistic about.

There are two types of hot projects in the cryptocurrency world: one type is hot before the token is issued, like Filecoin and ARB, with no opportunities in the primary and secondary markets; the other type has no initial popularity but can make money later, like Aster and Hyperliquid.
Whether trading stocks or cryptocurrencies, the opportunity to make money relies on the leading stocks in the sector — when a leading stock's market cap rises, there are opportunities in the same sector initially, but when too many people get involved, those opportunities disappear.
Now many people are scrambling to get EdgeX and Lighter, but the cost is high and the token will be issued soon; temporary efforts are not useful, so don't follow blindly.

#sol This wave has really dropped hard. Looking at the liquidation chart, you can see that basically all previous positions have been cleared out, particularly clean.
This coin is also interesting; it can surge extremely when it rises, but it can also be particularly weak when it falls, with a significant fluctuation contrast.
If you want to go long, you might try entering at positions of 205 or 202.2, and just set the stop loss at 200.

No wonder #ftt has risen, it turns out that man has returned.

After the drop in the past two days, the contract holdings have decreased significantly, and both BTC and ETH have started to show negative funding rates, which has caused some panic among retail investors.
It is quite normal to see a rebound for correction at this time — not only to correct technical indicators but also to stabilize market sentiment. In fact, this is also preparing for further declines later. Additionally, it is important to note that the resistance for BTC is around 114300.

Ultimately, there will always be a group of people in the market who will be eliminated, those who only hold onto altcoins, waiting for the so-called altcoin season to arrive.

Why will they be eliminated? The core reason is their unwillingness to learn new things, still sticking to the old methods of investing. It is important to know that in the future, there will only be more altcoins, but funds will only focus on new coins and the leading coins like BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, while most other altcoins are likely to be replaced.

Now the secondary market is tightly controlled by large institutions such as BlackRock and Wall Street, making it particularly difficult for ordinary people to make money here, unless they are willing to invest for a very long time.

In comparison, the primary market offers much better value for money. Currently, retail investors who can make big profits are basically relying on the primary market, with coins like ASTER, STBL, and AVNT being examples.

With CZ entering the scene, the bull market on the BSC chain has already begun. At this time, it is even more important to focus time and energy on the primary market.

As for MSN, I still don't understand its logic after it was led to collapse, so I didn't participate. When trading stocks or coins, you should focus on what you can understand, and then gradually expand your knowledge base.

ETH has dropped sharply this time, completely liquidating the previous long positions, and now there is only a little long liquidity left below 4000.
Looking at the contract price, it dropped to a minimum of 4000.88, which is quite specific; it just missed the round number of 4000.
In such a fierce downturn, it's possible to catch a small rebound and make a little money, but be careful not to be greedy; just take the profit when it's good.

Why did it drop so sharply today #ETH ? Ultimately, it's because this week we are going to release GDP data intensively and hold meetings related to the economy.

Everyone in the circle knows the rule that the market tends to drop during meetings, and every time the Federal Reserve meets, they always talk about how good the economy is, but the data released later often contradicts that, revealing that it isn't as bright as they claim.

This week, employment data and GDP data are also set to be released, and given the current situation, these two pieces of data are likely to look bad. Therefore, the cryptocurrency market is also affected, resulting in a drop.

The 4-hour chart of BTC shows a head and shoulders pattern. It is highly likely to first retrace to around 113500, and then possibly rebound to 115000.

Looking at ETH, the price has dropped back to the support level of 4300. If it can rebound to 4400 subsequently, this would be a good time to enter a short position.

Recently, altcoins have dropped significantly, and the prices are low, making it a good time to buy the dip.

XRP and DOGE's ETFs have already launched, but the trading volume on the first day was quite ordinary. It's important to understand that the launch of an ETF does not mean that funds will immediately flow in, and high market enthusiasm does not necessarily mean that there are people buying in large quantities. The actual situation is that the trading volume of these two altcoin ETFs is not much.

Next, pay attention to these points: any new developments in SOL and ETH staking ETFs, and whether there are any breakout opportunities in the BNB-related sectors.

Additionally, UNI, AVAX, and SUI are also worth close observation.

BNB has not followed the market fluctuations, it has its own independent trend. Moreover, market makers have been continuously buying it without stopping all day long.

The trend of AVAX is quite interesting, the current chart is almost identical to the previous consolidation period.

In the short term, it has broken through the resistance of the green moving average, and the previous high has also been surpassed, indicating that the market structure has shifted to a bullish trend.

This round of adjustment in the market is likely to unfold between 10.8 and 12.5, but at the same time, the atmosphere for altcoins has already picked up. As long as it can successfully break through the trend afterwards, AVAX rising to 90 dollars is a completely reasonable target. This wave of market is worth paying close attention to.

ETH, DOGE, ADA have been performing relatively weak recently.

On the other hand, SOL, BTC, AVAX, HYPE, BCH, BNB have been showing strong trends and belong to the strong cryptocurrencies.

When selecting coins, prioritize these strong ones over the weak ones; following the strong is more reliable.

Since we haven't seen the expected significant pullback, does that mean we are about to welcome a big surge? Do you think it will be like this? Looking at BNB, it is indeed quite strong, and it's about to reach 1000!

Recently, many people have been asking about DOT. To be honest, not many people are very fond of DOT, but its chips are indeed low enough now.

Among the altcoins held by Grayscale, DOT accounts for a significant proportion, and they are continuously increasing their positions. In August, the ETF application for DOT was also submitted. Currently, the trading volume of DOT has increased a bit, but it's not particularly obvious; it’s just slowly and steadily rising in small steps, with the support level on the weekly chart between 3.5 and 3.7.

Now the price of DOT is around 4.2. It’s unlikely to see a significant surge, at most it might increase by 20 points up or down. If you plan to invest long-term, this situation doesn't have much impact; but if you're looking to trade short-term, it’s not advisable to get involved now. It would be more prudent to wait for it to drop below 4 before entering.

Short-term operations are not as good as following the trend. Riding the wind is also a way. Whatever the market is speculating on, you follow that. Today the market is talking about CZ's return, and the rotation has moved to the BNB chain ecosystem and the MEME sector. Just focus on this, don't look at anything else.